Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) DCF Valuation
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Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) Bundle
Become an expert in assessing Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s (HOG) financial outlook! This (HOG) DCF Calculator offers pre-filled financial data along with the flexibility to modify revenue growth, WACC, profit margins, and other vital assumptions to match your projections.
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)
Year | AY1 2019 |
AY2 2020 |
AY3 2021 |
AY4 2022 |
AY5 2023 |
FY1 2024 |
FY2 2025 |
FY3 2026 |
FY4 2027 |
FY5 2028 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 5,361.8 | 4,054.4 | 5,336.3 | 5,755.1 | 5,836.5 | 6,077.2 | 6,327.8 | 6,588.8 | 6,860.5 | 7,143.5 |
Revenue Growth, % | 0 | -24.38 | 31.62 | 7.85 | 1.41 | 4.12 | 4.12 | 4.12 | 4.12 | 4.12 |
EBITDA | 820.7 | 323.2 | 999.5 | 1,106.8 | 1,055.4 | 964.1 | 1,003.9 | 1,045.3 | 1,088.4 | 1,133.3 |
EBITDA, % | 15.31 | 7.97 | 18.73 | 19.23 | 18.08 | 15.86 | 15.86 | 15.86 | 15.86 | 15.86 |
Depreciation | 232.5 | 185.7 | 165.2 | 151.9 | 158.1 | 211.0 | 219.7 | 228.8 | 238.2 | 248.1 |
Depreciation, % | 4.34 | 4.58 | 3.1 | 2.64 | 2.71 | 3.47 | 3.47 | 3.47 | 3.47 | 3.47 |
EBIT | 588.1 | 137.5 | 834.3 | 954.9 | 897.3 | 753.1 | 784.1 | 816.5 | 850.2 | 885.2 |
EBIT, % | 10.97 | 3.39 | 15.63 | 16.59 | 15.37 | 12.39 | 12.39 | 12.39 | 12.39 | 12.39 |
Total Cash | 833.9 | 3,257.2 | 1,874.7 | 1,433.2 | 1,533.8 | 2,214.6 | 2,305.9 | 2,401.0 | 2,500.0 | 2,603.1 |
Total Cash, percent | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 |
Account Receivables | 2,531.9 | 1,652.6 | 1,647.7 | 2,034.9 | 2,380.9 | 2,370.2 | 2,468.0 | 2,569.8 | 2,675.7 | 2,786.1 |
Account Receivables, % | 47.22 | 40.76 | 30.88 | 35.36 | 40.79 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 |
Inventories | 603.6 | 523.5 | 712.9 | 951.0 | 930.0 | 850.6 | 885.7 | 922.2 | 960.3 | 999.9 |
Inventories, % | 11.26 | 12.91 | 13.36 | 16.52 | 15.93 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
Accounts Payable | 294.4 | 290.9 | 375.0 | 378.0 | 349.2 | 391.9 | 408.1 | 424.9 | 442.4 | 460.6 |
Accounts Payable, % | 5.49 | 7.18 | 7.03 | 6.57 | 5.98 | 6.45 | 6.45 | 6.45 | 6.45 | 6.45 |
Capital Expenditure | -181.4 | -131.1 | -120.2 | -151.7 | -207.4 | -183.0 | -190.6 | -198.4 | -206.6 | -215.1 |
Capital Expenditure, % | -3.38 | -3.23 | -2.25 | -2.64 | -3.55 | -3.01 | -3.01 | -3.01 | -3.01 | -3.01 |
Tax Rate, % | 18.49 | 18.49 | 18.49 | 18.49 | 18.49 | 18.49 | 18.49 | 18.49 | 18.49 | 18.49 |
EBITAT | 447.0 | -11.3 | 662.0 | 760.2 | 731.4 | 476.7 | 496.3 | 516.8 | 538.1 | 560.3 |
Depreciation | ||||||||||
Changes in Account Receivables | ||||||||||
Changes in Inventories | ||||||||||
Changes in Accounts Payable | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | ||||||||||
UFCF | -2,343.0 | 999.2 | 606.5 | 138.3 | 328.2 | 637.4 | 408.8 | 425.7 | 443.2 | 461.5 |
WACC, % | 6.43 | 4.33 | 6.52 | 6.53 | 6.58 | 6.08 | 6.08 | 6.08 | 6.08 | 6.08 |
PV UFCF | ||||||||||
SUM PV UFCF | 2,014.5 | |||||||||
Long Term Growth Rate, % | 1.00 | |||||||||
Free cash flow (T + 1) | 466 | |||||||||
Terminal Value | 9,181 | |||||||||
Present Terminal Value | 6,836 | |||||||||
Enterprise Value | 8,850 | |||||||||
Net Debt | 5,662 | |||||||||
Equity Value | 3,188 | |||||||||
Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM | 145 | |||||||||
Equity Value Per Share | 21.97 |
What You Will Get
- Pre-Filled Financial Model: Harley-Davidson’s actual data facilitates accurate DCF valuation.
- Full Forecast Control: Modify revenue growth, margins, WACC, and other essential drivers.
- Instant Calculations: Automatic updates provide real-time results as you adjust inputs.
- Investor-Ready Template: A polished Excel file crafted for professional-level valuation.
- Customizable and Reusable: Designed for adaptability, allowing repeated application for in-depth forecasts.
Key Features
- Customizable Performance Metrics: Adjust essential variables such as sales growth, operating margin, and capital investments.
- Instant DCF Valuation: Quickly computes intrinsic value, NPV, and additional financial metrics.
- Industry-Leading Precision: Leverages Harley-Davidson’s real-world financial data for accurate valuation results.
- Effortless Scenario Analysis: Easily explore various assumptions and assess different outcomes.
- Efficiency Booster: Remove the hassle of creating intricate valuation models from the ground up.
How It Works
- Download the Template: Gain immediate access to the Excel-based HOG DCF Calculator.
- Input Your Assumptions: Modify the yellow-highlighted cells for growth rates, WACC, margins, and other variables.
- Instant Calculations: The model automatically recalculates Harley-Davidson’s intrinsic value.
- Test Scenarios: Experiment with various assumptions to assess potential valuation shifts.
- Analyze and Decide: Utilize the outcomes to inform your investment or financial analysis.
Why Choose This Calculator?
- User-Friendly Interface: Tailored for both novices and seasoned users.
- Customizable Inputs: Adjust parameters easily to suit your financial evaluations.
- Real-Time Feedback: Observe immediate changes to Harley-Davidson’s valuation as you modify inputs.
- Pre-Loaded Data: Comes with Harley-Davidson’s latest financial information for swift analysis.
- Relied Upon by Experts: Favored by investors and analysts for making educated decisions.
Who Should Use This Product?
- Investors: Evaluate Harley-Davidson’s valuation before making investment decisions.
- CFOs and Financial Analysts: Optimize valuation methodologies and assess future forecasts.
- Startup Founders: Understand the valuation strategies of established brands like Harley-Davidson.
- Consultants: Provide comprehensive valuation analyses for clients in the automotive sector.
- Students and Educators: Utilize current data to learn and teach valuation principles.
What the Template Contains
- Pre-Filled DCF Model: Harley-Davidson’s financial data preloaded for immediate use.
- WACC Calculator: Detailed calculations for Weighted Average Cost of Capital.
- Financial Ratios: Evaluate Harley-Davidson’s profitability, leverage, and efficiency.
- Editable Inputs: Change assumptions such as growth, margins, and CAPEX to fit your scenarios.
- Financial Statements: Annual and quarterly reports to support detailed analysis.
- Interactive Dashboard: Easily visualize key valuation metrics and results.