American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) DCF Valuation
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American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) Bundle
Whether you’re an investor or analyst, this AAL DCF Calculator is your essential tool for accurate valuation. Featuring real data from American Airlines Group Inc., you can adjust forecasts and observe the effects in real-time.
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)
| Year | AY1 2019 |
AY2 2020 |
AY3 2021 |
AY4 2022 |
AY5 2023 |
FY1 2024 |
FY2 2025 |
FY3 2026 |
FY4 2027 |
FY5 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 45,768.0 | 17,337.0 | 29,882.0 | 48,971.0 | 52,788.0 | 63,598.4 | 76,622.6 | 92,314.1 | 111,219.0 | 133,995.4 |
| Revenue Growth, % | 0 | -62.12 | 72.36 | 63.88 | 7.79 | 20.48 | 20.48 | 20.48 | 20.48 | 20.48 |
| EBITDA | 5,669.0 | -7,861.0 | 1,587.0 | 4,125.0 | 5,202.0 | -1,191.5 | -1,435.5 | -1,729.4 | -2,083.6 | -2,510.3 |
| EBITDA, % | 12.39 | -45.34 | 5.31 | 8.42 | 9.85 | -1.87 | -1.87 | -1.87 | -1.87 | -1.87 |
| Depreciation | 2,318.0 | 2,365.0 | 2,335.0 | 1,977.0 | 1,936.0 | 4,353.3 | 5,244.8 | 6,318.8 | 7,612.9 | 9,171.9 |
| Depreciation, % | 5.06 | 13.64 | 7.81 | 4.04 | 3.67 | 6.84 | 6.84 | 6.84 | 6.84 | 6.84 |
| EBIT | 3,351.0 | -10,226.0 | -748.0 | 2,148.0 | 3,266.0 | -5,544.7 | -6,680.2 | -8,048.3 | -9,696.5 | -11,682.2 |
| EBIT, % | 7.32 | -58.98 | -2.5 | 4.39 | 6.19 | -8.72 | -8.72 | -8.72 | -8.72 | -8.72 |
| Total Cash | 3,826.0 | 6,864.0 | 13,286.0 | 9,814.0 | 7,578.0 | 16,129.7 | 19,432.8 | 23,412.5 | 28,207.1 | 33,983.6 |
| Total Cash, percent | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 |
| Account Receivables | 1,750.0 | 1,342.0 | 1,505.0 | 2,138.0 | 2,026.0 | 3,155.1 | 3,801.2 | 4,579.6 | 5,517.5 | 6,647.4 |
| Account Receivables, % | 3.82 | 7.74 | 5.04 | 4.37 | 3.84 | 4.96 | 4.96 | 4.96 | 4.96 | 4.96 |
| Inventories | 1,851.0 | 1,614.0 | 1,795.0 | 2,279.0 | 2,400.0 | 3,632.9 | 4,376.9 | 5,273.2 | 6,353.1 | 7,654.1 |
| Inventories, % | 4.04 | 9.31 | 6.01 | 4.65 | 4.55 | 5.71 | 5.71 | 5.71 | 5.71 | 5.71 |
| Accounts Payable | 2,062.0 | 1,196.0 | 1,772.0 | 2,149.0 | 2,353.0 | 3,330.0 | 4,011.9 | 4,833.5 | 5,823.3 | 7,015.9 |
| Accounts Payable, % | 4.51 | 6.9 | 5.93 | 4.39 | 4.46 | 5.24 | 5.24 | 5.24 | 5.24 | 5.24 |
| Capital Expenditure | -4,268.0 | -1,958.0 | -208.0 | -2,906.0 | -2,596.0 | -4,091.5 | -4,929.4 | -5,938.9 | -7,155.2 | -8,620.5 |
| Capital Expenditure, % | -9.33 | -11.29 | -0.69607 | -5.93 | -4.92 | -6.43 | -6.43 | -6.43 | -6.43 | -6.43 |
| Tax Rate, % | 26.67 | 26.67 | 26.67 | 26.67 | 26.67 | 26.67 | 26.67 | 26.67 | 26.67 | 26.67 |
| EBITAT | 2,504.3 | -7,933.1 | -585.1 | 1,466.6 | 2,394.9 | -4,126.8 | -4,971.9 | -5,990.1 | -7,216.8 | -8,694.8 |
| Depreciation | ||||||||||
| Changes in Account Receivables | ||||||||||
| Changes in Inventories | ||||||||||
| Changes in Accounts Payable | ||||||||||
| Capital Expenditure | ||||||||||
| UFCF | -984.7 | -7,747.1 | 1,773.9 | -202.4 | 1,929.9 | -5,250.1 | -5,364.8 | -6,463.4 | -7,787.1 | -9,381.8 |
| WACC, % | 5.61 | 5.73 | 5.75 | 5.35 | 5.56 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 |
| PV UFCF | ||||||||||
| SUM PV UFCF | -28,677.3 | |||||||||
| Long Term Growth Rate, % | 3.40 | |||||||||
| Free cash flow (T + 1) | -9,701 | |||||||||
| Terminal Value | -440,848 | |||||||||
| Present Terminal Value | -335,706 | |||||||||
| Enterprise Value | -364,383 | |||||||||
| Net Debt | 40,085 | |||||||||
| Equity Value | -404,468 | |||||||||
| Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM | 720 | |||||||||
| Equity Value Per Share | -562.02 |
What You Will Get
- Real American Airlines Data: Preloaded financials – from revenue to EBIT – based on actual and projected figures.
- Full Customization: Adjust all critical parameters (yellow cells) like WACC, growth %, and tax rates.
- Instant Valuation Updates: Automatic recalculations to analyze the impact of changes on American Airlines Group Inc.'s (AAL) fair value.
- Versatile Excel Template: Tailored for quick edits, scenario testing, and detailed projections.
- Time-Saving and Accurate: Skip building models from scratch while maintaining precision and flexibility.
Key Features
- Real-Life AAL Data: Pre-filled with American Airlines Group Inc.'s historical financials and future projections.
- Fully Customizable Inputs: Modify revenue growth, margins, WACC, tax rates, and capital expenditures to suit your analysis.
- Dynamic Valuation Model: Automatic updates to Net Present Value (NPV) and intrinsic value based on your customized inputs.
- Scenario Testing: Develop multiple forecasting scenarios to explore various valuation outcomes.
- User-Friendly Design: Intuitive, organized, and tailored for both professionals and newcomers.
How It Works
- Step 1: Download the prebuilt Excel template with American Airlines Group Inc.'s (AAL) data included.
- Step 2: Explore the pre-filled sheets and understand the key metrics.
- Step 3: Update forecasts and assumptions in the editable yellow cells (WACC, growth, margins).
- Step 4: Instantly view recalculated results, including American Airlines Group Inc.'s (AAL) intrinsic value.
- Step 5: Make informed investment decisions or generate reports using the outputs.
Why Choose This Calculator for American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL)?
- User-Friendly Interface: Perfect for both novice users and seasoned professionals.
- Customizable Inputs: Adjust parameters to suit your specific analysis needs.
- Real-Time Valuation: Instantly observe how changes affect American Airlines' valuation.
- Preloaded Data: Comes equipped with American Airlines' latest financial information for immediate evaluation.
- Preferred by Experts: Widely utilized by investors and analysts for making well-informed choices.
Who Should Use This Product?
- Investors: Evaluate American Airlines Group Inc.'s (AAL) performance before making investment decisions.
- CFOs and Financial Analysts: Optimize valuation methodologies and assess financial forecasts.
- Startup Founders: Understand the valuation strategies of established companies like American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL).
- Consultants: Provide comprehensive valuation analyses for clients in the aviation sector.
- Students and Educators: Utilize current market data to learn and teach valuation principles.
What the Template Contains
- Preloaded AAL Data: Historical and projected financial data, including revenue, EBIT, and capital expenditures.
- DCF and WACC Models: Professional-grade sheets for calculating intrinsic value and Weighted Average Cost of Capital.
- Editable Inputs: Yellow-highlighted cells for adjusting revenue growth, tax rates, and discount rates.
- Financial Statements: Comprehensive annual and quarterly financials for deeper analysis.
- Key Ratios: Profitability, leverage, and efficiency ratios to evaluate performance.
- Dashboard and Charts: Visual summaries of valuation outcomes and assumptions.