Breaking Down Humacyte, Inc. (HUMA) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

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Understanding Humacyte, Inc. (HUMA) Revenue Streams

Understanding Humacyte, Inc.’s Revenue Streams

As of September 30, 2024, the company has generated no product revenue and has consistently incurred operating losses since its inception in 2004. The accumulated deficit stood at $665.1 million, compared to $537.3 million at the end of 2023.

Breakdown of Primary Revenue Sources

Currently, the company does not have any established revenue streams from product sales, primarily due to its focus on research and development. As such, revenue generation remains contingent upon the successful commercialization of its product candidates.

Year-over-Year Revenue Growth Rate

Since the company has not generated any revenue, the year-over-year revenue growth rate is 0%.

Contribution of Different Business Segments to Overall Revenue

With no product revenue reported, all business segments contribute 0% to overall revenue. The company is primarily focused on research and development expenses, which totaled $67.9 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, a 21% increase from $56.4 million in the same period in 2023.

Analysis of Significant Changes in Revenue Streams

There have been no significant changes in revenue streams, as the company has not yet generated revenue from product sales. The focus remains on advancing product candidates through clinical trials and obtaining necessary regulatory approvals.

Period Revenue ($ in thousands) Operating Loss ($ in thousands) Accumulated Deficit ($ in thousands) Research & Development Expenses ($ in thousands)
2024 (9 months) 0 (86,310) (665,075) 67,943
2023 (9 months) 0 (73,865) (537,314) 56,370

The company continues to focus on research and development as its primary expense, with no revenue generated to date. The financial health remains tied to the successful development and commercialization of its product candidates in the future.




A Deep Dive into Humacyte, Inc. (HUMA) Profitability

A Deep Dive into Humacyte, Inc.'s Profitability

Gross Profit Margin: For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the company reported a gross profit margin of 0% as no product revenues were generated.

Operating Profit Margin: The operating loss for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was ($86.3 million), resulting in an operating profit margin of (100%).

Net Profit Margin: The net loss for the same period was ($127.8 million), leading to a net profit margin of (100%).

Trends in Profitability Over Time

The operating losses increased from ($73.9 million) in the nine months ended September 30, 2023, to ($86.3 million) in the same period of 2024, reflecting a trend of increasing operational costs.

Similarly, the net loss rose from ($85.7 million) in 2023 to ($127.8 million) in 2024, illustrating a worsening financial position year over year.

Comparison of Profitability Ratios with Industry Averages

As of September 30, 2024, the company’s operating and net profit margins stand at (100%), which is significantly below the industry average for biotechnology firms, which typically range from (20%) to (30%) for net profit margins.

Metric Humacyte, Inc. (2024) Industry Average
Gross Profit Margin 0% 70%
Operating Profit Margin (100%) (20%)
Net Profit Margin (100%) (30%)

Analysis of Operational Efficiency

For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the total operating expenses were $86.3 million, compared to $73.9 million in the same period in 2023, marking a 17% increase driven primarily by research and development costs.

Research and development expenses accounted for $67.9 million in 2024, up from $56.4 million in 2023, representing a 21% increase.

General and administrative expenses increased from $17.5 million in 2023 to $18.4 million in 2024, reflecting a 5% increase.

Expense Category 2024 (in thousands) 2023 (in thousands) Change ($ in thousands) Change (%)
Research and Development 67,943 56,370 11,573 21%
General and Administrative 18,367 17,495 872 5%
Total Operating Expenses 86,310 73,865 12,445 17%



Debt vs. Equity: How Humacyte, Inc. (HUMA) Finances Its Growth

Debt vs. Equity: How Humacyte, Inc. Finances Its Growth

As of September 30, 2024, Humacyte, Inc. reported total liabilities of $114.8 million and total stockholders' equity (deficit) of ($63.7 million). The company has an accumulated deficit of $665.1 million, indicating a significant reliance on external financing to support its operations and growth initiatives.

Overview of the Company's Debt Levels

Humacyte's debt structure consists of both short-term and long-term liabilities. As of September 30, 2024, the company had:

  • Short-term debt: $62.1 million recorded as a revenue interest liability from a Purchase Agreement.
  • Long-term debt: The company has no traditional long-term debt on its balance sheet as it repaid its previous obligations under a loan agreement with Silicon Valley Bank in May 2023.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio and Comparison to Industry Standards

The debt-to-equity ratio for Humacyte is calculated as follows:

Debt-to-Equity Ratio = Total Debt / Total Equity

Debt-to-Equity Ratio = $114.8 million / ($63.7 million) = -1.80

This negative ratio indicates that the company has more liabilities than equity, which is common in biotech firms that are still in development stages. The industry average debt-to-equity ratio for biotech companies is typically around 0.5 to 1.0, suggesting that Humacyte's financial leverage is considerably higher than the industry standard.

Recent Debt Issuances, Credit Ratings, or Refinancing Activity

In May 2023, Humacyte entered into a Revenue Interest Purchase Agreement with a total investment amount of up to $150 million, receiving an initial payment of $40 million. A subsequent installment of $20 million was received in March 2024. As of September 30, 2024, the company recorded a revenue interest liability of $62.1 million.

Balancing Between Debt Financing and Equity Funding

Humacyte has historically financed its operations through a combination of equity securities and debt. As of September 30, 2024:

  • Cash and cash equivalents: $20.6 million
  • Restricted cash: $50.4 million
  • Working capital: $2.1 million

Recent capital raises include net proceeds of approximately $28.1 million from a Registered Direct Offering in October 2024.

Financial Metric As of September 30, 2024
Total Liabilities $114.8 million
Total Equity (Deficit) ($63.7 million)
Accumulated Deficit $665.1 million
Short-term Debt $62.1 million
Cash and Cash Equivalents $20.6 million
Restricted Cash $50.4 million



Assessing Humacyte, Inc. (HUMA) Liquidity

Assessing Liquidity and Solvency

Current and Quick Ratios

The current ratio, which measures the ability to cover short-term liabilities with short-term assets, was 0.32 as of September 30, 2024. This indicates potential liquidity challenges. The quick ratio, which excludes inventory from current assets, is not explicitly provided but can be inferred to be similarly constrained given the current assets.

Analysis of Working Capital Trends

As of September 30, 2024, the working capital stood at $2.1 million, a significant decrease from $64.8 million reported at December 31, 2023. This decline highlights increasing liquidity concerns as the company continues to incur operating losses.

Cash Flow Statements Overview

The cash flow statement for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, reported net cash used in operating activities of $71.5 million, compared to $54.3 million for the same period in 2023. This increase in cash outflow reflects escalating operational expenses primarily related to research and development efforts.

Cash Flow Type 2024 (in thousands) 2023 (in thousands)
Net Cash Used in Operating Activities $(71,545) $(54,251)
Net Cash Used in Investing Activities $(1,509) $(23)
Net Cash Provided by Financing Activities $63,177 $4,842
Net Decrease in Cash $(9,877) $(49,432)

Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths

As of September 30, 2024, the company held cash and cash equivalents of $20.6 million and restricted cash of $50.4 million. However, following recent funding, including $28.1 million from a Registered Direct Offering in October 2024, the immediate liquidity position may be bolstered, albeit still reliant on additional capital for sustainability.




Is Humacyte, Inc. (HUMA) Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Analysis

As of September 30, 2024, the current stock price is $5.44, compared to $2.84 as of December 31, 2023. This reflects a significant increase over the period.

The company has not generated any product revenue since its inception. The accumulated deficit stood at $665.1 million as of September 30, 2024, up from $537.3 million at the end of 2023.

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio

The company reported a net loss of $39.2 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024, translating to a net loss per share of $0.33. With no earnings, the P/E ratio is not applicable.

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio

The book value per share can be calculated as follows:

  • Total stockholders' equity (deficit) as of September 30, 2024: ($63.7 million)
  • Total shares outstanding: 119,842,940
  • Book value per share: ($63.7 million / 119,842,940) = ($0.53)

The P/B ratio is therefore calculated as:

  • P/B Ratio = Current Stock Price / Book Value per Share = $5.44 / ($0.53) = -10.27

Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) Ratio

As the company has not generated EBITDA due to continuous operating losses, the EV/EBITDA ratio cannot be determined meaningfully.

Stock Price Trends

Over the last 12 months, the stock price has shown volatility, with a low of approximately $2.00 and a high reaching around $5.44 as of September 30, 2024.

Dividend Yield and Payout Ratios

The company has not declared any dividends, resulting in a dividend yield of 0%. The payout ratio is also 0% due to the absence of dividend payments.

Analyst Consensus on Stock Valuation

Analyst consensus indicates a mixed outlook, with some recommending a buy based on potential future growth, while others suggest hold given the current financial performance and risks associated with ongoing losses.

Metric Value
Current Stock Price $5.44
Net Loss (3 months) $39.2 million
Accumulated Deficit $665.1 million
Book Value per Share ($0.53)
P/B Ratio -10.27
Dividend Yield 0%
Payout Ratio 0%



Key Risks Facing Humacyte, Inc. (HUMA)

Key Risks Facing Humacyte, Inc.

Humacyte, Inc. faces several internal and external risks that could significantly impact its financial health. An overview of these risks includes:

  • Industry Competition: The biotechnology sector is highly competitive, with numerous companies developing similar products. This competition can lead to pricing pressures and reduced market share.
  • Regulatory Changes: The company is subject to extensive regulation by the FDA and other governmental bodies. Changes in regulations or delays in obtaining regulatory approvals can adversely affect the company's operations.
  • Market Conditions: Economic downturns can negatively impact investment and funding opportunities, which are critical for ongoing research and development.

Operational Risks

The company's operational risks are highlighted in their recent financial filings. As of September 30, 2024, Humacyte has accumulated a deficit of $665.1 million, which increased from $537.3 million as of December 31, 2023 . The company has reported operating losses of approximately $86.3 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to $73.9 million for the same period in 2023 .

Financial Risks

Humacyte has not generated any product revenue since its inception in 2004. The company reported net cash flows used in operating activities of $71.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to $54.3 million in the same period in 2023 . The financial outlook suggests that without sufficient capital or product sales, the company may need to delay or reduce its research and development efforts.

Strategic Risks

Strategic risks include dependency on external funding. As of September 30, 2024, Humacyte had cash and cash equivalents of $20.6 million and restricted cash of $50.4 million . The company anticipates needing additional financing to continue operations, as indicated by a working capital decrease from $64.8 million at the end of 2023 to $2.1 million by September 30, 2024 .

Mitigation Strategies

Humacyte has outlined various strategies to mitigate these risks:

  • Entering into a Revenue Interest Purchase Agreement that allows for up to $150 million in financing .
  • Plans for commercializing its products following FDA approvals, potentially increasing revenue streams.
  • Efforts to manage operational costs effectively, with research and development expenses amounting to $67.9 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 .
Risk Type Description Current Financial Impact
Operational Risk Accumulated deficit growth $665.1 million
Financial Risk Net cash flows used in operations $71.5 million
Strategic Risk Working capital decline $2.1 million
Revenue Generation Risk No product revenue generated $0

These comprehensive risk factors present significant challenges for Humacyte, Inc., potentially impacting its ability to achieve long-term financial stability and growth.




Future Growth Prospects for Humacyte, Inc. (HUMA)

Future Growth Prospects for Humacyte, Inc. (HUMA)

Analysis of Key Growth Drivers

The company is focusing on several key growth drivers, including product innovations, market expansions, and strategic partnerships. The primary product under development is the ATEV (Artificial Tissue Engineered Vascular) product. The FDA has accepted the Biologics License Application (BLA) for vascular trauma, which could lead to significant market opportunities.

Future Revenue Growth Projections and Earnings Estimates

As of September 30, 2024, the company has not generated any product revenue. However, with the potential FDA approval of ATEV for vascular trauma by December 31, 2024, estimated future revenues could significantly increase. The company is entitled to receive up to approximately $90.0 million in subsequent installments from the Revenue Interest Purchase Agreement, contingent upon achieving specified sales milestones and regulatory approvals.

Strategic Initiatives or Partnerships

Strategic partnerships are critical for driving growth. The company has a partnership with Fresenius Medical Care to market and distribute the ATEV for specified indications outside the United States. This collaboration could enhance market penetration and revenue generation as the product becomes available.

Competitive Advantages

The company holds several competitive advantages, including:

  • Regulatory Designations: The ATEV has received Fast Track and Regenerative Medicine Advanced Therapy (RMAT) designations, facilitating expedited regulatory review.
  • Clinical Trial Success: Positive results from ongoing clinical trials, such as the V007 Phase 3 trial for AV access for hemodialysis, position the company favorably for market entry.
  • Strong Intellectual Property: The company has established patent agreements with institutions like Duke University, enhancing its competitive edge in the biotechnology space.

Financial Overview

The following table outlines key financial metrics relevant to assessing growth opportunities:

Metric September 30, 2024 December 31, 2023
Accumulated Deficit $665.1 million $537.3 million
Cash and Cash Equivalents $20.6 million $80.4 million
Net Cash Used in Operating Activities $71.5 million $54.3 million
Research and Development Expenses $67.9 million $56.4 million

In summary, the company is poised for potential growth through its innovative products, strategic partnerships, and upcoming regulatory approvals. The financial metrics indicate a focus on research and development, which is crucial for future revenue generation.

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Resources:

  1. Humacyte, Inc. (HUMA) Financial Statements – Access the full quarterly financial statements for Q3 2024 to get an in-depth view of Humacyte, Inc. (HUMA)' financial performance, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  2. SEC Filings – View Humacyte, Inc. (HUMA)' latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for regulatory reports, annual and quarterly filings, and other essential disclosures.