Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) DCF Valuation

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) DCF Valuation
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Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) Bundle

DCF model
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Explore Warrior Met Coal, Inc.'s (HCC) financial prospects with our user-friendly DCF Calculator! Enter your assumptions regarding growth, margins, and costs to calculate the intrinsic value of Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) and enhance your investment strategy.


Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)

Year AY1
2019
AY2
2020
AY3
2021
AY4
2022
AY5
2023
FY1
2024
FY2
2025
FY3
2026
FY4
2027
FY5
2028
Revenue 1,268.3 782.7 1,059.2 1,738.7 1,676.6 1,918.1 2,194.4 2,510.5 2,872.2 3,285.9
Revenue Growth, % 0 -38.28 35.32 64.15 -3.57 14.4 14.4 14.4 14.4 14.4
EBITDA 497.0 97.5 380.0 920.9 700.9 699.3 800.0 915.3 1,047.1 1,197.9
EBITDA, % 39.18 12.46 35.88 52.96 41.8 36.46 36.46 36.46 36.46 36.46
Depreciation 100.5 121.1 144.7 118.8 131.5 198.4 227.0 259.7 297.1 339.9
Depreciation, % 7.92 15.47 13.66 6.83 7.84 10.35 10.35 10.35 10.35 10.35
EBIT 396.5 -23.6 235.4 802.1 569.4 500.8 573.0 655.5 750.0 858.0
EBIT, % 31.26 -3.01 22.22 46.13 33.96 26.11 26.11 26.11 26.11 26.11
Total Cash 208.1 220.4 404.3 838.1 747.2 673.3 770.3 881.2 1,008.2 1,153.4
Total Cash, percent .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0
Account Receivables 99.5 88.4 122.2 155.5 110.4
Account Receivables, % 7.84 11.3 11.53 8.94 6.59
Inventories 97.9 118.7 59.6 154.0 183.9 185.5 212.2 242.7 277.7 317.7
Inventories, % 7.72 15.17 5.63 8.86 10.97 9.67 9.67 9.67 9.67 9.67
Accounts Payable 46.4 59.1 33.8 39.0 36.2 72.2 82.6 94.5 108.1 123.6
Accounts Payable, % 3.66 7.55 3.19 2.24 2.16 3.76 3.76 3.76 3.76 3.76
Capital Expenditure -107.3 -87.5 -57.9 -208.7 -491.7 -254.9 -291.6 -333.6 -381.6 -436.6
Capital Expenditure, % -8.46 -11.18 -5.47 -12.01 -29.33 -13.29 -13.29 -13.29 -13.29 -13.29
Tax Rate, % 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2
EBITAT 325.8 -15.1 177.6 656.9 494.2 390.9 447.3 511.7 585.4 669.7
Depreciation
Changes in Account Receivables
Changes in Inventories
Changes in Accounts Payable
Capital Expenditure
UFCF 168.1 21.4 264.4 444.3 146.4 302.1 340.9 390.0 446.2 510.4
WACC, % 9.32 9.21 9.28 9.32 9.35 9.29 9.29 9.29 9.29 9.29
PV UFCF
SUM PV UFCF 1,500.5
Long Term Growth Rate, % 0.50
Free cash flow (T + 1) 513
Terminal Value 5,833
Present Terminal Value 3,741
Enterprise Value 5,241
Net Debt -565
Equity Value 5,806
Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM 52
Equity Value Per Share 111.56

What You Will Get

  • Real HCC Financials: Access to both historical and projected data for precise valuation.
  • Customizable Inputs: Adjust WACC, tax rates, production levels, and capital expenditures as needed.
  • Dynamic Calculations: Intrinsic value and NPV are computed in real-time.
  • Scenario Analysis: Explore various scenarios to assess Warrior Met Coal's future performance.
  • User-Friendly Design: Designed for industry professionals while remaining accessible to newcomers.

Key Features

  • Comprehensive Data: Warrior Met Coal’s historical financial statements and detailed forecasts.
  • Customizable Parameters: Adjust WACC, tax rates, revenue growth, and EBITDA margins as needed.
  • Real-Time Insights: Monitor Warrior Met Coal’s intrinsic value as it updates instantly.
  • Intuitive Visualizations: Dashboard graphs showcase valuation outcomes and essential metrics.
  • Designed for Precision: A reliable resource for analysts, investors, and financial professionals.

How It Works

  1. Step 1: Download the Excel file for Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC).
  2. Step 2: Review the pre-filled financial data and forecasts for Warrior Met Coal.
  3. Step 3: Adjust key inputs such as production levels, coal prices, and operational costs (highlighted cells).
  4. Step 4: Observe the DCF model update in real-time as you modify your assumptions.
  5. Step 5: Evaluate the outputs and leverage the results for your investment strategies.

Why Choose This Calculator for Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC)?

  • Comprehensive Tool: Integrates DCF, WACC, and financial ratio analyses tailored for the coal industry.
  • Customizable Inputs: Modify yellow-highlighted cells to explore different market scenarios.
  • Detailed Insights: Automatically computes Warrior Met Coal’s intrinsic value and Net Present Value.
  • Preloaded Data: Historical and projected data provide reliable starting points for analysis.
  • Professional Quality: Perfect for financial analysts, investors, and industry consultants focused on coal markets.

Who Should Use This Product?

  • Investors: Accurately assess Warrior Met Coal, Inc.’s (HCC) fair value prior to making investment choices.
  • CFOs: Utilize a professional-grade DCF model for financial reporting and analysis specific to Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC).
  • Consultants: Easily customize the template for valuation reports tailored to clients in the coal industry.
  • Entrepreneurs: Acquire knowledge about financial modeling practices employed by leading companies in the mining sector.
  • Educators: Implement it as a teaching resource to illustrate valuation techniques relevant to the coal industry.

What the Template Contains

  • Preloaded HCC Data: Historical and projected financial data, including revenue, EBIT, and capital expenditures.
  • DCF and WACC Models: Professional-grade sheets for calculating intrinsic value and Weighted Average Cost of Capital.
  • Editable Inputs: Yellow-highlighted cells for adjusting revenue growth, tax rates, and discount rates.
  • Financial Statements: Comprehensive annual and quarterly financials for deeper analysis.
  • Key Ratios: Profitability, leverage, and efficiency ratios to evaluate performance.
  • Dashboard and Charts: Visual summaries of valuation outcomes and assumptions.