Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) DCF Valuation

Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) DCF Valuation
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Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) Bundle

DCF model
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Simplify Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) valuation with this customizable DCF Calculator! Featuring real Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) financials and adjustable forecast inputs, you can test scenarios and uncover Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) fair value in minutes.


Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)

Year AY1
2020
AY2
2021
AY3
2022
AY4
2023
AY5
2024
FY1
2025
FY2
2026
FY3
2027
FY4
2028
FY5
2029
Revenue 4,040.5 4,056.8 4,611.7 5,007.1 5,278.3 5,648.7 6,045.2 6,469.4 6,923.4 7,409.3
Revenue Growth, % 0 0.40342 13.68 8.57 5.42 7.02 7.02 7.02 7.02 7.02
EBITDA 1,670.2 1,652.7 2,031.8 2,209.7 2,350.6 2,426.7 2,597.0 2,779.2 2,974.3 3,183.0
EBITDA, % 41.34 40.74 44.06 44.13 44.53 42.96 42.96 42.96 42.96 42.96
Depreciation 209.7 192.0 191.8 176.6 176.5 236.7 253.3 271.1 290.1 310.5
Depreciation, % 5.19 4.73 4.16 3.53 3.34 4.19 4.19 4.19 4.19 4.19
EBIT 1,460.5 1,460.7 1,840.0 2,033.1 2,174.1 2,190.0 2,343.6 2,508.1 2,684.1 2,872.5
EBIT, % 36.15 36.01 39.9 40.6 41.19 38.77 38.77 38.77 38.77 38.77
Total Cash 932.4 1,031.9 1,223.9 1,595.4 1,502.8 1,529.5 1,636.9 1,751.7 1,874.7 2,006.2
Total Cash, percent .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0
Account Receivables 790.3 1,053.6 1,318.2 1,426.2 1,625.3
Account Receivables, % 19.56 25.97 28.58 28.48 30.79
Inventories .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0
Inventories, % 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Accounts Payable 79.4 89.0 105.7 84.7 104.3 114.3 122.3 130.9 140.1 149.9
Accounts Payable, % 1.97 2.19 2.29 1.69 1.98 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.02
Capital Expenditure -127.0 -114.6 -132.6 -143.0 -161.4 -166.7 -178.4 -190.9 -204.3 -218.7
Capital Expenditure, % -3.14 -2.82 -2.88 -2.86 -3.06 -2.95 -2.95 -2.95 -2.95 -2.95
Tax Rate, % 23.79 23.79 23.79 23.79 23.79 23.79 23.79 23.79 23.79 23.79
EBITAT 1,116.0 1,117.8 1,404.6 1,545.8 1,656.9 1,671.0 1,788.3 1,913.8 2,048.1 2,191.8
Depreciation
Changes in Account Receivables
Changes in Inventories
Changes in Accounts Payable
Capital Expenditure
UFCF 487.8 941.5 1,215.9 1,450.4 1,492.5 1,869.3 1,765.4 1,889.3 2,021.9 2,163.8
WACC, % 9.01 9.01 9.01 9.01 9.01 9.01 9.01 9.01 9.01 9.01
PV UFCF
SUM PV UFCF 7,496.3
Long Term Growth Rate, % 4.00
Free cash flow (T + 1) 2,250
Terminal Value 44,905
Present Terminal Value 29,170
Enterprise Value 36,666
Net Debt -603
Equity Value 37,269
Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM 362
Equity Value Per Share 102.92

What You Will Get

  • Real Paychex Data: Preloaded financials – from revenue to EBIT – based on actual and projected figures.
  • Full Customization: Adjust all critical parameters (yellow cells) like WACC, growth %, and tax rates.
  • Instant Valuation Updates: Automatic recalculations to analyze the impact of changes on Paychex’s fair value.
  • Versatile Excel Template: Tailored for quick edits, scenario testing, and detailed projections.
  • Time-Saving and Accurate: Skip building models from scratch while maintaining precision and flexibility.

Key Features

  • Comprehensive Financial Data: Paychex’s historical financial statements and pre-filled projections.
  • Customizable Variables: Adjust WACC, tax rates, revenue growth, and EBITDA margins to suit your analysis.
  • Real-Time Insights: Watch Paychex’s intrinsic value update instantly as you modify inputs.
  • Intuitive Visualizations: Dashboard graphs present valuation results and essential metrics clearly.
  • Designed for Precision: A reliable resource for analysts, investors, and finance professionals.

How It Works

  1. Step 1: Download the Excel file.
  2. Step 2: Review Paychex, Inc.'s (PAYX) pre-filled financial data and forecasts.
  3. Step 3: Modify key inputs such as revenue growth, WACC, and tax rates (highlighted cells).
  4. Step 4: Observe the DCF model update in real-time as you adjust your assumptions.
  5. Step 5: Evaluate the outputs and leverage the results for your investment decisions.

Why Choose Paychex's Calculator?

  • All-in-One Solution: Offers payroll, HR, and tax services analysis in a single platform.
  • Flexible Parameters: Modify highlighted fields to explore different payroll scenarios.
  • In-Depth Analysis: Automatically computes Paychex’s financial metrics and growth projections.
  • Preloaded Information: Access to historical and projected data for reliable insights.
  • Expert-Level Tool: Perfect for HR professionals, business owners, and financial advisors.

Who Should Use This Product?

  • Small Business Owners: Optimize payroll and HR processes with Paychex's comprehensive solutions.
  • HR Professionals: Enhance employee management and compliance with user-friendly tools.
  • Financial Advisors: Provide clients with reliable insights on payroll services and employee benefits.
  • Startups: Simplify your HR and payroll tasks to focus on growth and innovation.
  • Finance Students: Gain practical knowledge of payroll systems and workforce management strategies.

What the Template Contains

  • Operating and Balance Sheet Data: Pre-filled Paychex historical data and forecasts, including revenue, EBITDA, EBIT, and capital expenditures.
  • WACC Calculation: A dedicated sheet for Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC), including parameters like Beta, risk-free rate, and share price.
  • DCF Valuation (Unlevered and Levered): Editable Discounted Cash Flow models showing intrinsic value with detailed calculations.
  • Financial Statements: Pre-loaded financial statements (annual and quarterly) to support analysis.
  • Key Ratios: Includes profitability, leverage, and efficiency ratios for Paychex, Inc. (PAYX).
  • Dashboard and Charts: Visual summary of valuation outputs and assumptions to analyze results easily.