Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) DCF Valuation
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Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) Bundle
Enhance your investment strategies with the Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) DCF Calculator! Dive into authentic Shake Shack financials, adjust growth projections and expenses, and instantly observe how these modifications affect the intrinsic value of Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK).
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)
Year | AY1 2019 |
AY2 2020 |
AY3 2021 |
AY4 2022 |
AY5 2023 |
FY1 2024 |
FY2 2025 |
FY3 2026 |
FY4 2027 |
FY5 2028 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 594.5 | 522.9 | 739.9 | 900.5 | 1,087.5 | 1,283.1 | 1,513.8 | 1,786.1 | 2,107.3 | 2,486.2 |
Revenue Growth, % | 0 | -12.05 | 41.51 | 21.7 | 20.77 | 17.98 | 17.98 | 17.98 | 17.98 | 17.98 |
EBITDA | 68.7 | 5.6 | 44.5 | 51.5 | 111.7 | 88.9 | 104.8 | 123.7 | 145.9 | 172.2 |
EBITDA, % | 11.55 | 1.07 | 6.01 | 5.72 | 10.27 | 6.92 | 6.92 | 6.92 | 6.92 | 6.92 |
Depreciation | 40.7 | 50.2 | 60.2 | 74.3 | 93.0 | 106.2 | 125.4 | 147.9 | 174.5 | 205.9 |
Depreciation, % | 6.85 | 9.61 | 8.14 | 8.25 | 8.56 | 8.28 | 8.28 | 8.28 | 8.28 | 8.28 |
EBIT | 27.9 | -44.7 | -15.8 | -22.8 | 18.7 | -17.4 | -20.5 | -24.2 | -28.6 | -33.7 |
EBIT, % | 4.7 | -8.54 | -2.13 | -2.53 | 1.72 | -1.36 | -1.36 | -1.36 | -1.36 | -1.36 |
Total Cash | 37.1 | 183.8 | 302.4 | 311.2 | 293.2 | 369.0 | 435.3 | 513.6 | 606.0 | 714.9 |
Total Cash, percent | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 |
Account Receivables | 10.0 | 9.5 | 13.7 | 12.2 | 29.0 | 24.0 | 28.3 | 33.4 | 39.4 | 46.5 |
Account Receivables, % | 1.68 | 1.81 | 1.85 | 1.36 | 2.67 | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.87 |
Inventories | 2.2 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 5.4 | 6.2 | 7.3 | 8.6 | 10.1 | 12.0 |
Inventories, % | 0.37358 | 0.55234 | 0.52035 | 0.46464 | 0.4969 | 0.48156 | 0.48156 | 0.48156 | 0.48156 | 0.48156 |
Accounts Payable | 14.3 | 23.5 | 19.9 | 20.4 | 22.3 | 35.7 | 42.1 | 49.7 | 58.6 | 69.2 |
Accounts Payable, % | 2.41 | 4.49 | 2.7 | 2.27 | 2.05 | 2.78 | 2.78 | 2.78 | 2.78 | 2.78 |
Capital Expenditure | -106.5 | -69.0 | -101.5 | -142.6 | -146.2 | -190.2 | -224.4 | -264.7 | -312.3 | -368.5 |
Capital Expenditure, % | -17.91 | -13.2 | -13.72 | -15.83 | -13.44 | -14.82 | -14.82 | -14.82 | -14.82 | -14.82 |
Tax Rate, % | -19.34 | -19.34 | -19.34 | -19.34 | -19.34 | -19.34 | -19.34 | -19.34 | -19.34 | -19.34 |
EBITAT | 20.1 | -44.7 | -9.2 | -24.3 | 22.3 | -15.0 | -17.7 | -20.8 | -24.6 | -29.0 |
Depreciation | ||||||||||
Changes in Account Receivables | ||||||||||
Changes in Inventories | ||||||||||
Changes in Accounts Payable | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | ||||||||||
UFCF | -43.6 | -54.5 | -59.1 | -91.0 | -46.9 | -81.3 | -115.7 | -136.5 | -161.1 | -190.0 |
WACC, % | 11.88 | 12.03 | 11.81 | 12.03 | 12.03 | 11.95 | 11.95 | 11.95 | 11.95 | 11.95 |
PV UFCF | ||||||||||
SUM PV UFCF | -472.8 | |||||||||
Long Term Growth Rate, % | 4.00 | |||||||||
Free cash flow (T + 1) | -198 | |||||||||
Terminal Value | -2,484 | |||||||||
Present Terminal Value | -1,413 | |||||||||
Enterprise Value | -1,885 | |||||||||
Net Debt | 547 | |||||||||
Equity Value | -2,432 | |||||||||
Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM | 44 | |||||||||
Equity Value Per Share | -55.40 |
What You Will Get
- Editable Excel Template: A fully customizable Excel-based DCF Calculator featuring pre-filled real SHAK financials.
- Real-World Data: Historical data and forward-looking estimates (as shown in the yellow cells).
- Forecast Flexibility: Adjust forecast assumptions such as revenue growth, EBITDA %, and WACC.
- Automatic Calculations: Instantly observe the impact of your inputs on Shake Shack’s valuation.
- Professional Tool: Designed for investors, CFOs, consultants, and financial analysts.
- User-Friendly Design: Organized for clarity and ease of use, complete with step-by-step instructions.
Key Features
- Customizable Growth Metrics: Adjust essential inputs such as same-store sales growth, operating margin, and capital investments.
- Instant DCF Valuation: Quickly computes intrinsic value, net present value (NPV), and other financial metrics.
- High-Precision Modeling: Leverages Shake Shack’s actual financial data for accurate valuation results.
- Effortless Scenario Testing: Easily evaluate various assumptions and analyze their impacts on outcomes.
- Efficiency Booster: Streamlines the valuation process, removing the need for intricate model development from the ground up.
How It Works
- Download: Obtain the pre-formatted Excel file containing Shake Shack Inc.'s (SHAK) financial metrics.
- Customize: Modify projections such as sales growth, EBITDA margin, and discount rate.
- Update Automatically: The calculations for intrinsic value and net present value refresh in real-time.
- Test Scenarios: Develop various forecasts and instantly evaluate different outcomes.
- Make Decisions: Leverage the valuation insights to inform your investment choices.
Why Choose This Calculator for Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK)?
- Accurate Data: Utilize real financials from Shake Shack for dependable valuation outcomes.
- Customizable: Tailor critical metrics such as growth rates, WACC, and tax rates to fit your forecasts.
- Time-Saving: Built-in calculations save you from starting from the ground up.
- Professional-Grade Tool: Crafted for investors, analysts, and consultants in the food industry.
- User-Friendly: An intuitive design and clear instructions ensure ease of use for everyone.
Who Should Use This Product?
- Professional Investors: Develop comprehensive and accurate valuation models for assessing Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) investments.
- Corporate Finance Teams: Evaluate valuation scenarios to inform strategic decisions within their organizations.
- Consultants and Advisors: Deliver precise valuation insights for clients interested in Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) stock.
- Students and Educators: Utilize real-world data to enhance learning and practice in financial modeling.
- Food Industry Analysts: Gain insights into how restaurant chains like Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) are valued in the market.
What the Template Contains
- Operating and Balance Sheet Data: Pre-filled Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) historical data and forecasts, including revenue, EBITDA, EBIT, and capital expenditures.
- WACC Calculation: A dedicated sheet for Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC), including parameters like Beta, risk-free rate, and share price.
- DCF Valuation (Unlevered and Levered): Editable Discounted Cash Flow models showing intrinsic value with detailed calculations.
- Financial Statements: Pre-loaded financial statements (annual and quarterly) to support analysis.
- Key Ratios: Includes profitability, leverage, and efficiency ratios for Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK).
- Dashboard and Charts: Visual summary of valuation outputs and assumptions to analyze results easily.