Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) DCF Valuation
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Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) Bundle
Gain insights into your Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) valuation analysis using our sophisticated DCF Calculator! Preloaded with actual PAG data, this Excel template enables you to adjust forecasts and assumptions to accurately determine the intrinsic value of Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG).
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)
| Year | AY1 2019 |
AY2 2020 |
AY3 2021 |
AY4 2022 |
AY5 2023 |
FY1 2024 |
FY2 2025 |
FY3 2026 |
FY4 2027 |
FY5 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 23,179.4 | 20,443.9 | 25,554.7 | 27,814.8 | 29,527.4 | 31,609.0 | 33,837.4 | 36,222.8 | 38,776.4 | 41,510.1 |
| Revenue Growth, % | 0 | -11.8 | 25 | 8.84 | 6.16 | 7.05 | 7.05 | 7.05 | 7.05 | 7.05 |
| EBITDA | 762.3 | 820.0 | 1,477.9 | 1,615.1 | 1,653.1 | 1,548.1 | 1,657.2 | 1,774.1 | 1,899.1 | 2,033.0 |
| EBITDA, % | 3.29 | 4.01 | 5.78 | 5.81 | 5.6 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 4.9 |
| Depreciation | 109.6 | 115.5 | 121.5 | 127.3 | 141.0 | 154.8 | 165.7 | 177.4 | 189.9 | 203.3 |
| Depreciation, % | 0.47283 | 0.56496 | 0.47545 | 0.45767 | 0.47752 | 0.48969 | 0.48969 | 0.48969 | 0.48969 | 0.48969 |
| EBIT | 652.7 | 704.5 | 1,356.4 | 1,487.8 | 1,512.1 | 1,393.3 | 1,491.5 | 1,596.7 | 1,709.2 | 1,829.7 |
| EBIT, % | 2.82 | 3.45 | 5.31 | 5.35 | 5.12 | 4.41 | 4.41 | 4.41 | 4.41 | 4.41 |
| Total Cash | 28.1 | 49.5 | 100.7 | 106.5 | 96.4 | 92.7 | 99.3 | 106.3 | 113.8 | 121.8 |
| Total Cash, percent | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 |
| Account Receivables | 960.3 | 806.9 | 734.0 | 906.7 | 1,114.6 | 1,137.7 | 1,217.9 | 1,303.8 | 1,395.7 | 1,494.1 |
| Account Receivables, % | 4.14 | 3.95 | 2.87 | 3.26 | 3.77 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| Inventories | 4,260.7 | 3,425.6 | 3,129.0 | 3,509.1 | 4,293.1 | 4,712.1 | 5,044.3 | 5,399.9 | 5,780.6 | 6,188.1 |
| Inventories, % | 18.38 | 16.76 | 12.24 | 12.62 | 14.54 | 14.91 | 14.91 | 14.91 | 14.91 | 14.91 |
| Accounts Payable | 638.8 | 675.4 | 767.1 | 853.5 | 866.9 | 952.4 | 1,019.6 | 1,091.5 | 1,168.4 | 1,250.8 |
| Accounts Payable, % | 2.76 | 3.3 | 3 | 3.07 | 2.94 | 3.01 | 3.01 | 3.01 | 3.01 | 3.01 |
| Capital Expenditure | -245.3 | -185.9 | -248.9 | -282.5 | -375.3 | -330.5 | -353.8 | -378.8 | -405.5 | -434.0 |
| Capital Expenditure, % | -1.06 | -0.90932 | -0.97399 | -1.02 | -1.27 | -1.05 | -1.05 | -1.05 | -1.05 | -1.05 |
| Tax Rate, % | 25.8 | 25.8 | 25.8 | 25.8 | 25.8 | 25.8 | 25.8 | 25.8 | 25.8 | 25.8 |
| EBITAT | 480.9 | 541.2 | 1,002.1 | 1,104.3 | 1,121.9 | 1,038.9 | 1,112.1 | 1,190.5 | 1,274.4 | 1,364.3 |
| Depreciation | ||||||||||
| Changes in Account Receivables | ||||||||||
| Changes in Inventories | ||||||||||
| Changes in Accounts Payable | ||||||||||
| Capital Expenditure | ||||||||||
| UFCF | -4,237.0 | 1,495.9 | 1,335.9 | 482.7 | -90.9 | 506.5 | 578.7 | 619.5 | 663.2 | 709.9 |
| WACC, % | 7.13 | 7.19 | 7.13 | 7.14 | 7.14 | 7.15 | 7.15 | 7.15 | 7.15 | 7.15 |
| PV UFCF | ||||||||||
| SUM PV UFCF | 2,486.5 | |||||||||
| Long Term Growth Rate, % | 2.00 | |||||||||
| Free cash flow (T + 1) | 724 | |||||||||
| Terminal Value | 14,074 | |||||||||
| Present Terminal Value | 9,967 | |||||||||
| Enterprise Value | 12,453 | |||||||||
| Net Debt | 7,640 | |||||||||
| Equity Value | 4,813 | |||||||||
| Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM | 68 | |||||||||
| Equity Value Per Share | 70.82 |
What You Will Receive
- Authentic Penske Data: Preloaded financials – encompassing revenue to EBIT – derived from actual and projected figures.
- Comprehensive Customization: Modify all essential parameters (yellow cells) such as WACC, growth %, and tax rates.
- Immediate Valuation Adjustments: Automatic recalculations to assess the effects of changes on Penske Automotive Group’s fair value.
- Flexible Excel Template: Designed for quick modifications, scenario analysis, and in-depth projections.
- Efficient and Precise: Avoid constructing models from the ground up while ensuring accuracy and adaptability.
Key Features
- Customizable Financial Metrics: Adjust essential parameters such as sales growth, operating margin, and capital investments.
- Instant DCF Valuation: Quickly computes intrinsic value, net present value (NPV), and additional financial metrics.
- High-Precision Analysis: Leverages Penske Automotive Group's actual financial data for accurate valuation results.
- Effortless Scenario Testing: Evaluate various assumptions and analyze different outcomes with ease.
- Efficiency Booster: Streamline your workflow by avoiding the construction of intricate valuation models from the ground up.
How It Works
- Download: Obtain the comprehensive Excel file containing Penske Automotive Group, Inc.'s (PAG) financial data.
- Customize: Modify projections, including sales growth, EBITDA %, and WACC as per your analysis.
- Update Automatically: The intrinsic value and NPV calculations refresh in real-time for accuracy.
- Test Scenarios: Develop various forecasts and instantly compare different outcomes.
- Make Decisions: Leverage the valuation insights to shape your investment approach.
Why Choose This Calculator for Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG)?
- Accuracy: Utilizes real Penske Automotive financial data to ensure precise calculations.
- Flexibility: Allows users to easily test and adjust inputs according to their needs.
- Time-Saving: Eliminate the complexities of constructing a DCF model from the ground up.
- Professional-Grade: Crafted with the precision and usability expected by CFOs.
- User-Friendly: Intuitive interface that caters to users with varying levels of financial expertise.
Who Should Use This Product?
- Automotive Students: Understand dealership operations and apply concepts using real-world data.
- Researchers: Integrate industry-specific models into academic projects or studies.
- Investors: Evaluate your investment strategies and analyze valuation metrics for Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG).
- Market Analysts: Enhance your analysis with a customizable model tailored for automotive stocks.
- Dealership Owners: Learn how major automotive groups like Penske are assessed in the market.
What the Template Contains
- Comprehensive DCF Model: Editable template featuring detailed valuation calculations tailored for Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG).
- Real-World Data: Penske Automotive's historical and projected financials preloaded for in-depth analysis.
- Customizable Parameters: Modify WACC, growth rates, and tax assumptions to explore various scenarios.
- Financial Statements: Complete annual and quarterly breakdowns to provide deeper insights into performance.
- Key Ratios: Integrated analysis for assessing profitability, efficiency, and leverage metrics.
- Dashboard with Visual Outputs: Interactive charts and tables designed for clear, actionable results.