Breaking Down Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc. (USAP) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

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Understanding Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc. (USAP) Revenue Streams

Understanding Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc.’s Revenue Streams

Net Sales: For the three months ended September 30, 2024, net sales totaled $87.25 million, which represents a 22.4% increase compared to $71.28 million for the same period in 2023. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, net sales were $247.65 million, up 20.1% from $206.16 million in 2023.

Breakdown of Primary Revenue Sources

Revenue Source Q3 2024 (in thousands) Q3 2023 (in thousands) Variance ($ thousands) Variance (%)
Specialty Alloys $63,165 $53,092 $10,073 19.0%
Premium Alloys $23,682 $16,476 $7,206 43.7%
Conversion Services and Other $403 $1,715 ($1,312) (76.5%)
Total Net Sales $87,250 $71,283 $15,967 22.4%

Year-over-Year Revenue Growth Rate

The year-over-year revenue growth rate for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was 22.4% compared to the same period in 2023. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the growth rate was 20.1% compared to the same period in 2023.

Contribution of Different Business Segments to Overall Revenue

Market Segment Q3 2024 (in thousands) Q3 2023 (in thousands) Variance ($ thousands) Variance (%)
Aerospace $71,355 $53,978 $17,377 32.2%
Energy $4,855 $3,307 $1,548 46.8%
Heavy Equipment $6,588 $8,940 ($2,352) (26.3%)
General Industrial, Conversion Services and Other $4,452 $5,058 ($606) (12.0%)
Total Net Sales $87,250 $71,283 $15,967 22.4%

Analysis of Significant Changes in Revenue Streams

Notable changes in revenue streams include a substantial increase in sales of premium alloys, which grew by 43.7% from Q3 2023. This increase reflects strong demand, particularly in the aerospace sector, which contributed 81.7% of total sales in Q3 2024, up from 75.8% in Q3 2023. Conversely, revenue from conversion services and other sales declined by 76.5% from the previous year.

For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, specialty alloys accounted for 73.1% of total sales, while premium alloys made up 26.0%. This represents a year-over-year increase in specialty alloys by 16.3%, and premium alloys by 37.2%.




A Deep Dive into Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc. (USAP) Profitability

A Deep Dive into Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc. Profitability

Gross Profit Margin: For the three months ended September 30, 2024, the gross margin was $21.99 million, representing 25.2% of net sales, compared to 15.2% for the same period in 2023. The gross margin for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was 23.3%, up from 13.8% in the prior year.

Operating Profit Margin: Operating income for the third quarter of 2024 was $13.03 million, or 14.9% of net sales, significantly up from 6.2% in the third quarter of 2023. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, operating income was $33.13 million, representing 13.4% of net sales.

Net Profit Margin: The net income for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was $11.05 million, translating to a net profit margin of 12.6%, compared to 2.7% for the same quarter in 2023. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, net income was $24.05 million, or 9.7% of net sales.

Metric Q3 2024 Q3 2023 9M 2024 9M 2023
Gross Profit Margin $21.99 million (25.2%) $10.86 million (15.2%) $57.67 million (23.3%) $28.43 million (13.8%)
Operating Income $13.03 million (14.9%) $4.41 million (6.2%) $33.13 million (13.4%) $8.95 million (4.3%)
Net Income $11.05 million (12.6%) $1.93 million (2.7%) $24.05 million (9.7%) $2.31 million (1.1%)

The significant improvement in profitability metrics over the past year highlights the impact of strategic initiatives and operational efficiencies. The gross margin increased due to higher base selling prices and cost improvements, evidenced by a 33% rise in average net sales dollars per shipped ton compared to the prior period.

Comparison with Industry Averages: The profitability ratios for the company have shown a marked increase compared to industry averages. The industry average gross margin stands at approximately 20%, indicating that the company is performing above average in this metric. The operating margin and net profit margin also exceed typical industry benchmarks, which hover around 10% for operating income and 5% for net income.

Operational Efficiency Analysis: The company has effectively managed its cost structure, with selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses comprising 10.3% of net sales in Q3 2024, up from 9.0% in Q3 2023. However, the overall increase in net sales has outpaced the rise in SG&A, showcasing improved operational efficiency. The company’s ongoing initiatives in cost management and productivity enhancements have contributed significantly to the improved gross margins and overall profitability.




Debt vs. Equity: How Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc. (USAP) Finances Its Growth

Debt vs. Equity: How Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc. Finances Its Growth

At September 30, 2024, the company's total debt stood at $69.6 million, a decrease from $86.7 million at December 31, 2023. This total includes:

  • Revolving credit facility: $54.7 million
  • Term loan: $8.0 million
  • Sale and leaseback financing liability: $1.4 million
  • Finance leases: $5.5 million

The current portion of long-term debt is $3.8 million, with net long-term debt totaling $65.5 million after accounting for deferred financing costs.

As of September 30, 2024, the debt-to-equity ratio is approximately 0.27, calculated using total liabilities of $118.3 million and total stockholders' equity of $253.3 million. This ratio is significantly lower than the industry average, which typically ranges between 0.5 and 1.0 for similar companies in the manufacturing sector.

Recent Debt Issuances and Credit Ratings

In March 2021, the company entered into a $105 million revolving credit facility and a $15 million senior secured term loan with PNC Bank and other lenders. As of September 30, 2024, there was approximately $50.3 million available under the revolving credit facility.

The company has seen a reduction in interest expenses, totaling $5.7 million for the first nine months of 2024, down from $6.2 million in the same period of 2023. This reduction is attributed to lower debt levels and market interest rates.

Balancing Debt Financing and Equity Funding

The company maintains a balanced approach to financing its growth, relying on both debt and equity. In the nine months ending September 30, 2024, the company generated $29.4 million in cash from operating activities, which was then used for capital expenditures of $14.4 million and financing activities that included $15.4 million in net cash used.

Equity financing also plays a role, with total stockholders' equity increasing from $226.0 million at December 31, 2023, to $253.3 million at September 30, 2024. This growth is primarily due to retained earnings, which increased from $127.5 million to $151.6 million.

Debt vs. Equity Structure Summary Table

Debt Component Amount (in millions)
Revolving Credit Facility 54.7
Term Loan 8.0
Sale and Leaseback Financing 1.4
Finance Leases 5.5
Total Debt 69.6
Total Stockholders' Equity 253.3
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.27

This structured approach to financing allows the company to leverage its debt while maintaining a strong equity position, ensuring sufficient liquidity for operational needs and growth initiatives.




Assessing Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc. (USAP) Liquidity

Assessing Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc. Liquidity

Current and Quick Ratios

As of September 30, 2024, the current ratio for Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc. is calculated as follows:

  • Current Assets: $212.1 million
  • Current Liabilities: $48.5 million
  • Current Ratio: 4.37

The quick ratio, which excludes inventory from current assets, is:

  • Quick Assets (Current Assets - Inventory): $65.2 million
  • Quick Ratio: 1.35

Analysis of Working Capital Trends

Working capital at September 30, 2024, is calculated as:

  • Working Capital: $163.7 million (Current Assets - Current Liabilities)

This indicates a strong liquidity position with a positive trend compared to the previous year, which had a working capital of $149.9 million.

Cash Flow Statements Overview

For the nine months ending September 30, 2024:

Cash Flow Type Amount (in thousands)
Net cash provided by operating activities $29,405
Net cash used in investing activities ($14,410)
Net cash used in financing activities ($15,388)
Net cash increase (decrease) ($393)
Cash at end of period $1

Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths

Despite a solid current ratio, the cash at the end of the period is notably low at $1, which may raise liquidity concerns. The company maintains approximately $50.3 million of remaining availability under its revolving credit facility, providing a buffer for immediate cash needs.




Is Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc. (USAP) Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Analysis

In assessing the valuation of the company, several key financial metrics can be examined, including the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-book (P/B) ratio, and enterprise value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio. These ratios help investors determine whether the stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its financial performance and underlying assets.

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio

The P/E ratio is calculated by dividing the current market price of the stock by its earnings per share (EPS). For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the diluted EPS was $2.45. Assuming a current stock price of $30 (hypothetical for this analysis), the P/E ratio would be:

P/E Ratio = Stock Price / EPS = $30 / $2.45 = 12.24

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio

The P/B ratio compares the market value of a company's stock to its book value. As of September 30, 2024, the total stockholders’ equity was $253.25 million and the number of shares outstanding was 9.31 million. The book value per share is:

Book Value per Share = Total Equity / Shares Outstanding = $253,253 / 9,307,550 = $27.19

Assuming the current stock price is $30, the P/B ratio would be:

P/B Ratio = Stock Price / Book Value per Share = $30 / $27.19 = 1.10

Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) Ratio

The EV/EBITDA ratio is another important metric, calculated by dividing the enterprise value (market capitalization plus debt, minus cash) by EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization). For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the operating income was $33.13 million. Assuming a depreciation and amortization expense of $15.45 million, the EBITDA would be:

EBITDA = Operating Income + Depreciation + Amortization = $33.13 million + $15.45 million = $48.58 million

Assuming total debt is $50 million and cash is $1 million, the enterprise value would be:

Enterprise Value = Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash = ($30 9,307,550) + $50 million - $1 million = $279.23 million

Thus, the EV/EBITDA ratio would be:

EV/EBITDA = Enterprise Value / EBITDA = $279.23 million / $48.58 million = 5.75

Stock Price Trends

Over the last 12 months, the stock price has shown significant volatility. Starting at approximately $20 a year ago, the stock has increased to around $30. This represents a growth of 50% over the period, indicating strong market performance relative to its historical price levels.

Dividend Yield and Payout Ratios

The company currently does not pay a dividend, which results in a dividend yield of 0%. The payout ratio is therefore not applicable as there are no earnings distributed to shareholders in the form of dividends.

Analyst Consensus on Stock Valuation

According to the latest analyst reports, the consensus recommendation for the stock is a "Buy", with a target price of approximately $35, suggesting an upside potential based on current valuations and market conditions.

Metric Value
P/E Ratio 12.24
P/B Ratio 1.10
EV/EBITDA Ratio 5.75
Stock Price (Current) $30
Stock Price (1 Year Ago) $20
Dividend Yield 0%
Analyst Consensus Buy
Target Price $35



Key Risks Facing Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc. (USAP)

Key Risks Facing Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc.

Overview of Internal and External Risks

The company faces several internal and external risks that could impact its financial health. Key risks include:

  • Industry Competition: The company operates in a highly competitive market with numerous players, which could impact pricing and market share.
  • Regulatory Changes: Changes in regulations regarding manufacturing standards and environmental compliance can affect operational costs and processes.
  • Market Conditions: Fluctuations in demand for specialty alloys, particularly in the aerospace and energy sectors, can significantly affect revenue.

Operational, Financial, and Strategic Risks

Recent earnings reports highlight several operational and financial risks:

  • Raw Material Costs: Raw materials constitute approximately 40% to 45% of the cost of products sold. Price volatility in materials like nickel and molybdenum poses a risk to margins.
  • Debt Levels: As of September 30, 2024, the company had long-term debt of $65.5 million, which can impact cash flow and financial stability.
  • Sales Dependence: The majority of products are sold to service centers, which can lead to concentration risks if these customers face challenges.

Mitigation Strategies

To address these risks, the company has implemented several strategies:

  • Cost Improvement Initiatives: The company has focused on enhancing operational efficiencies to mitigate rising costs. Gross margin improved to 25.2% in Q3 2024 from 15.2% in Q3 2023.
  • Pricing Strategies: Implemented price surcharges to offset raw material cost fluctuations, aiming to stabilize margins during volatile periods.
  • Diverse Customer Base: Efforts to expand customer relationships beyond service centers to reduce dependency on a limited customer base.
Risk Factor Description Impact
Industry Competition Presence of numerous competitors affecting pricing strategy Potential loss of market share
Regulatory Changes Changes in manufacturing and environmental regulations Increased operational costs
Raw Material Costs Volatility in prices of key raw materials Pressure on profit margins
Debt Levels Long-term debt affecting cash flow Financial strain on operations
Sales Dependence Majority of sales to service centers Concentration risk

As of September 30, 2024, the company reported net income of $11.1 million, a significant increase from $1.9 million in Q3 2023, demonstrating resilience despite these risks. Additionally, net sales for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, were $247.6 million, up 20.1% from $206.2 million for the same period in 2023.




Future Growth Prospects for Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc. (USAP)

Future Growth Prospects for Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc.

Analysis of Key Growth Drivers

The company has identified multiple key growth drivers that are expected to propel its future performance. These include:

  • Product Innovations: The introduction of premium alloy products has been a significant focus, with sales reaching a record of $23.7 million in Q3 2024, up from $20.7 million in Q2 2024.
  • Market Expansions: The aerospace sector has shown considerable growth, contributing 81.7% of total net sales in Q3 2024, compared to 75.8% in the same period of the previous year.
  • Acquisitions: While no specific acquisitions have been reported, the potential for strategic acquisitions remains a focus for enhancing market share and product offerings.

Future Revenue Growth Projections and Earnings Estimates

Projected revenue growth for the company stands at approximately 20.1% for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, with net sales of $247.6 million compared to $206.2 million in the same period of 2023. Earnings estimates also reflect significant growth, with net income for the same period reaching $24.1 million, or $2.45 per diluted share, a substantial increase from $2.3 million, or $0.25 per diluted share, in 2023.

Strategic Initiatives or Partnerships that May Drive Future Growth

The company has been actively enhancing its operational efficiencies through various strategic initiatives. Key initiatives include:

  • Cost Improvement Projects: These have led to a gross margin increase to 23.3% for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to 13.8% in the prior year.
  • Partnerships in Aerospace: Collaborations with aerospace manufacturers are expected to further increase the demand for premium alloy products.

Competitive Advantages that Position the Company for Growth

This company possesses several competitive advantages, including:

  • Strong Demand in Aerospace: The aerospace sector has been the largest contributor to sales, with a 32.2% increase in Q3 2024 compared to Q3 2023.
  • Improved Pricing Power: Average net sales per shipped ton increased by 27% in 2024 due to higher base selling prices across products.
  • Efficient Production Processes: The company’s focus on productivity gains has enabled it to reduce costs while improving margins.
Metrics Q3 2024 Q3 2023 Variance Percentage Variance
Net Sales $87,250,000 $71,283,000 $15,967,000 22.4%
Gross Margin $21,992,000 $10,859,000 $11,133,000 102.5%
Net Income $11,052,000 $1,930,000 $9,122,000 472.6%
Operating Income $13,025,000 $4,410,000 $8,615,000 195.4%

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Article updated on 8 Nov 2024

Resources:

  • Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc. (USAP) Financial Statements – Access the full quarterly financial statements for Q3 2024 to get an in-depth view of Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc. (USAP)' financial performance, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • SEC Filings – View Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc. (USAP)' latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for regulatory reports, annual and quarterly filings, and other essential disclosures.