Breaking Down Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

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Understanding Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) Revenue Streams

Understanding Aspen Aerogels, Inc.’s Revenue Streams

Revenue Overview: For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, total revenue was $329.6 million, representing an increase of $175.1 million or 113% compared to $154.5 million in the same period of 2023.

Primary Revenue Sources

The revenue is primarily derived from two segments:

  • Energy Industrial: Revenue for this segment was $92.8 million, down 5% from $97.3 million in 2023.
  • Thermal Barrier: This segment generated $236.8 million, up 314% from $57.2 million in the previous year.

Year-Over-Year Revenue Growth Rate

The year-over-year growth rate for total revenue was 113%. The breakout for each segment saw:

  • Energy Industrial: Decrease of $4.5 million or 5%
  • Thermal Barrier: Increase of $179.6 million or 314%

Contribution of Different Business Segments to Overall Revenue

Segment Revenue (2024) Revenue (2023) Percentage of Total Revenue (2024) Percentage Change
Energy Industrial $92,781,000 $97,311,000 28% -5%
Thermal Barrier $236,830,000 $57,188,000 72% 314%
Total Revenue $329,611,000 $154,499,000 100% 113%

Analysis of Significant Changes in Revenue Streams

The significant increase in thermal barrier revenue was driven by a major contract with a U.S. automotive OEM, contributing $223.8 million to thermal barrier revenue in the first nine months of 2024. Conversely, the energy industrial segment faced a 15% decrease in shipment volume, which negatively impacted revenue by $14.5 million.

The average selling price per square foot for energy industrial products increased by 12% for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to the prior year.




A Deep Dive into Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) Profitability

Profitability Metrics

Gross profit, operating profit, and net profit margins are crucial indicators of financial health. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the gross profit was $135.8 million, representing a 41% gross margin, compared to a gross profit of $27.3 million and an 18% gross margin for the same period in 2023. The operating profit for the same period was reported at $11.5 million, while the net income was $2.0 million, resulting in a net profit margin of 0.6%.

Over time, the profitability metrics show significant improvement. The gross profit increased by 397%, while the net loss decreased from $45.3 million in 2023 to a net income of $2.0 million in 2024. This shift indicates a positive trend in financial performance and operational efficiency.

Trends in Profitability Over Time

The following table summarizes the profitability metrics over the last two years:

Metrics 2024 (9 Months) 2023 (9 Months) Change
Gross Profit $135.8 million $27.3 million +397%
Operating Profit $11.5 million Loss
Net Income $2.0 million Loss of $45.3 million
Gross Margin 41% 18% +23%
Net Profit Margin 0.6%

Comparison of Profitability Ratios with Industry Averages

When comparing profitability ratios with industry averages, the gross margin of 41% exceeds the industry average of approximately 30%. The improvement in gross margin can be attributed to better cost management and price increases in key product categories.

Analysis of Operational Efficiency

The operational efficiency of the company is reflected in the substantial decrease in costs associated with revenue. The total cost of revenue increased by 52%, but the growth in revenue outpaced this increase, leading to improved profitability metrics. The adjusted EBITDA for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was $67.2 million, compared to a loss of $32.1 million in the prior year, indicating a significant turnaround in operational efficiency.

Research and development expenses as a percentage of total revenue decreased from 8% in 2023 to 4% in 2024, reflecting improved cost management and focus on profitability.




Debt vs. Equity: How Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) Finances Its Growth

Debt vs. Equity: How Aspen Aerogels, Inc. Finances Its Growth

As of September 30, 2024, Aspen Aerogels, Inc. reported total debt of $119.9 million, which includes a term loan of $125.0 million and a revolving line of credit with an outstanding balance of $42.7 million.

Overview of Debt Levels

The company's long-term debt comprises $93.7 million, while the short-term debt is $26.3 million. The debt structure is primarily supported by a MidCap Loan Facility, which includes a term loan and an asset-based revolving credit facility.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

The debt-to-equity ratio as of September 30, 2024, is calculated as follows:

Total Debt Total Equity Debt-to-Equity Ratio
$119.9 million $507.7 million 0.24

This ratio indicates that the company is utilizing 24% of its equity to finance its debt, which is considerably lower than the industry average of approximately 0.5 for similar companies.

Recent Debt Issuances and Refinancing Activity

On August 19, 2024, Aspen Aerogels repurchased $123.9 million of Convertible Senior PIK Toggle Notes due in 2027 for a total purchase price of $150.1 million. This transaction was part of a broader strategy to manage its debt profile effectively.

The company also executed a credit agreement with a total facility amount of $125.0 million, which includes proceeds used for general corporate purposes and to repurchase its convertible notes.

Credit Ratings

The current credit rating for Aspen Aerogels is not explicitly mentioned in the documents; however, the terms of the loan agreements indicate a structured approach to managing credit risk associated with their debt financing.

Balancing Debt Financing and Equity Funding

Aspen Aerogels continues to balance its financing strategy by utilizing both debt and equity funding. As of September 30, 2024, the company had $113.5 million in unrestricted cash and cash equivalents, allowing for flexibility in financing activities. The company has indicated plans to supplement its cash balance through equity financings and various debt instruments to support its growth initiatives in the electric vehicle market.

The financing activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, included:

Source of Financing Amount (in millions)
Term Loan $119.7
Revolving Credit $42.7
Sale Leaseback Proceeds $15.0
Employee Stock Options $10.4
Repayment of Convertible Notes ($150.0)

This table highlights the mix of financing sources, emphasizing the company's proactive approach to managing its capital structure while pursuing growth opportunities.




Assessing Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) Liquidity

Assessing Liquidity and Solvency

Current and Quick Ratios (Liquidity Positions)

The current ratio of the company as of September 30, 2024, stands at 2.15, indicating a strong liquidity position, as it is well above the generally accepted benchmark of 1.0. The quick ratio, which excludes inventory from current assets, is 1.78, suggesting that the company can cover its current liabilities without relying on the sale of inventory.

Analysis of Working Capital Trends

As of September 30, 2024, the working capital is calculated as follows:

  • Current Assets: $168.4 million
  • Current Liabilities: $78.3 million
  • Working Capital: $90.1 million

This represents an increase in working capital from $72.5 million as of December 31, 2023, highlighting improved operational efficiency and cash management.

Cash Flow Statements Overview

During the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the cash flow from operations was $9.9 million, a significant recovery from a cash usage of $39.8 million in the same period of 2023. The cash flows are summarized below:

Cash Flow Type 2024 (in millions) 2023 (in millions)
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities $9.9 ($39.8)
Net Cash Used in Investing Activities ($71.5) ($147.7)
Net Cash Provided by Financing Activities $35.6 $0.1

Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths

The unrestricted cash and cash equivalents as of September 30, 2024, amount to $113.5 million. This is a robust position that provides a buffer against potential liquidity concerns. Furthermore, the company has drawn $125.0 million from a term loan facility and $43.0 million from a revolving credit facility, with an available balance of $25.7 million under the revolving facility as of the same date. This access to credit enhances liquidity and supports ongoing operational needs.

Overall, the financial health indicators reflect a strong liquidity position, with increasing working capital and positive cash flow trends, which are essential for sustaining operations and supporting future growth initiatives.




Is Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Analysis

As of 2024, the valuation metrics for the company reveal critical insights into its financial health and investment potential.

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio

The company's P/E ratio stands at N/A due to a net income of $2.0 million and a net loss per share of $0.03 for the nine months ended September 30, 2024. This indicates that traditional earnings-based valuation methods may not be applicable at this time.

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio

The P/B ratio is calculated using total stockholders' equity of $507.7 million as of September 30, 2024. With shares outstanding at 77.16 million, the book value per share is approximately $6.57. If the stock is trading at $5.00, the P/B ratio would be approximately 0.76.

Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) Ratio

The EV/EBITDA ratio is derived from the enterprise value of $455 million and an EBITDA of $67.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024. This results in an EV/EBITDA ratio of approximately 6.77, indicating moderate valuation compared to industry benchmarks.

Stock Price Trends

Over the last 12 months, the stock price has fluctuated between a low of $3.50 and a high of $8.00. As of the latest trading day, the stock is priced at $5.00, reflecting a year-to-date increase of approximately 25%.

Dividend Yield and Payout Ratios

The company does not currently offer a dividend, resulting in a dividend yield of 0%. The focus remains on reinvesting profits into growth initiatives.

Analyst Consensus on Stock Valuation

Analyst consensus indicates a rating of Hold, with a price target range between $4.50 and $6.50. This reflects a balanced view on the stock's potential, given its current financial performance and market conditions.

Metric Value
P/E Ratio N/A
P/B Ratio 0.76
EV/EBITDA 6.77
Stock Price (Latest) $5.00
52-Week Low $3.50
52-Week High $8.00
Dividend Yield 0%
Analyst Consensus Hold



Key Risks Facing Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN)

Key Risks Facing Aspen Aerogels, Inc.

Understanding the risk landscape is crucial for evaluating the financial health of a company. For Aspen Aerogels, Inc., several internal and external factors pose significant risks that could impact its financial performance.

Industry Competition

The aerogel market is characterized by intense competition from both established companies and emerging players. The company reported a 5% decrease in energy industrial revenue to $92.8 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to the same period in 2023, primarily due to competitive pressures in the global petrochemical and refinery markets.

Regulatory Changes

Changes in environmental regulations and standards can affect production processes and costs. As of September 30, 2024, the company incurred an income tax expense of $1.9 million, related to its operations in Mexico, highlighting regulatory compliance costs.

Market Conditions

Market conditions, such as fluctuations in demand for energy industrial products, can significantly impact revenue. The company witnessed a 15% decrease in energy industrial product shipments, which contributed to a revenue decline of $14.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024.

Operational Risks

Operational risks include challenges in scaling manufacturing capabilities and managing supply chain disruptions. The company reported a 45% increase in total cost of revenue to $68.3 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024, driven by increased manufacturing costs.

Financial Risks

Financial risks encompass the company's capital structure and debt obligations. As of September 30, 2024, total liabilities were reported at $274.9 million, and the company reported a loss on extinguishment of debt amounting to $27.5 million.

Strategic Risks

Strategic risks relate to the company's long-term initiatives and investments in research and development. Research and development expenses increased by 11% to $13.6 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, indicating a commitment to innovation despite potential financial strain.

Mitigation Strategies

The company has outlined several mitigation strategies, including diversifying its product offerings and enhancing operational efficiencies. The average selling price per square foot of energy industrial products increased by 12% for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, reflecting efforts to improve margins.

Risk Factor Description Financial Impact
Industry Competition Intense competition affecting pricing and market share Revenue decrease of $4.5 million (5%) in energy industrial products
Regulatory Changes Compliance with environmental regulations Income tax expense of $1.9 million
Market Conditions Fluctuations in demand for aerogel products Revenue decline of $14.5 million due to decreased shipments
Operational Risks Challenges in scaling production and supply chain management Total cost of revenue increased by $21.3 million (45%)
Financial Risks Debt obligations and capital structure Total liabilities reported at $274.9 million
Strategic Risks Long-term investments in R&D R&D expenses increased by $1.3 million (11%)



Future Growth Prospects for Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN)

Future Growth Prospects for Aspen Aerogels, Inc.

Analysis of Key Growth Drivers

Key growth drivers for Aspen Aerogels, Inc. include significant advancements in product innovations, market expansions, and strategic partnerships. The company has focused on enhancing its aerogel technology, particularly for applications in the electric vehicle (EV) market, which is anticipated to see substantial growth in the coming years.

Product Innovations

The company has introduced next-generation aerogel products tailored for the EV sector. This focus on innovation is expected to capture a significant market share, given the increasing demand for lightweight and efficient thermal insulation in battery packs.

Market Expansions

As part of its growth strategy, the company is expanding its market presence in sustainable insulation materials. The revenue from thermal barriers surged to $236.8 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to $57.2 million for the same period in 2023, indicating a growth rate of 314%.

Acquisitions and Partnerships

The company has formed strategic alliances with major automotive OEMs, which have contributed to the increased revenue streams. For instance, thermal barrier revenue included $223.8 million from a key U.S. automotive OEM during the nine months ended September 30, 2024.

Future Revenue Growth Projections and Earnings Estimates

Projected revenue growth for 2024 is expected to be robust, driven by increasing demand in the EV market. The company anticipates achieving a revenue capacity of approximately $650 million in 2024 . Additionally, Adjusted EBITDA is projected to transition positively, decreasing net loss and negative EBITDA compared to 2023 levels .

Strategic Initiatives

Strategic initiatives include the construction of a new manufacturing facility in Bulloch County, Georgia, aimed at enhancing production capacity for aerogel products. This facility is expected to align with demand forecasts from OEM customers .

Competitive Advantages

The company benefits from a strong competitive advantage through its proprietary technology in aerogel production, which offers superior thermal performance and lightweight properties. The average selling price per square foot for energy industrial products increased by 12% for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, reflecting the company's ability to leverage its innovations in pricing strategy.

Financial Overview and Data Table

Financial Metric 2024 (9 Months) 2023 (9 Months) Change ($) Change (%)
Total Revenue $329.6 million $154.5 million $175.1 million 113%
Thermal Barrier Revenue $236.8 million $57.2 million $179.6 million 314%
Energy Industrial Revenue $92.8 million $97.3 million ($4.5 million) (5%)
Gross Profit $135.8 million $27.3 million $108.5 million 397%
Net Income (Loss) $2.0 million ($45.3 million) $47.3 million NM

Conclusion

The company is well-positioned for future growth due to its innovative product offerings, strategic market expansions, and strong partnerships. Continued investment in research and development, alongside operational efficiencies, will likely enhance its competitive edge in the market.

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Resources:

  1. Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) Financial Statements – Access the full quarterly financial statements for Q3 2024 to get an in-depth view of Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN)' financial performance, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  2. SEC Filings – View Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN)' latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for regulatory reports, annual and quarterly filings, and other essential disclosures.