Mesa Air Group, Inc. (MESA) DCF Valuation
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Mesa Air Group, Inc. (MESA) Bundle
Designed for accuracy, our (MESA) DCF Calculator enables you to evaluate the valuation of Mesa Air Group, Inc. using real-world financial data, while offering complete flexibility to modify all essential parameters for improved projections.
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)
Year | AY1 2019 |
AY2 2020 |
AY3 2021 |
AY4 2022 |
AY5 2023 |
FY1 2024 |
FY2 2025 |
FY3 2026 |
FY4 2027 |
FY5 2028 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 723.4 | 545.1 | 503.6 | 531.0 | 498.1 | 457.0 | 419.2 | 384.6 | 352.9 | 323.8 |
Revenue Growth, % | 0 | -24.65 | -7.61 | 5.44 | -6.2 | -8.25 | -8.25 | -8.25 | -8.25 | -8.25 |
EBITDA | 197.0 | 163.4 | 140.0 | -117.9 | -18.6 | 54.0 | 49.5 | 45.5 | 41.7 | 38.3 |
EBITDA, % | 27.23 | 29.98 | 27.8 | -22.2 | -3.73 | 11.82 | 11.82 | 11.82 | 11.82 | 11.82 |
Depreciation | 78.0 | 82.3 | 82.8 | 81.5 | 60.4 | 63.8 | 58.5 | 53.7 | 49.3 | 45.2 |
Depreciation, % | 10.78 | 15.1 | 16.45 | 15.35 | 12.12 | 13.96 | 13.96 | 13.96 | 13.96 | 13.96 |
EBIT | 119.0 | 81.1 | 57.1 | -199.4 | -78.9 | -9.8 | -9.0 | -8.2 | -7.6 | -6.9 |
EBIT, % | 16.45 | 14.88 | 11.35 | -37.55 | -15.85 | -2.14 | -2.14 | -2.14 | -2.14 | -2.14 |
Total Cash | 68.9 | 99.4 | 120.5 | 57.7 | 32.9 | 63.2 | 58.0 | 53.2 | 48.8 | 44.8 |
Total Cash, percent | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 |
Account Receivables | 23.1 | 13.7 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 8.3 | 8.0 | 7.3 | 6.7 | 6.2 | 5.7 |
Account Receivables, % | 3.19 | 2.52 | 0.62888 | 0.74915 | 1.66 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 |
Inventories | 21.3 | 23.0 | 24.5 | 26.7 | 29.2 | 21.0 | 19.2 | 17.6 | 16.2 | 14.8 |
Inventories, % | 2.95 | 4.21 | 4.86 | 5.03 | 5.87 | 4.59 | 4.59 | 4.59 | 4.59 | 4.59 |
Accounts Payable | 49.9 | 53.2 | 61.5 | 59.4 | 59.0 | 47.4 | 43.5 | 39.9 | 36.6 | 33.6 |
Accounts Payable, % | 6.9 | 9.77 | 12.21 | 11.18 | 11.84 | 10.38 | 10.38 | 10.38 | 10.38 | 10.38 |
Capital Expenditure | -125.4 | -26.7 | -23.5 | -48.4 | -36.6 | -39.6 | -36.4 | -33.4 | -30.6 | -28.1 |
Capital Expenditure, % | -17.33 | -4.89 | -4.66 | -9.12 | -7.36 | -8.67 | -8.67 | -8.67 | -8.67 | -8.67 |
Tax Rate, % | 6.79 | 6.79 | 6.79 | 6.79 | 6.79 | 6.79 | 6.79 | 6.79 | 6.79 | 6.79 |
EBITAT | 89.5 | 60.2 | 42.3 | -155.2 | -73.6 | -7.7 | -7.1 | -6.5 | -6.0 | -5.5 |
Depreciation | ||||||||||
Changes in Account Receivables | ||||||||||
Changes in Inventories | ||||||||||
Changes in Accounts Payable | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | ||||||||||
UFCF | 47.6 | 126.9 | 119.0 | -127.3 | -57.1 | 13.5 | 13.6 | 12.4 | 11.4 | 10.5 |
WACC, % | 8.01 | 7.93 | 7.91 | 8.23 | 9.52 | 8.32 | 8.32 | 8.32 | 8.32 | 8.32 |
PV UFCF | ||||||||||
SUM PV UFCF | 49.1 | |||||||||
Long Term Growth Rate, % | 0.50 | |||||||||
Free cash flow (T + 1) | 11 | |||||||||
Terminal Value | 135 | |||||||||
Present Terminal Value | 90 | |||||||||
Enterprise Value | 139 | |||||||||
Net Debt | 508 | |||||||||
Equity Value | -369 | |||||||||
Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM | 39 | |||||||||
Equity Value Per Share | -9.34 |
What You Will Get
- Pre-Filled Financial Model: Mesa Air Group’s actual data allows for accurate DCF valuation.
- Full Forecast Control: Modify revenue growth, profit margins, WACC, and other essential drivers.
- Instant Calculations: Real-time updates provide immediate results as you adjust inputs.
- Investor-Ready Template: A polished Excel file crafted for high-quality valuation presentations.
- Customizable and Reusable: Designed for adaptability, enabling repeated use for in-depth forecasts.
Key Features
- Comprehensive DCF Calculator: Features detailed unlevered and levered DCF valuation models tailored for Mesa Air Group, Inc. (MESA).
- WACC Calculator: Pre-configured Weighted Average Cost of Capital sheet with adjustable inputs for accurate financial analysis.
- Customizable Forecast Assumptions: Adjust growth rates, capital expenditures, and discount rates to fit your analysis needs.
- Integrated Financial Ratios: Evaluate profitability, leverage, and efficiency ratios specific to Mesa Air Group, Inc. (MESA).
- Interactive Dashboard and Charts: Visual representations that summarize essential valuation metrics for straightforward analysis.
How It Works
- 1. Access the Template: Download and open the Excel file containing Mesa Air Group, Inc. (MESA)'s preloaded data.
- 2. Modify Assumptions: Adjust key inputs such as growth rates, WACC, and capital expenditures.
- 3. View Results in Real-Time: The DCF model automatically computes intrinsic value and NPV.
- 4. Explore Scenarios: Evaluate various forecasts to investigate different valuation results.
- 5. Present with Assurance: Deliver professional valuation insights to reinforce your decision-making.
Why Choose This Calculator for Mesa Air Group, Inc. (MESA)?
- Accuracy: Utilizes real Mesa Air Group financials to ensure precise data.
- Flexibility: Allows users to easily test and adjust inputs as needed.
- Time-Saving: Eliminates the complexity of creating a DCF model from the ground up.
- Professional-Grade: Crafted with the precision and usability expected at the CFO level.
- User-Friendly: Designed for ease of use, suitable for those without extensive financial modeling expertise.
Who Should Use Mesa Air Group, Inc. (MESA)?
- Aviation Investors: Make informed decisions with a comprehensive analysis of airline valuations.
- Financial Analysts: Streamline your workflow with an easy-to-use financial model tailored for the airline industry.
- Consultants: Effortlessly modify the template for client meetings or industry reports.
- Aviation Enthusiasts: Enhance your knowledge of the airline sector using real-time data and case studies.
- Educators and Students: Utilize it as a practical resource in aviation finance and business courses.
What the Template Contains
- Preloaded MESA Data: Historical and projected financial data, including revenue, EBIT, and capital expenditures.
- DCF and WACC Models: Professional-grade sheets for calculating intrinsic value and Weighted Average Cost of Capital.
- Editable Inputs: Yellow-highlighted cells for adjusting revenue growth, tax rates, and discount rates.
- Financial Statements: Comprehensive annual and quarterly financials for deeper analysis.
- Key Ratios: Profitability, leverage, and efficiency ratios to evaluate performance.
- Dashboard and Charts: Visual summaries of valuation outcomes and assumptions.