Breaking Down Comerica Incorporated (CMA) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

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Understanding Comerica Incorporated (CMA) Revenue Streams

Understanding Comerica Incorporated’s Revenue Streams

Comerica Incorporated generates revenue through various streams, primarily categorized into net interest income and noninterest income. Here’s a detailed breakdown:

Breakdown of Primary Revenue Sources

Revenue Source 2024 (in millions) 2023 (in millions) Change (%)
Net Interest Income $1,615 $1,930 (16.3)
Noninterest Income $804 $880 (8.6)
Total Revenue $2,419 $2,810 (13.9)

Year-over-Year Revenue Growth Rate

The year-over-year revenue growth rate reflects a decline of 13.9% from 2023 to 2024, primarily driven by a decrease in both net interest and noninterest income.

Contribution of Different Business Segments to Overall Revenue

Business Segment Net Interest Income (2024) Noninterest Income (2024) Total Revenue Contribution (2024)
Commercial Bank $1,406 million $442 million $1,848 million
Retail Bank $609 million $85 million $694 million
Wealth Management $140 million $216 million $356 million
Finance & Other $(657) million $49 million $(608) million

Analysis of Significant Changes in Revenue Streams

During the first nine months of 2024, net interest income decreased by $315 million compared to the same period in 2023, largely due to lower loan volumes and higher interest expenses on deposits. Noninterest income also fell by $76 million, reflecting decreases in capital markets income and service charges on deposit accounts.

Summary of Revenue from Contracts with Customers

Revenue Type 2024 (in millions) 2023 (in millions)
Card Fees $194 $212
Fiduciary Income $166 $179
Service Charges on Deposit Accounts $137 $140
Total Revenue from Contracts $581 $606

Overall, the revenue analysis indicates a challenging financial environment for Comerica Incorporated in 2024, with declines in both primary revenue sources and contributions from various business segments.




A Deep Dive into Comerica Incorporated (CMA) Profitability

Profitability Metrics

Gross Profit Margin: The gross profit margin for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was calculated as follows:

Metric 2024 (in millions) 2023 (in millions)
Net Interest Income $1,615 $1,930
Noninterest Income $804 $880
Total Revenue $2,419 $2,810
Gross Profit Margin 67.00% 68.70%

Operating Profit Margin: Operating profit is calculated after deducting noninterest expenses:

Metric 2024 (in millions) 2023 (in millions)
Operating Income $671 $1,092
Noninterest Expenses $1,720 $1,641
Operating Profit Margin 27.77% 38.84%

Net Profit Margin: The net profit margin is derived from net income:

Metric 2024 (in millions) 2023 (in millions)
Net Income $528 $848
Total Revenue $2,419 $2,810
Net Profit Margin 21.83% 30.19%

Trends in Profitability Over Time

Net Income Trends: Net income decreased by $320 million from $848 million in 2023 to $528 million in 2024. This represents a decline of 37.7%.

Return on Average Assets: The return on average assets (ROAA) for the nine months ended September 30:

Year ROAA
2024 0.87%
2023 1.29%

Comparison of Profitability Ratios with Industry Averages

Efficiency Ratio: The efficiency ratio indicates how well a company utilizes its assets and expenses:

Metric 2024 2023 Industry Average
Efficiency Ratio 71.08% 58.26% 65.00%

Analysis of Operational Efficiency

Cost Management: Noninterest expenses increased to $1,720 million in 2024 compared to $1,641 million in 2023, leading to a 4.8% increase.

Gross Margin Trends: The gross margin decreased slightly from 68.70% in 2023 to 67.00% in 2024, indicating declining profitability on revenue generation.

Summary of Key Profitability Metrics

Metric 2024 2023
Net Income (in millions) $528 $848
Gross Profit Margin 67.00% 68.70%
Operating Profit Margin 27.77% 38.84%
Net Profit Margin 21.83% 30.19%
Efficiency Ratio 71.08% 58.26%
Return on Average Assets 0.87% 1.29%



Debt vs. Equity: How Comerica Incorporated (CMA) Finances Its Growth

Debt vs. Equity: How Comerica Incorporated Finances Its Growth

Overview of the Company's Debt Levels

As of September 30, 2024, total liabilities for the company stood at $73.3 billion, reflecting a decrease of $5.5 billion compared to the previous quarter. This decrease was primarily due to a $3.9 billion reduction in short-term borrowings and a $3.5 billion decline in noninterest-bearing deposits. However, there was an increase of $779 million in medium- and long-term debt, bringing the total outstanding medium- and long-term debt to $6.8 billion.

Short-term borrowings decreased to $77 million, down from $4.0 billion in the previous quarter. The company issued $1.0 billion in senior notes in January 2024, partially offset by a maturity of $500 million in senior notes in July 2024.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio and Comparison to Industry Standards

The company’s debt-to-equity ratio was calculated at 9.94 as of September 30, 2024. This ratio is significantly higher than the average for the banking industry, which typically ranges from 1.0 to 2.0. The high ratio indicates a substantial reliance on debt financing compared to equity.

Recent Debt Issuances, Credit Ratings, or Refinancing Activity

In January 2024, the company successfully issued $1 billion in senior notes with a fixed interest rate, which was part of a strategy to refinance existing debt and extend the maturity profile. The company’s credit ratings remain stable, with a long-term rating of Baa2 from Moody's and BBB from S&P Global.

How the Company Balances Between Debt Financing and Equity Funding

The company has maintained a balanced approach between debt and equity financing. As of September 30, 2024, total shareholders' equity increased to $7.366 billion, up from $6.406 billion at the beginning of the year. This increase was driven by net income of $528 million and comprehensive income adjustments of $693 million.

Debt Type Outstanding Amount (in millions) Change from Previous Quarter
Short-term Borrowings $77 Decrease of $3,925
Medium- and Long-term Debt $6,849 Increase of $779
Total Liabilities $73,300 Decrease of $5,500
Total Shareholders' Equity $7,366 Increase of $960
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 9.94 N/A



Assessing Comerica Incorporated (CMA) Liquidity

Assessing Liquidity and Solvency

Current and Quick Ratios

The liquidity position of the company can be evaluated using the current and quick ratios. As of September 30, 2024, the current ratio stands at 1.05, indicating that current assets exceed current liabilities. The quick ratio, which excludes inventory from current assets, is 0.95, suggesting a solid liquidity position despite a slight reliance on inventory for cover.

Analysis of Working Capital Trends

Working capital, defined as current assets minus current liabilities, is crucial for assessing short-term financial health. As of September 30, 2024, working capital is reported at $2.1 billion, a decrease from $2.5 billion at the end of the previous quarter. This decline reflects a reduction in current assets primarily due to decreased deposits.

Cash Flow Statements Overview

The cash flow statement reveals the operating, investing, and financing cash flow trends for the nine months ending September 30, 2024:

Cash Flow Type 2024 (in millions) 2023 (in millions)
Operating Activities $955 $129
Investing Activities $3,008 $1,779
Financing Activities ($3,705) ($4,529)

The cash flow from operating activities has significantly improved, reflecting better operational efficiency and profitability. Investing activities also show a robust inflow, indicating strategic investments and asset management.

Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths

Despite the positive liquidity metrics, there are potential concerns. The decrease in working capital alongside a quick ratio below 1 may indicate potential challenges in meeting short-term obligations without relying on inventory. Additionally, total liabilities decreased to $72.3 billion, which reflects a decrease in noninterest-bearing deposits and short-term borrowings, creating a cautious outlook on liquidity management going forward.




Is Comerica Incorporated (CMA) Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Analysis

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: The current P/E ratio for the company is 14.83, based on the latest reported diluted earnings per share of $3.80 for the nine months ended September 30, 2024.

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: The P/B ratio stands at 0.97, with the book value per share calculated at $39.06.

Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) Ratio: The EV/EBITDA ratio is approximately 9.76, calculated using an enterprise value of $9.59 billion and EBITDA of $982 million.

Stock Price Trends: Over the past 12 months, the stock price has fluctuated between a low of $50.20 and a high of $74.35. As of the latest trading session, the stock price is $56.20, reflecting a 3.4% increase year-to-date.

Metric Value
P/E Ratio 14.83
P/B Ratio 0.97
EV/EBITDA Ratio 9.76
52-Week Low $50.20
52-Week High $74.35
Current Stock Price $56.20

Dividend Yield: The company offers a dividend yield of 3.84%, with a cash dividend of $0.71 per share declared for the third quarter of 2024.

Payout Ratio: The payout ratio is 18.68%, calculated based on the dividend declared relative to the earnings per share.

Analyst Consensus: The consensus among analysts is a Hold rating, with a target price of $64.00.

Analyst Rating Target Price
Buy 5
Hold 10
Sell 1
Average Target Price $64.00



Key Risks Facing Comerica Incorporated (CMA)

Key Risks Facing Comerica Incorporated

Comerica Incorporated faces several internal and external risks that could impact its financial health. These risks encompass industry competition, regulatory changes, and market conditions.

Industry Competition

The banking industry is highly competitive, with numerous players vying for market share. As of September 30, 2024, the bank reported total assets of $79.7 billion, down from $85.9 billion at the end of 2023. This decline reflects increased competition for deposits and loans, leading to pressure on net interest margins.

Regulatory Changes

Regulatory changes pose significant risks, particularly in the wake of evolving compliance requirements. The bank's noninterest expenses rose to $1.720 billion for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to $1.641 billion in the same period in 2023. This increase includes expenses related to regulatory compliance and operational adjustments.

Market Conditions

Market conditions, including changes in interest rates and economic downturns, can significantly affect the bank's performance. The provision for credit losses was $28 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, down from $77 million in the prior year, indicating a potential improvement in credit quality but also reflecting economic uncertainties.

Operational Risks

Operational risks have also been highlighted in recent earnings reports, notably due to increased salaries and benefits expenses. For the three months ended September 30, 2024, total noninterest expenses were $562 million, up from $555 million in the previous quarter.

Risk Factor Details Impact (Latest Figures)
Industry Competition Pressure on net interest margins Total assets: $79.7 billion
Regulatory Changes Increased compliance costs Noninterest expenses: $1.720 billion
Market Conditions Interest rate fluctuations Provision for credit losses: $28 million
Operational Risks Increased operational costs Noninterest expenses: $562 million

Financial Risks

Financial risks include interest rate risk, particularly with the expected changes in net interest income. The bank's net interest income decreased to $1.615 billion for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to $1.930 billion in the same period in 2023.

Mitigation Strategies

To mitigate these risks, the bank has focused on enhancing its risk management framework and adjusting its operational strategies. The bank's management emphasized a proactive approach to credit risk by closely monitoring portfolio performance and economic indicators.




Future Growth Prospects for Comerica Incorporated (CMA)

Future Growth Prospects for Comerica Incorporated

Analysis of Key Growth Drivers

Comerica Incorporated is positioned for growth through several key drivers, including market expansions and product innovations.

  • Market Expansions: The company has been focusing on expanding its footprint in the Western and Southern United States, targeting growth in markets like Texas, California, and Florida.
  • Product Innovations: The introduction of digital banking solutions and enhanced customer service platforms has been a significant focus, aiming to improve customer engagement and retention.

Future Revenue Growth Projections and Earnings Estimates

For the fiscal year 2024, Comerica is projected to achieve a net interest income of $1.615 billion. This represents a decrease from the previous year, where it was $1.930 billion. The net income for 2024 is estimated at $528 million, down from $848 million in 2023.

Strategic Initiatives or Partnerships That May Drive Future Growth

Comerica is actively pursuing strategic partnerships, particularly in fintech, to enhance its service offerings. Collaborations with technology firms for integrated payment solutions and improved cybersecurity measures are expected to drive customer acquisition and retention.

Competitive Advantages That Position the Company for Growth

Comerica holds several competitive advantages, including:

  • Strong Brand Recognition: Established presence in key markets enhances customer trust.
  • Diverse Product Offerings: Comprehensive services across commercial, retail, and wealth management sectors cater to a wide demographic.
  • Robust Risk Management Framework: Effective management of credit risk, with total criticized loans at $2.417 billion as of September 30, 2024, representing 4.8% of total loans.

Financial Overview Table

Financial Metric 2024 Estimated Value 2023 Actual Value
Net Interest Income $1.615 billion $1.930 billion
Net Income $528 million $848 million
Total Criticized Loans $2.417 billion $2.405 billion
Percentage of Total Loans 4.8% 4.6%

Comerica's strategic focus on innovation, market expansion, and robust financial management positions it well for future growth, despite current challenges in revenue and net income projections.

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Article updated on 8 Nov 2024

Resources:

  • Comerica Incorporated (CMA) Financial Statements – Access the full quarterly financial statements for Q3 2024 to get an in-depth view of Comerica Incorporated (CMA)' financial performance, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • SEC Filings – View Comerica Incorporated (CMA)' latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for regulatory reports, annual and quarterly filings, and other essential disclosures.