Breaking Down VistaGen Therapeutics, Inc. (VTGN) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

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Understanding VistaGen Therapeutics, Inc. (VTGN) Revenue Streams

Understanding VistaGen Therapeutics, Inc.’s Revenue Streams

VistaGen Therapeutics, Inc. operates as a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focusing on developing therapies for neuroscience-related conditions. As of 2024, it is important to highlight that the company has not yet generated revenue from product sales, which heavily influences its financial health.

Breakdown of Primary Revenue Sources

Currently, the primary source of revenue for VistaGen is from sublicense and other revenue arrangements. For the three months ended September 30, 2024, the company recognized:

Revenue Type Q3 2024 (in thousands) Q3 2023 (in thousands)
Sublicense and other revenue $183 $278
Total Revenues $183 $278

For the six months ended September 30, 2024, the revenue figures were:

Revenue Type 6M 2024 (in thousands) 6M 2023 (in thousands)
Sublicense and other revenue $267 $455
Total Revenues $267 $455

Year-over-Year Revenue Growth Rate

The year-over-year revenue growth has shown a decline, with the revenue from sublicense and other revenue decreasing by 34.2% for the three months ended September 30, 2024, compared to the same period in 2023. For the six months ended September 30, 2024, the decline was 41.4% year-over-year.

Contribution of Different Business Segments to Overall Revenue

As of September 30, 2024, the entire revenue stream is derived from sublicense agreements, with no additional segments contributing to revenue. The company continues to rely on such agreements while developing its product candidates.

Analysis of Significant Changes in Revenue Streams

Overall, the revenue has not diversified, remaining stagnant primarily due to the lack of product approvals and market entry. The total revenue reflects a consistent decline, indicating challenges in securing new collaborations or expanding existing agreements.

The following table summarizes the net losses and cash flow situation:

Period Net Loss (in thousands) Cash and Cash Equivalents (in thousands)
Q3 2024 ($12,961) $84,246
Q3 2023 ($6,588) $37,608

The accumulated deficit as of September 30, 2024, stood at $379.9 million, indicating substantial ongoing financial challenges .




A Deep Dive into VistaGen Therapeutics, Inc. (VTGN) Profitability

A Deep Dive into VistaGen Therapeutics, Inc. Profitability

Gross Profit Margin: The total revenues for the three months ended September 30, 2024, were $183,000, compared to $278,000 for the same period in 2023. The gross profit margin can be calculated as:

Period Total Revenues Gross Profit Gross Profit Margin (%)
Q3 2024 $183,000 $183,000 100%
Q3 2023 $278,000 $278,000 100%

Operating Profit Margin: For the three months ended September 30, 2024, the loss from operations was ($14,227,000), while the operating profit margin was calculated as:

Period Operating Loss Total Revenues Operating Profit Margin (%)
Q3 2024 ($14,227,000) $183,000 (7,774.3%)
Q3 2023 ($6,780,000) $278,000 (2,438.5%)

Net Profit Margin: The net loss for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was ($12,961,000). The net profit margin is calculated as follows:

Period Net Loss Total Revenues Net Profit Margin (%)
Q3 2024 ($12,961,000) $183,000 (7,089.6%)
Q3 2023 ($6,588,000) $278,000 (2,372.3%)

Trends in Profitability: Over the past year, the company has seen a significant increase in operating and net losses. The operating loss increased from ($6,780,000) in Q3 2023 to ($14,227,000) in Q3 2024. The net loss also rose from ($6,588,000) to ($12,961,000) during the same period.

Comparison with Industry Averages: The biotechnology sector typically experiences operating margins that can range from -20% to 20%. The reported operating margin of (7,774.3%) indicates a significant deviation from industry norms, reflecting the company's ongoing investment in research and development.

Analysis of Operational Efficiency: The total operating expenses for the three months ended September 30, 2024, were $14,410,000, compared to $7,058,000 for the same period in 2023. This represents a significant increase primarily due to higher research and development costs.

Expense Category Q3 2024 Q3 2023
Research and Development $10,215,000 $3,851,000
General and Administrative $4,195,000 $3,207,000
Total Operating Expenses $14,410,000 $7,058,000

Stock Performance: The net loss per share for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was ($0.42), compared to ($0.66) for the same period in 2023. This reflects a lower loss per share, indicating some improvement in capital efficiency despite higher overall losses.

Accumulated Deficit: As of September 30, 2024, the accumulated deficit stood at ($379,908,000), an increase from ($356,214,000) at the end of March 2024.




Debt vs. Equity: How VistaGen Therapeutics, Inc. (VTGN) Finances Its Growth

Debt vs. Equity: How VistaGen Therapeutics, Inc. Finances Its Growth

The company currently holds a total debt of approximately $9.5 million as of September 30, 2024. This includes both long-term and short-term debt obligations. The breakdown of the company's debt is as follows:

Debt Type Amount (in millions)
Long-term Debt $8.2 million
Short-term Debt $1.3 million

The debt-to-equity ratio for the company stands at 0.10, which is significantly lower than the industry average of approximately 0.50. This indicates a conservative approach to leverage, reflecting a reliance on equity financing over debt financing.

In terms of recent debt issuances, the company has not engaged in any new debt transactions in the last fiscal year. The credit rating remains stable, with no downgrades reported. The company has focused on maintaining its liquidity and financial health rather than increasing its debt load.

As of the latest reports, the company has raised approximately $338.5 million through equity financing since its inception, highlighting a strong preference for equity funding. This is complemented by approximately $22.7 million from government research grants and strategic collaborations.

The company also entered into an Open Market Sale Agreement in May 2021, allowing it to sell up to $100 million of common stock. As of September 30, 2024, $100 million remains available for future sales under this agreement.

Overall, the balance between debt financing and equity funding is evident in the company’s strategy to support its growth through equity, while keeping debt levels manageable.




Assessing VistaGen Therapeutics, Inc. (VTGN) Liquidity

Assessing Liquidity and Solvency

Current Ratio: As of September 30, 2024, the current ratio is calculated as follows:

Current Assets: $97.6 million (cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities)

Current Liabilities: $9.5 million

Current Ratio = Current Assets / Current Liabilities = 10.26

Quick Ratio: The quick ratio, excluding inventory, is:

Quick Assets: $97.6 million

Quick Liabilities: $9.5 million

Quick Ratio = Quick Assets / Quick Liabilities = 10.26

Analysis of Working Capital Trends

As of September 30, 2024, the working capital is:

Working Capital = Current Assets - Current Liabilities = $97.6 million - $9.5 million = $88.1 million

Comparison over the past year shows:

  • March 31, 2024: Working Capital = $114.3 million
  • September 30, 2023: Working Capital = $37.6 million
Period Current Assets ($ million) Current Liabilities ($ million) Working Capital ($ million)
September 30, 2024 97.6 9.5 88.1
March 31, 2024 123.7 9.4 114.3
September 30, 2023 37.6 9.5 28.1

Cash Flow Statements Overview

Operating Cash Flow: For the six months ended September 30, 2024, net cash used in operating activities was ($21.8 million), compared to ($14.1 million) for the same period in 2023.

Investing Cash Flow: Net cash used in investing activities for the six months ended September 30, 2024, was ($13.3 million).

Financing Cash Flow: Net cash provided by financing activities during the same period was $0.1 million, compared to $35.1 million in 2023.

Cash Flow Activity 2024 ($ million) 2023 ($ million)
Operating Activities (21.8) (14.1)
Investing Activities (13.3) 0.0
Financing Activities 0.1 35.1

Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths

As of September 30, 2024, the accumulated deficit stands at $379.9 million. The company projects that the current cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities of approximately $97.6 million will be sufficient to fund operations for more than 12 months post-issuance of the financial statements.

The company has incurred significant losses, with a net loss of $23.7 million for the six months ended September 30, 2024. Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period were $84.2 million, compared to $37.6 million a year ago.




Is VistaGen Therapeutics, Inc. (VTGN) Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Analysis

As of September 30, 2024, the company has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of N/A, as it has not generated any revenue from product sales and continues to incur losses. The last reported net loss was $23.7 million for the six months ended September 30, 2024.

The price-to-book (P/B) ratio stands at approximately 0.83, calculated from total stockholders’ equity of $92.974 million and a market capitalization of approximately $77.0 million.

The enterprise value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio is also not applicable as the company is not generating earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) due to ongoing losses. The EBITDA for the last reported period is negative.

Stock Price Trends

Over the past 12 months, the stock price has fluctuated between a low of $0.50 and a high of $3.65. The current stock price is approximately $2.50.

Dividend Yield and Payout Ratios

The company does not currently pay a dividend, and therefore, the dividend yield is 0%. The payout ratio is also 0% as there are no dividends issued.

Analyst Consensus

Analyst consensus on stock valuation indicates a rating of Hold, with a majority of analysts suggesting that the stock is fairly valued given its current operational challenges and the potential for future growth contingent on successful clinical trials.

Financial Summary Table

Financial Metric Value
Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio N/A
Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio 0.83
Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) N/A
Net Loss (6 months ended September 30, 2024) $23.7 million
Stock Price Range (12 months) $0.50 - $3.65
Current Stock Price $2.50
Dividend Yield 0%
Payout Ratio 0%
Analyst Consensus Hold



Key Risks Facing VistaGen Therapeutics, Inc. (VTGN)

Key Risks Facing VistaGen Therapeutics, Inc.

The financial health of VistaGen Therapeutics, Inc. is impacted by a variety of internal and external risk factors that investors should consider. These risks can be broadly categorized into operational, financial, and regulatory risks.

1. Operational Risks

  • Clinical Development Risks: The company is heavily reliant on the success of its clinical trials. For the three months ended September 30, 2024, the research and development expenses were $10.2 million, significantly up from $3.9 million in the same period of 2023.
  • Failure of Product Candidates: The company has no approved products, and any failure in clinical trials could severely impact its operations. The net loss for the six months ended September 30, 2024, was $23.7 million, compared to $13.5 million for the same period in 2023.
  • Supply Chain Issues: Inadequate supply or quality of product candidates can delay clinical trials, impacting the overall timeline for product development.

2. Financial Risks

  • Significant Losses: The company has incurred cumulative losses of approximately $379.9 million as of September 30, 2024. This trend is expected to continue as the company invests heavily in R&D.
  • Liquidity Concerns: As of September 30, 2024, VistaGen reported cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaling $97.6 million, which is projected to fund operations for more than twelve months.
  • Dependence on Future Financing: The company will require substantial additional capital to fund its long-term operations, including clinical trials and commercialization efforts. It has financed operations primarily through equity and debt securities, raising approximately $338.5 million since inception.

3. Regulatory Risks

  • Regulatory Approval Delays: Any delays in obtaining necessary regulatory approvals can hinder the commercialization of product candidates. The company has noted potential delays in submitting Investigational New Drug (IND) applications.
  • Compliance Issues: Failure to comply with regulations may result in increased scrutiny from regulatory bodies, impacting clinical trial progress and costs. The company anticipates that regulatory changes could also increase operational expenses.

4. Competitive Risks

  • Industry Competition: The biopharmaceutical industry is highly competitive, with numerous companies developing similar therapies. This competition can impact market entry and pricing strategies for VistaGen's product candidates.
  • Market Access Challenges: Successful commercialization will require not only regulatory approval but also adequate market access and reimbursement strategies, which are uncertain.

5. Mitigation Strategies

To address these risks, VistaGen has outlined several strategies:

  • Funding Strategies: The company plans to seek additional funding through equity or debt securities and strategic partnerships to support its operations.
  • Enhanced Clinical Trial Management: Improving trial designs and operational efficiencies to mitigate the risks of trial failures and delays.
  • Regulatory Engagement: Maintaining active communication with regulatory bodies to ensure compliance and facilitate smoother approval processes.
Risk Factor Description Current Financial Impact
Operational Risks Reliance on successful clinical trials and product candidate efficacy R&D expenses: $10.2 million (Q3 2024)
Financial Risks Significant cumulative losses and liquidity concerns Cumulative losses: $379.9 million as of September 30, 2024
Regulatory Risks Delays in regulatory approvals and compliance issues Potential delays in IND submissions
Competitive Risks Intense competition in the biopharmaceutical market Uncertain market access and pricing strategies



Future Growth Prospects for VistaGen Therapeutics, Inc. (VTGN)

Future Growth Prospects for VistaGen Therapeutics, Inc.

Key Growth Drivers

  • Product Innovations: The ongoing PALISADE-3 and PALISADE-4 Phase 3 clinical trials for fasedienol, which is being evaluated as a treatment for social anxiety disorder (SAD), represent significant advancements in the company's product pipeline.
  • Market Expansions: The negotiation of an exclusive licensing agreement with Fuji Pharma Co., Ltd. for the development and commercialization of PH80 in Japan highlights potential market expansion opportunities.
  • Acquisitions: The acquisition of Pherin Pharmaceuticals in February 2023 adds to the company's portfolio, enabling further development of pherine product candidates.

Future Revenue Growth Projections

For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, total revenues are projected to remain modest, with expected sublicense and other revenue of approximately $267,000 for the six months ended September 30, 2024, compared to $455,000 for the same period in 2023. The emphasis will continue to be on clinical development rather than immediate revenue generation.

Earnings Estimates

The net loss for the six months ended September 30, 2024, was approximately $23.7 million, compared to $13.5 million for the same period in 2023. Future losses are expected as the company invests heavily in R&D and clinical trials.

Strategic Initiatives or Partnerships

The collaboration agreements with AffaMed Therapeutics and Fuji Pharma represent strategic initiatives aimed at enhancing the company’s reach and capabilities in new markets. The AffaMed agreement, which has generated $0.2 million in revenue for the three months ended September 30, 2024, is a testament to the potential of collaborative efforts in driving future revenue.

Competitive Advantages

The company possesses significant competitive advantages including:

  • Robust Pipeline: A diverse neuroscience product pipeline with multiple candidates in various stages of clinical development enhances the potential for successful product launches.
  • Strong Intellectual Property Portfolio: Continuous efforts to expand and protect intellectual property rights position the company favorably against competitors.
  • Experienced Management Team: The leadership's expertise in the biopharmaceutical industry aids in navigating complex regulatory landscapes and advancing product development efficiently.
Financial Metrics Q2 2024 Q2 2023 Change
Total Revenues $183,000 $278,000 -34.1%
Net Loss ($12.9 million) ($6.6 million) +95.3%
Research & Development Expenses $10.2 million $3.9 million +161.5%
General & Administrative Expenses $4.2 million $3.2 million +31.3%

Cash Position

As of September 30, 2024, the company had cash and cash equivalents of approximately $84.2 million, providing a runway to support ongoing clinical trials and operational costs for more than 12 months.

The exploration of additional financing options, including equity and debt securities, remains critical to fund future growth initiatives.

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Resources:

  1. VistaGen Therapeutics, Inc. (VTGN) Financial Statements – Access the full quarterly financial statements for Q2 2025 to get an in-depth view of VistaGen Therapeutics, Inc. (VTGN)' financial performance, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  2. SEC Filings – View VistaGen Therapeutics, Inc. (VTGN)' latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for regulatory reports, annual and quarterly filings, and other essential disclosures.