Breaking Down Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

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Understanding Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) Revenue Streams

Understanding Freshpet, Inc.’s Revenue Streams

Freshpet, Inc. generates revenue primarily through its sales of fresh pet food products. The revenue is categorized into two main segments: Grocery, Mass, International, and Digital channels, and Pet Specialty and Club channels.

Breakdown of Primary Revenue Sources

  • Grocery, Mass, International, and Digital: This segment accounted for $585.6 million, or 82% of total net sales for the nine months ended September 30, 2024. This is an increase from $462.8 million, or 84% of total net sales in the same period of 2023.
  • Pet Specialty and Club: This segment contributed $126.9 million, or 18% of total net sales for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to $88.7 million, or 16% in the prior year.
Segment 2024 Revenue (Thousands) 2023 Revenue (Thousands) Percentage of Total Sales 2024 Percentage of Total Sales 2023
Grocery, Mass, International, and Digital $585,574 $462,772 82% 84%
Pet Specialty and Club $126,895 $88,702 18% 16%

Year-over-Year Revenue Growth Rate

For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, net sales increased by $161.0 million, or 29.2%, totaling $712.5 million compared to $551.5 million for the same period in 2023. The growth was primarily driven by an increase in volume, which rose by 28.2%.

Contribution of Different Business Segments to Overall Revenue

The Grocery, Mass, International, and Digital channels showed significant growth, increasing by $122.8 million year-over-year. Meanwhile, the Pet Specialty and Club segment also saw growth, contributing the remaining increase in overall revenue.

Analysis of Significant Changes in Revenue Streams

In the three months ended September 30, 2024, net sales reached $253.4 million, representing an increase of $52.7 million, or 26.3% from $200.6 million in the same period of the previous year. The increase was attributed to a growth of $41.1 million in the Grocery, Mass, International, and Digital segment, and $11.6 million in the Pet Specialty and Club segment.

Period Net Sales (Thousands) Year-over-Year Change (Thousands) Percentage Increase
Q3 2024 $253,367 $52,746 26.3%
Nine Months 2024 $712,469 $161,0 29.2%



A Deep Dive into Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) Profitability

A Deep Dive into Freshpet, Inc.'s Profitability

Gross Profit for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was $102.2 million, representing 40.4% of net sales, compared to $66.3 million or 33.0% in the prior year period. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, gross profit was $284.4 million, or 39.9% of net sales, up from $176.3 million or 32.0% for the same period in 2023.

The Adjusted Gross Profit for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was $117.7 million, equating to 46.5% of net sales, as opposed to $80.6 million or 40.2% in the previous year. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, Adjusted Gross Profit was $327.2 million, or 45.9%, compared to $218.1 million or 39.5% in the prior year.

Operating Profit Margins

The income from operations for the three months ended September 30, 2024, increased to $11.9 million, a significant improvement from a loss of $7.1 million in the same period last year. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, income from operations was $18.6 million, up from a loss of $45.3 million.

Net Profit Margin

The net income for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was $11.9 million, translating to a net profit margin of 5.0%, compared to a net loss of $7.2 million in the prior year. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, net income reached $28.8 million, with a net profit margin of 4.0%, in contrast to a net loss of $48.9 million for the same period the previous year.

Profitability Ratios Comparison

The following table summarizes key profitability metrics and their comparison with industry averages:

Metric Freshpet (2024) Industry Average
Gross Profit Margin 40.4% 35.0%
Operating Profit Margin 5.0% 3.5%
Net Profit Margin 4.0% 2.0%

Operational Efficiency Analysis

Selling, General and Administrative Expenses (SG&A) for the three months ended September 30, 2024, were $90.3 million, or 35.7% of net sales, down from $73.4 million or 36.6% in the prior year. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, SG&A expenses totaled $265.7 million, or 37.3% of net sales, compared to $221.6 million or 40.2% in the same period of 2023.

The Adjusted SG&A for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was $74.2 million, or 29.3% of net sales, compared to $57.4 million, or 28.6% in the prior year.

Overall, the company has demonstrated improved operational efficiency, with decreased SG&A as a percentage of net sales, contributing positively to its profitability metrics.




Debt vs. Equity: How Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) Finances Its Growth

Debt vs. Equity: How Freshpet, Inc. Finances Its Growth

Overview of the Company's Debt Levels

As of September 30, 2024, Freshpet, Inc. reported total liabilities amounting to $510.3 million, which includes $394.6 million in convertible senior notes and $23.8 million in long-term finance lease liabilities. The total current liabilities stood at $89.2 million.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio and Comparison to Industry Standards

The debt-to-equity ratio for Freshpet, Inc. as of September 30, 2024, is approximately 0.50, calculated by dividing total liabilities of $510.3 million by total stockholders' equity of $1.021 billion. This ratio is notably lower than the industry average, which typically ranges between 0.60 and 0.80 for companies in the consumer goods sector.

Recent Debt Issuances, Credit Ratings, or Refinancing Activity

In March 2023, Freshpet issued $402.5 million in convertible notes, using $66.2 million of the proceeds for capped call transactions. The company had no borrowings under its previous credit agreement as of the termination date on March 15, 2023. The interest expense for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was $2.9 million, down from $4.1 million in the prior year.

How the Company Balances Between Debt Financing and Equity Funding

Freshpet maintains a balanced approach to financing its growth through a combination of debt and equity. As of September 30, 2024, the total stockholders' equity was reported at $1.021 billion, reflecting a healthy equity base that supports its operations and future growth. The company plans to fund future capital expenditures, estimated at $51.2 million for the remainder of fiscal 2024, through ongoing cash flow, additional debt issuance, or equity financing as necessary.

Debt Type Amount (in millions)
Convertible Senior Notes $394.6
Long-term Finance Lease Liabilities $23.8
Total Current Liabilities $89.2
Total Liabilities $510.3
Total Stockholders' Equity $1,021.4
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.50



Assessing Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) Liquidity

Assessing Freshpet, Inc.'s Liquidity

Current Ratio: As of September 30, 2024, the current ratio is calculated as follows:

Current Assets: $421,294,000

Current Liabilities: $89,242,000

Current Ratio: 4.72

Quick Ratio: The quick ratio is determined by subtracting inventories from current assets and then dividing by current liabilities:

Quick Assets: $421,294,000 - $72,791,000 = $348,503,000

Quick Ratio: 3.90

Analysis of Working Capital Trends

Working Capital: As of September 30, 2024, the working capital stands at:

Total Current Assets: $421,294,000

Total Current Liabilities: $89,242,000

Working Capital: $332,052,000

Working capital decreased by $6,045,000 from December 31, 2023, when it was $338,097,000.

Cash Flow Statements Overview

Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities: For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, net cash provided by operating activities is $103,919,000, compared to $38,968,000 for the same period in 2023.

Net Cash Used in Investing Activities: For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, net cash used in investing activities totaled $128,828,000, compared to $161,642,000 for the same period in 2023.

Net Cash Provided by Financing Activities: For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, net cash provided by financing activities amounted to $2,632,000, significantly lower than $328,046,000 in the previous year.

Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths

As of September 30, 2024, the company maintains a healthy liquidity position with a current ratio of 4.72 and a quick ratio of 3.90, indicating strong short-term liquidity. However, net cash used in investing activities has increased, which may raise concerns about long-term sustainability if not matched by operational cash flow.

Metric September 30, 2024 December 31, 2023 Change
Current Assets $421,294,000 $427,319,000 ($6,025,000)
Current Liabilities $89,242,000 $89,222,000 $20,000
Working Capital $332,052,000 $338,097,000 ($6,045,000)
Net Cash from Operating Activities $103,919,000 $38,968,000 $64,951,000
Net Cash Used in Investing Activities ($128,828,000) ($161,642,000) $32,814,000
Net Cash from Financing Activities $2,632,000 $328,046,000 ($325,414,000)



Is Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Analysis

To determine whether the company is overvalued or undervalued, we will analyze key financial ratios and stock performance metrics.

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio

The P/E ratio is an important metric for assessing valuation. As of September 30, 2024, the diluted net income per share was $0.24. Given a stock price of approximately $20.00, the P/E ratio is calculated as:

P/E Ratio = Stock Price / Earnings Per Share = $20.00 / $0.24 = 83.33

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio

The P/B ratio provides insight into how the market values the company's net assets. As of September 30, 2024, total stockholders' equity was $1,021.4 million with 48.6 million shares outstanding, leading to a book value per share of:

Book Value per Share = Total Equity / Outstanding Shares = $1,021.4 million / 48.6 million = $20.99

Using a stock price of $20.00, the P/B ratio is:

P/B Ratio = Stock Price / Book Value per Share = $20.00 / $20.99 = 0.95

Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) Ratio

To calculate the EV/EBITDA, we first need to determine the enterprise value. As of September 30, 2024, the market capitalization is $20.00 48.6 million = $972 million. The total debt is $402.5 million (Convertible Notes). Cash equivalents are $274.6 million. Thus, the enterprise value is:

EV = Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash = $972 million + $402.5 million - $274.6 million = $1,099.9 million

Adjusted EBITDA for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was $109.2 million. Therefore, the EV/EBITDA ratio is:

EV/EBITDA = Enterprise Value / Adjusted EBITDA = $1,099.9 million / $109.2 million = 10.08

Stock Price Trends

Over the last 12 months, the stock price has fluctuated. Starting at approximately $30.00, it has seen a decline, reaching a low of $15.00 before stabilizing around $20.00.

Dividend Yield and Payout Ratios

The company does not currently pay dividends, thus the dividend yield is 0%.

Analyst Consensus on Stock Valuation

As of the latest reports, analyst consensus rates the stock as a hold, reflecting mixed opinions on its current valuation.

Metric Value
P/E Ratio 83.33
P/B Ratio 0.95
EV/EBITDA 10.08
Stock Price (Current) $20.00
12-Month Price Range $15.00 - $30.00
Dividend Yield 0%
Analyst Consensus Hold



Key Risks Facing Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT)

Key Risks Facing Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT)

Industry Competition: The competitive landscape in the pet food sector is intensifying, with numerous established brands and new entrants vying for market share. This competition can lead to price pressures, which may affect profit margins. In the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the company's net sales increased by $161.0 million, or 29.2%, compared to the prior year, indicating growth but also reflecting the competitive nature of the market.

Regulatory Changes: Changes in food safety regulations and labeling requirements can pose risks. Compliance costs may increase, and failure to meet these regulations can lead to fines or product recalls. The company is subject to various federal, state, and local laws and regulations related to food safety.

Market Conditions: Economic downturns can influence consumer spending on premium pet foods. During economic instability, consumers may opt for lower-priced alternatives. The company's growth in the Grocery, Mass, International, and Digital channel accounted for 82% of net sales in the nine months ended September 30, 2024.

Operational Risks: The company relies on a limited number of manufacturing facilities. Any disruptions due to natural disasters, machinery failures, or supply chain issues can negatively impact production. The company recorded $128.8 million in capital expenditures for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, aimed at expanding and upgrading facilities.

Financial Risks: The company has significant debt, including $402.5 million in convertible senior notes issued in March 2023. The interest expense for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was $8.7 million, down from $10.6 million in the prior year, indicating a focus on managing debt costs.

Strategic Risks: The company's growth strategy includes expanding its product offerings and market presence. However, execution risks associated with new product launches or entering new markets could impact financial health. The company reported an Adjusted EBITDA of $109.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to $35.2 million in the prior year, indicating successful execution of growth strategies.

Mitigation Strategies: The company is actively investing in infrastructure and technology to enhance operational efficiencies. For instance, it has made significant capital investments for expanding production capabilities. The company maintains a full valuation allowance against deferred tax assets, reflecting a conservative approach to tax planning.

Risk Factor Description Impact Mitigation Strategy
Industry Competition Intensifying competition in the pet food market. Price pressures affecting profit margins. Investing in marketing and brand differentiation.
Regulatory Changes Potential changes in food safety regulations. Increased compliance costs or product recalls. Proactive compliance measures and quality control.
Market Conditions Economic downturns affecting consumer spending. Shift to lower-priced alternatives. Diversifying product range to include value options.
Operational Risks Reliance on limited manufacturing facilities. Production disruptions impacting supply. Investing in facility upgrades and redundancy plans.
Financial Risks Significant debt obligations from convertible notes. Interest expenses affecting cash flow. Debt management strategies and refinancing options.
Strategic Risks Execution risks in growth strategies. Impact on financial health from failed initiatives. Thorough market research and phased product launches.



Future Growth Prospects for Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT)

Future Growth Prospects for Freshpet, Inc.

Analysis of Key Growth Drivers

Freshpet, Inc. is poised for growth driven by several factors, including product innovations, market expansions, and strategic partnerships. The company has seen a significant increase in net sales, which rose by $161.0 million, or 29.2%, to $712.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to $551.5 million in the same period in 2023 .

Future Revenue Growth Projections and Earnings Estimates

Analysts anticipate continued revenue growth for Freshpet, with earnings projections reflecting a strong upward trend. For the three months ended September 30, 2024, net sales increased by $52.7 million, or 26.3%, reaching a total of $253.4 million . The gross profit margin also improved, with gross profit standing at 40.4% for the third quarter of 2024, up from 33.0% in the prior year .

Strategic Initiatives and Partnerships

Freshpet has been actively pursuing strategic initiatives that may enhance growth. The company is focusing on expanding its presence in the Grocery, Mass, International, and Digital channels, which accounted for 82% of net sales in the nine months ended September 30, 2024 . Additionally, the company has invested in capital expenditures of $128.8 million related to Freshpet Kitchens and other facilities .

Competitive Advantages

Freshpet's competitive advantages include a strong brand reputation and a commitment to high-quality, fresh pet food products. The company recorded an Adjusted Gross Profit of $327.2 million, or 45.9% as a percentage of net sales, for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 . This strong performance is supported by reduced logistics costs and effective management of input costs, positioning the company favorably for future growth.

Period Net Sales ($ millions) Gross Profit ($ millions) Adjusted Gross Profit ($ millions) SG&A Expenses ($ millions) Net Income ($ millions)
Q3 2024 253.4 102.2 117.7 90.3 11.9
Q3 2023 200.6 66.3 80.6 73.4 (7.2)
9M 2024 712.5 284.4 327.2 265.7 28.8
9M 2023 551.5 176.3 218.1 221.6 (48.9)

Freshpet's financial health, marked by a strong revenue increase and improved profitability metrics, positions it well to capitalize on emerging growth opportunities in the pet food industry. The company's innovative approach and strategic focus on high-quality products continue to resonate with consumers, driving sustained demand and market expansion.

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Resources:

  1. Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) Financial Statements – Access the full quarterly financial statements for Q3 2024 to get an in-depth view of Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT)' financial performance, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  2. SEC Filings – View Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT)' latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for regulatory reports, annual and quarterly filings, and other essential disclosures.