Breaking Down LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

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Understanding LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU) Revenue Streams

Understanding LSB Industries, Inc. Revenue Streams

LSB Industries, Inc. generates revenue primarily from the sale of industrial products, including ammonia, urea ammonium nitrate (UAN), and nitric acid. The following table outlines the net sales by product for the first nine months of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023:

Product Net Sales (2024) Net Sales (2023) Change ($) Change (%)
AN & Nitric Acid $154.9 million $173.9 million $(19.0) million (11%)
Urea Ammonium Nitrate (UAN) $109.3 million $117.6 million $(8.3) million (7%)
Ammonia $96.5 million $129.9 million $(33.4) million (26%)
Other Products $26.9 million $39.8 million $(12.9) million (33%)
Total Net Sales $387.5 million $461.1 million $(73.6) million (16%)

The company's net sales for the first nine months of 2024 totaled $387.5 million, a decrease of 16% from $461.1 million in the same period in 2023. This decline was primarily driven by lower sales volumes and prices across all product lines due to market conditions and planned turnaround activities at production facilities.

Year-over-Year Revenue Growth Rate

The year-over-year revenue growth rate for the first nine months of 2024 indicates a significant decline in revenue. The historical trends are summarized below:

Year Net Sales ($ in millions) Growth Rate (%)
2022 $532.0 million
2023 $461.1 million (13.3%)
2024 $387.5 million (16%)

In 2023, the revenue fell by 13.3% compared to 2022, and in 2024, it further decreased by 16%. The overall trend indicates a sustained decline in revenue performance.

Contribution of Different Business Segments to Overall Revenue

The contributions of various business segments to the overall revenue during the first nine months of 2024 are detailed below:

Segment Revenue Contribution ($ in millions) Percentage of Total Revenue
AN & Nitric Acid $154.9 million 40%
Urea Ammonium Nitrate (UAN) $109.3 million 28%
Ammonia $96.5 million 25%
Other Products $26.9 million 7%

In summary, the AN & Nitric Acid segment accounts for 40% of total revenue, followed closely by UAN at 28% and ammonia at 25%. Other products contribute 7% to the total.

Analysis of Significant Changes in Revenue Streams

In 2024, the company experienced significant revenue changes due to several factors:

  • Lower Selling Prices: The average selling prices for key products, such as ammonia, decreased significantly, impacting overall revenue.
  • Planned Turnaround Activities: Scheduled maintenance and turnaround activities at production facilities reduced production capacity and affected sales volumes.
  • Market Dynamics: Global supply chain disruptions and geopolitical issues have influenced pricing and availability of ammonia and other products.

The average gross profit margin for the first nine months of 2024 was 10.8%, down from 16.1% in the prior year, reflecting the impact of lower sales prices and increased operational costs.




A Deep Dive into LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU) Profitability

A Deep Dive into LSB Industries, Inc. Profitability

Gross Profit: For the first nine months of 2024, the company recognized a gross profit of $41.7 million, a decrease from $74.3 million in the same period of 2023. This represents a reduction of $32.6 million. The gross profit percentage was 10.8% compared to 16.1% in 2023. The adjusted gross profit percentage was 29.7% for the first nine months of 2024, up from 27.3% in 2023.

Operating Profit: The operating loss for the first nine months of 2024 was $24.4 million, compared to an operating income of $48.5 million for the same period in 2023. The substantial shift reflects operational challenges and reduced sales.

Net Profit Margin: The net loss for the first nine months of 2024 was $10.2 million, compared to a net income of $33.3 million in the same period of 2023. Consequently, the basic net loss per share was $(0.14) compared to a profit of $0.44 per share in 2023.

Trends in Profitability Over Time

The profitability metrics have shown a declining trend. Gross profit has decreased significantly due to lower selling prices and higher planned turnaround expenses. The adjusted gross profit percentage has improved slightly, indicating better management of operational costs despite lower sales.

Metric 2024 (9 Months) 2023 (9 Months) Change
Gross Profit $41.7 million $74.3 million $(32.6 million)
Gross Profit Percentage 10.8% 16.1% (5.3%)
Adjusted Gross Profit Percentage 29.7% 27.3% 2.4%
Operating Income (Loss) $(24.4 million) $48.5 million $(72.9 million)
Net Income (Loss) $(10.2 million) $33.3 million $(43.5 million)

Comparison of Profitability Ratios with Industry Averages

As of 2024, the gross profit margin of 10.8% is below the industry average of approximately 15%. The operating loss indicates a significant operational challenge compared to a typical industry profit margin range of 5% to 10%. This underperformance highlights the need for strategic operational improvements.

Analysis of Operational Efficiency

The company's selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses for the first nine months of 2024 were $31.9 million, an increase of $4.1 million compared to the same period in 2023. This increase was primarily due to higher professional fees and payroll costs.

Despite the increase in SG&A, the overall operational efficiency has been impacted by the increase in planned turnaround expenses and a drop in sales volumes, particularly for ammonia products. The gross loss percentage for the third quarter of 2024 was (7.3)%, compared to (3.0)% for the same quarter in 2023.

Conclusion of Profitability Metrics

The financial health of the company reflects significant challenges in maintaining profitability amid fluctuating market conditions and operational setbacks. The ongoing adjustments and strategic plans will be critical in navigating these financial obstacles moving forward.




Debt vs. Equity: How LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU) Finances Its Growth

Debt vs. Equity: How LSB Industries, Inc. Finances Its Growth

As of September 30, 2024, the company's total long-term debt was $487.0 million, a decrease from $581.7 million at the end of 2023. This long-term debt includes $478.4 million in Senior Secured Notes due 2028 and $10.5 million in Secured Financing due 2025.

The short-term financing included in the total liabilities as of September 30, 2024, was $10.979 million. The company also reported an interest expense of $26.3 million for the first nine months of 2024, down from $31.2 million for the same period in 2023.

Calculating the debt-to-equity ratio, as of September 30, 2024, total stockholders' equity stood at $499.0 million. This results in a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.98 (calculated as $487.0 million in debt divided by $499.0 million in equity). In comparison, the industry average for this ratio is typically around 1.0, indicating that the company is performing slightly better than the industry average in terms of leveraging debt.

Recent debt activity includes the repurchase of $96.6 million of Senior Secured Notes during the first nine months of 2024 for approximately $92.2 million, resulting in a recognized gain on extinguishment of debt of about $3.0 million. The company’s credit ratings have remained stable, with no significant downgrades reported.

To balance between debt financing and equity funding, the company has engaged in stock repurchase programs, with $14.2 million allocated for common stock repurchases in the first nine months of 2024. The company’s capital expenditures for the same period were $64.1 million, funded primarily from cash and working capital.

Financial Metric September 30, 2024 December 31, 2023
Total Long-term Debt $487.0 million $581.7 million
Short-term Debt $10.979 million $5.847 million
Total Stockholders' Equity $499.0 million $518.3 million
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.98 1.12
Interest Expense (9M 2024) $26.3 million $31.2 million
Repurchased Senior Secured Notes (2024) $96.6 million N/A
Gain on Extinguishment of Debt $3.0 million N/A
Capital Expenditures (9M 2024) $64.1 million $41.0 million
Stock Repurchase Allocation (9M 2024) $14.2 million $20.4 million

This strategic management of debt and equity demonstrates the company's commitment to maintaining financial health while pursuing growth opportunities.




Assessing LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU) Liquidity

Assessing LSB Industries, Inc. Liquidity

Current Ratio: As of September 30, 2024, the current ratio was 1.24, indicating that the company has sufficient current assets to cover its current liabilities.

Quick Ratio: The quick ratio stood at 0.94, suggesting potential liquidity concerns since it is below the ideal threshold of 1.0, meaning that current liabilities exceed liquid assets.

Working Capital Trends

As of September 30, 2024, working capital was approximately $56.5 million, a decrease from $98.5 million at December 31, 2023. This decline indicates that the company has less short-term financial flexibility than it did at the beginning of the year.

Cash Flow Statements Overview

Cash Flow Activity 2024 (In Thousands) 2023 (In Thousands) Change (In Thousands)
Net Cash Flows from Operating Activities $82,600 $120,522 $(37,922)
Net Cash Flows from Investing Activities $(18,380) $21,506 $(39,886)
Net Cash Flows from Financing Activities $(122,969) $(158,973) $36,004

Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths

As of September 30, 2024, total cash and cash equivalents were $42.3 million, while total short-term investments amounted to $157.1 million. This gives a total of $199.4 million in liquid assets, which can support operational needs.

Long-term debt as of September 30, 2024, was approximately $487.0 million, down from $581.7 million at the end of 2023. The decrease in long-term debt indicates a strengthening balance sheet, although ongoing repayments will still impact liquidity.

Furthermore, the Revolving Credit Facility remains undrawn with approximately $34 million available as of September 30, 2024, providing additional liquidity if required.




Is LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU) Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Analysis

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio

The P/E ratio for the company is currently - due to reported net losses in recent quarters. For the trailing twelve months, net loss per share is ($0.35).

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio

The P/B ratio stands at 0.78 calculated using total stockholders' equity of $498.9 million and total shares outstanding of 91.2 million.

Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) Ratio

The EV/EBITDA ratio is calculated based on an enterprise value of approximately $965.9 million and EBITDA of $57.5 million for the trailing twelve months, yielding a ratio of 16.8.

Stock Price Trends

Over the past 12 months, the stock price has fluctuated between a low of $4.00 and a high of $12.15. Currently, the stock is trading at $6.25, representing a -48.7% decline from its peak.

Dividend Yield and Payout Ratios

The company does not currently pay a dividend, thus the dividend yield is 0%. The payout ratio is also 0%, given the absence of dividend distributions.

Analyst Consensus on Stock Valuation

Analyst consensus rates the stock as a Hold, with a median target price of $7.50, indicating potential for moderate upside.

Metric Value
P/E Ratio -
P/B Ratio 0.78
EV/EBITDA Ratio 16.8
12-Month Price Range $4.00 - $12.15
Current Stock Price $6.25
Dividend Yield 0%
Payout Ratio 0%
Analyst Consensus Hold
Median Target Price $7.50



Key Risks Facing LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU)

Key Risks Facing LSB Industries, Inc.

LSB Industries, Inc. faces several internal and external risk factors that significantly impact its financial health:

Industry Competition

Increased competition within the chemical manufacturing sector poses a risk to market share and pricing power. The company's primary competitors include large chemical manufacturers who can leverage economies of scale, which can lead to price undercutting.

Regulatory Changes

The company is subject to stringent environmental regulations. Compliance can lead to increased operational costs. For instance, expenses associated with environmental regulatory compliance were approximately $4.0 million for the first nine months of 2024, with expectations of incurring an additional $0.8 million to $1.1 million for further projects.

Market Conditions

Fluctuations in commodity prices, particularly natural gas and ammonia, can affect profit margins. The weighted-average price of natural gas covered by fixed contracts was $2.08 per MMBtu, while market prices were approximately $2.41 per MMBtu as of September 30, 2024.

Operational Risks

Operational challenges include the risk of unplanned downtime at manufacturing facilities. For example, the company recorded asset impairments of $6.8 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024. Furthermore, the company is contingently liable for up to $9.7 million regarding performance bonds.

Financial Risks

As of September 30, 2024, the company reported long-term debt of $486.9 million, including $478.4 million in Senior Secured Notes due 2028. The rising interest rates may increase the cost of borrowing, impacting overall financial stability.

Strategic Risks

The company’s ability to execute its strategic initiatives, such as capital expenditures projected between $65 million and $85 million for 2024, is also at risk from market volatility and operational challenges.

Mitigation Strategies

To address these risks, LSB Industries has implemented several strategies:

  • Maintaining a robust compliance program to adhere to environmental regulations.
  • Utilizing fixed-price contracts for natural gas to stabilize costs.
  • Engaging in regular operational assessments to minimize downtime.
  • Exploring diverse financing options to manage debt effectively.
Risk Factor Description Financial Impact
Industry Competition Increased competition may lead to reduced market share and pricing power. Potential decline in revenues.
Regulatory Changes Compliance with environmental regulations increases costs. Environmental compliance costs of approx. $4.0 million in 2024.
Market Conditions Fluctuations in commodity prices can impact profit margins. Natural gas price volatility affecting expenses.
Operational Risks Unplanned downtime and asset impairments. Asset impairments of $6.8 million in 2024.
Financial Risks High levels of debt and potential rising interest rates. Long-term debt of $486.9 million.
Strategic Risks Challenges in executing capital expenditure projects. Projected capital expenditures of $65 million to $85 million.



Future Growth Prospects for LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU)

Future Growth Prospects for LSB Industries, Inc.

Analysis of Key Growth Drivers

LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU) is positioned for growth through several strategic initiatives and market opportunities, including:

  • Product Innovations: The company is focused on enhancing its ammonia production technologies and expanding its product lines to include more environmentally friendly fertilizers.
  • Market Expansions: LSB is targeting growth in both domestic and international markets, particularly in regions with increasing agricultural demands.
  • Acquisitions: The company may explore acquisitions to enhance operational capabilities and expand its product offerings further.

Future Revenue Growth Projections and Earnings Estimates

For 2024, LSB Industries anticipates total revenue of approximately $500 million, a decrease from $615 million in 2023, primarily due to reduced selling prices and lower sales volumes. The earnings estimates indicate a projected loss of $10.2 million for the first nine months of 2024, compared to a profit of $33.3 million for the same period in 2023.

Strategic Initiatives and Partnerships

LSB Industries has initiated several strategic partnerships aimed at enhancing its market position:

  • R&D Collaborations: Collaborations with agricultural research institutions to develop innovative fertilizer solutions.
  • Supply Chain Enhancements: Agreements with suppliers to secure raw materials at competitive prices, thereby reducing production costs.
  • Forward Sales Contracts: Utilizing forward contracts to stabilize revenue streams by locking in prices for future sales.

Competitive Advantages

LSB Industries holds several competitive advantages that position it for future growth:

  • Robust Production Capacity: The company targets an ammonia production range of 770,000 to 790,000 tons for 2024.
  • Cost Efficiency: Lower natural gas costs and optimized production processes are expected to enhance margins.
  • Strong Brand Recognition: Established relationships with a diverse customer base across multiple industries bolster its market presence.
Key Financial Metrics 2024 Estimates 2023 Actuals
Total Revenue $500 million $615 million
Net Loss $10.2 million $33.3 million
Ammonia Production (tons) 770,000 - 790,000 Not Applicable
Capital Expenditures $65 million - $85 million Not Applicable

With these growth opportunities and strategic initiatives, LSB Industries aims to navigate the challenges of the current market environment while positioning itself for future success.

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Article updated on 8 Nov 2024

Resources:

  • LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU) Financial Statements – Access the full quarterly financial statements for Q3 2024 to get an in-depth view of LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU)' financial performance, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • SEC Filings – View LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU)' latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for regulatory reports, annual and quarterly filings, and other essential disclosures.