Air Transport Services Group, Inc. (ATSG) DCF Valuation
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- ✓ No Expertise Is Needed; Easy To Follow
Air Transport Services Group, Inc. (ATSG) Bundle
As an investor or analyst, this (ATSG) DCF Calculator is your go-to resource for accurate valuation. Loaded with real data from Air Transport Services Group, Inc., you can easily adjust your forecasts and observe the effects in real time.
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)
| Year | AY1 2019 |
AY2 2020 |
AY3 2021 |
AY4 2022 |
AY5 2023 |
FY1 2024 |
FY2 2025 |
FY3 2026 |
FY4 2027 |
FY5 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1,570.6 | 1,734.3 | 2,045.5 | 2,045.5 | 2,070.6 | 2,273.3 | 2,495.7 | 2,740.0 | 3,008.1 | 3,302.5 |
| Revenue Growth, % | 0 | 10.42 | 17.94 | 0 | 1.23 | 9.79 | 9.79 | 9.79 | 9.79 | 9.79 |
| EBITDA | 395.7 | 382.4 | 674.9 | 638.4 | 507.7 | 618.2 | 678.7 | 745.1 | 818.0 | 898.1 |
| EBITDA, % | 25.2 | 22.05 | 33 | 31.21 | 24.52 | 27.19 | 27.19 | 27.19 | 27.19 | 27.19 |
| Depreciation | 257.5 | 278.1 | 308.4 | 331.1 | 343.0 | 364.9 | 400.6 | 439.8 | 482.9 | 530.1 |
| Depreciation, % | 16.4 | 16.03 | 15.08 | 16.19 | 16.56 | 16.05 | 16.05 | 16.05 | 16.05 | 16.05 |
| EBIT | 138.2 | 104.3 | 366.5 | 307.4 | 164.7 | 253.3 | 278.1 | 305.3 | 335.2 | 368.0 |
| EBIT, % | 8.8 | 6.01 | 17.92 | 15.03 | 7.95 | 11.14 | 11.14 | 11.14 | 11.14 | 11.14 |
| Total Cash | 39.7 | 69.5 | 27.1 | 27.1 | 53.6 | 53.5 | 58.8 | 64.5 | 70.8 | 77.8 |
| Total Cash, percent | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 |
| Account Receivables | 162.9 | 153.5 | 205.4 | 301.6 | 215.6 | 247.4 | 271.6 | 298.2 | 327.4 | 359.4 |
| Account Receivables, % | 10.37 | 8.85 | 10.04 | 14.75 | 10.41 | 10.88 | 10.88 | 10.88 | 10.88 | 10.88 |
| Inventories | 40.4 | 49.2 | 57.8 | 57.8 | 49.9 | 61.2 | 67.2 | 73.8 | 81.0 | 89.0 |
| Inventories, % | 2.57 | 2.84 | 2.82 | 2.82 | 2.41 | 2.69 | 2.69 | 2.69 | 2.69 | 2.69 |
| Accounts Payable | 141.1 | 141.4 | 174.2 | 193.0 | 227.7 | 209.5 | 230.0 | 252.5 | 277.3 | 304.4 |
| Accounts Payable, % | 8.98 | 8.15 | 8.52 | 9.44 | 10.99 | 9.22 | 9.22 | 9.22 | 9.22 | 9.22 |
| Capital Expenditure | -510.4 | -504.7 | -599.4 | -599.4 | -793.4 | -720.8 | -791.3 | -868.8 | -953.8 | -1,047.1 |
| Capital Expenditure, % | -32.5 | -29.1 | -29.31 | -29.31 | -38.32 | -31.71 | -31.71 | -31.71 | -31.71 | -31.71 |
| Tax Rate, % | 28.39 | 28.39 | 28.39 | 28.39 | 28.39 | 28.39 | 28.39 | 28.39 | 28.39 | 28.39 |
| EBITAT | 83.7 | 80.1 | 325.6 | 234.3 | 117.9 | 189.5 | 208.1 | 228.4 | 250.8 | 275.3 |
| Depreciation | ||||||||||
| Changes in Account Receivables | ||||||||||
| Changes in Inventories | ||||||||||
| Changes in Accounts Payable | ||||||||||
| Capital Expenditure | ||||||||||
| UFCF | -231.3 | -145.7 | 7.0 | -111.5 | -204.0 | -227.6 | -192.3 | -211.2 | -231.8 | -254.5 |
| WACC, % | 5.35 | 5.73 | 6.01 | 5.72 | 5.61 | 5.68 | 5.68 | 5.68 | 5.68 | 5.68 |
| PV UFCF | ||||||||||
| SUM PV UFCF | -945.4 | |||||||||
| Long Term Growth Rate, % | 1.00 | |||||||||
| Free cash flow (T + 1) | -257 | |||||||||
| Terminal Value | -5,488 | |||||||||
| Present Terminal Value | -4,162 | |||||||||
| Enterprise Value | -5,108 | |||||||||
| Net Debt | 1,764 | |||||||||
| Equity Value | -6,871 | |||||||||
| Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM | 76 | |||||||||
| Equity Value Per Share | -90.94 |
What You Will Get
- Pre-Filled Financial Model: ATSG’s actual data allows for accurate DCF valuation.
- Full Forecast Control: Modify revenue growth, margins, WACC, and other essential parameters.
- Instant Calculations: Automatic updates provide immediate feedback as you make adjustments.
- Investor-Ready Template: A polished Excel file crafted for high-quality valuation.
- Customizable and Reusable: Designed for adaptability, enabling repeated use for in-depth forecasts.
Key Features
- Comprehensive DCF Calculator: Offers detailed unlevered and levered DCF valuation models tailored for Air Transport Services Group, Inc. (ATSG).
- WACC Calculator: Features a pre-built Weighted Average Cost of Capital sheet with adjustable inputs specific to ATSG.
- Customizable Forecast Assumptions: Adjust growth rates, capital expenditures, and discount rates for accurate projections.
- Integrated Financial Ratios: Evaluate profitability, leverage, and efficiency ratios pertinent to Air Transport Services Group, Inc. (ATSG).
- Interactive Dashboard and Charts: Visual representations summarize essential valuation metrics for straightforward analysis.
How It Works
- Download the Template: Gain immediate access to the Excel-based ATSG DCF Calculator.
- Input Your Assumptions: Modify the yellow-highlighted cells for growth rates, WACC, margins, and other variables.
- Instant Calculations: The model automatically recalculates the intrinsic value of Air Transport Services Group, Inc. (ATSG).
- Test Scenarios: Experiment with various assumptions to assess potential changes in valuation.
- Analyze and Decide: Utilize the results to inform your investment strategy or financial analysis.
Why Choose This Calculator?
- Designed for Experts: A sophisticated tool favored by analysts, CFOs, and aviation consultants.
- Comprehensive Data: ATSG’s historical and projected financials are preloaded for precise calculations.
- Flexible Scenario Analysis: Effortlessly simulate various forecasts and assumptions.
- Clear Results: Automatically computes intrinsic value, NPV, and essential metrics.
- User-Friendly: Step-by-step instructions ensure a smooth experience.
Who Should Use This Product?
- Investors: Effectively evaluate Air Transport Services Group, Inc.'s (ATSG) fair value prior to making investment choices.
- CFOs: Utilize a high-quality DCF model for comprehensive financial reporting and analysis.
- Consultants: Seamlessly customize the template for client valuation reports.
- Entrepreneurs: Acquire knowledge on financial modeling practices employed by leading logistics companies.
- Educators: Implement it as a resource to illustrate valuation techniques in the classroom.
What the Template Contains
- Comprehensive DCF Model: Editable template featuring detailed valuation calculations tailored for Air Transport Services Group, Inc. (ATSG).
- Real-World Data: ATSG’s historical and projected financials preloaded for in-depth analysis.
- Customizable Parameters: Modify WACC, growth rates, and tax assumptions to explore various scenarios.
- Financial Statements: Complete annual and quarterly breakdowns for enhanced insights into ATSG's performance.
- Key Ratios: Integrated analysis for profitability, efficiency, and leverage metrics specific to ATSG.
- Dashboard with Visual Outputs: Charts and tables designed to present clear, actionable results for informed decision-making.