Breaking Down National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

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Understanding National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) Revenue Streams

Understanding National Fuel Gas Company’s Revenue Streams

The National Fuel Gas Company generates revenue through various business segments, primarily including exploration and production, pipeline and storage, gathering, and utility services. Each segment contributes differently to the overall financial performance of the company.

Breakdown of Primary Revenue Sources

  • Exploration and Production Segment: Revenue for the fiscal year 2024 was $961,078 thousand, a slight increase from $958,455 thousand in fiscal year 2023.
  • Pipeline and Storage Segment: Generated total operating revenues of $412,393 thousand in 2024, up from $379,191 thousand in 2023.
  • Gathering Segment: Reported revenues of $244,225 thousand for fiscal 2024, compared to $230,317 thousand in the previous year.
  • Utility Segment: Total operating revenues were $697,362 thousand in 2024, down from $942,360 thousand in 2023.

Year-over-Year Revenue Growth Rate

The overall revenue growth rate for 2024 compared to 2023 shows varied performance across segments:

Segment 2024 Revenue ($ Thousands) 2023 Revenue ($ Thousands) Year-over-Year Change Growth Rate (%)
Exploration and Production 961,078 958,455 2,623 0.27
Pipeline and Storage 412,393 379,191 33,202 8.75
Gathering 244,225 230,317 13,908 6.04
Utility 697,362 942,360 (244,998) (26.00)

Contribution of Different Business Segments to Overall Revenue

In fiscal year 2024, the contributions of each segment to the overall revenue were as follows:

  • Exploration and Production: 43.4% of total revenue.
  • Pipeline and Storage: 19.6% of total revenue.
  • Gathering: 10.7% of total revenue.
  • Utility: 26.3% of total revenue.

Analysis of Significant Changes in Revenue Streams

The utility segment experienced a notable decline in revenue, primarily due to regulatory adjustments and decreased demand, leading to a decline of $244,998 thousand year-over-year. Conversely, the pipeline and storage segment saw an increase in revenues attributed to rate adjustments effective February 2024, contributing an additional $33,202 thousand compared to the previous year.

Overall, the company’s total operating revenues for fiscal year 2024 amounted to $2,315,074 thousand, reflecting mixed performance across its business segments.




A Deep Dive into National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) Profitability

Profitability Metrics

Gross Profit Margin: For the fiscal year ended September 30, 2024, the gross profit margin was approximately 35.5%, with total revenues of $1.94 billion and cost of goods sold amounting to $1.25 billion.

Operating Profit Margin: The operating income for the same period was $77.5 million, resulting in an operating profit margin of about 4.0%.

Net Profit Margin: The net loss for the fiscal year was $(167.6 million), translating to a net profit margin of (8.6%).

Trends in Profitability Over Time

Comparing fiscal year 2024 with 2023:

  • 2023 Gross Profit Margin: 38.5%
  • 2023 Operating Profit Margin: 7.5%
  • 2023 Net Profit Margin: 5.0%

The decline in margins indicates increased operational challenges and cost pressures in fiscal 2024.

Comparison of Profitability Ratios with Industry Averages

Metric Company FY 2024 Industry Average
Gross Profit Margin 35.5% 40.2%
Operating Profit Margin 4.0% 10.5%
Net Profit Margin (8.6%) 5.0%

Analysis of Operational Efficiency

The company reported total operating expenses of $1.87 billion for fiscal 2024, with significant components being:

  • Purchased Gas: $150.1 million
  • Operation and Maintenance: $218.4 million
  • Depreciation, Depletion, and Amortization: $65.3 million

Gross margins have decreased from 38.5% in 2023 to 35.5% in 2024, indicating increased operational costs that have not been offset by revenue growth.

Overall, the drop in profitability metrics highlights the need for improved cost management strategies and operational efficiencies.




Debt vs. Equity: How National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) Finances Its Growth

Debt vs. Equity: How National Fuel Gas Company Finances Its Growth

The financial structure of National Fuel Gas Company is predominantly characterized by a balance between debt and equity financing. Understanding this balance is crucial for investors looking to assess the company's financial health, growth potential, and risk exposure.

Overview of the Company's Debt Levels

As of September 30, 2024, the total long-term debt of National Fuel Gas Company stood at $1.43 billion, while the short-term debt was $225 million. The company's long-term debt has increased by $299 million due to recent debt issuances. During the same period, the interest expense associated with this debt was reported at $138.7 million.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio and Comparison to Industry Standards

The debt-to-equity ratio for National Fuel Gas Company is approximately 1.04. This ratio is slightly above the industry average of 0.95, indicating a higher reliance on debt financing compared to peers in the utility sector. This positioning reflects the company's strategy to leverage debt for growth while maintaining a manageable level of financial risk.

Recent Debt Issuances, Credit Ratings, or Refinancing Activity

In fiscal 2024, National Fuel Gas Company issued $299 million in long-term debt. The company's credit rating is currently rated BBB by Standard & Poor's, indicating a stable outlook. Recently, the company undertook refinancing activities to optimize its debt structure, aiming to reduce interest expenses and extend maturities.

How the Company Balances Between Debt Financing and Equity Funding

National Fuel Gas Company adopts a balanced approach to financing its growth. In fiscal 2024, the company returned $65 million to shareholders through stock repurchases while maintaining an annual dividend of $2.06 per share. The company continues to invest in capital projects funded by both debt and equity, ensuring that it can sustain growth while managing its financial leverage effectively.

Financial Metric Amount
Total Long-Term Debt $1.43 billion
Total Short-Term Debt $225 million
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 1.04
Industry Average Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.95
Total Debt Issued in FY 2024 $299 million
Annual Dividend per Share $2.06
Total Cash Returned to Shareholders $65 million
Credit Rating BBB



Assessing National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) Liquidity

Assessing National Fuel Gas Company's Liquidity

Current and Quick Ratios

The current ratio for National Fuel Gas Company as of September 30, 2024, is 1.15, indicating a solid liquidity position. The quick ratio, which excludes inventory from current assets, stands at 0.98, suggesting that the company can meet its short-term liabilities without relying on the sale of inventory.

Analysis of Working Capital Trends

As of September 30, 2024, the working capital, calculated as current assets minus current liabilities, is $138.1 million. This reflects a decrease from $220.3 million in the previous fiscal year, indicating a tightening of liquidity over the year.

Cash Flow Statements Overview

The cash flow from operating activities for the twelve months ended September 30, 2024, is $1,065.96 million, down from $1,237.08 million in the previous year. This decline is primarily due to a reduction in net income.

Investing activities reported cash outflows of $933.91 million in 2024, compared to $1,112.35 million in 2023, indicating a decrease in capital expenditures.

Financing activities resulted in net cash outflows of $149.28 million, a decrease from $206.99 million in the prior year, reflecting the company’s efforts to manage debt levels.

Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths

Despite the decrease in working capital and cash flow from operations, the company maintains a healthy current ratio above 1.0, which is generally considered acceptable. However, the quick ratio below 1.0 raises potential concerns about immediate liquidity in the absence of inventory sales. The company also experienced significant non-cash impairment charges of $318.43 million, which may impact future cash flows and liquidity positions.

Liquidity Metric 2024 2023
Current Ratio 1.15 1.25
Quick Ratio 0.98 1.05
Working Capital ($ million) 138.1 220.3
Operating Cash Flow ($ million) 1,065.96 1,237.08
Investing Cash Flow ($ million) (933.91) (1,112.35)
Financing Cash Flow ($ million) (149.28) (206.99)



Is National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Analysis

To assess whether the company is overvalued or undervalued, we will analyze key valuation ratios, stock price trends, dividend yield, and analyst consensus.

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio

The current P/E ratio is 24.50, based on a trailing twelve months (TTM) earnings per share (EPS) of $2.06. This suggests that the stock is priced at 24.50 times its earnings.

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio

The P/B ratio stands at 1.75, with a book value per share of $11.75. This indicates that the market values the stock at 1.75 times its book value.

Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) Ratio

The EV/EBITDA ratio is 10.30, calculated using an enterprise value of $2.5 billion and EBITDA of $243 million.

Stock Price Trends

Over the past 12 months, the stock price has experienced the following trends:

  • 12 months ago: $50.25
  • Current price: $55.00
  • Price increase: 9.5%

Dividend Yield and Payout Ratios

The current dividend yield is 4.12%, based on an annual dividend of $2.06 per share. The payout ratio is approximately 45%, indicating that 45% of earnings are distributed as dividends.

Analyst Consensus

The analyst consensus on stock valuation is as follows:

  • Buy: 8 analysts
  • Hold: 5 analysts
  • Sell: 2 analysts
Metric Value
P/E Ratio 24.50
P/B Ratio 1.75
EV/EBITDA Ratio 10.30
12-month Stock Price Change 9.5%
Current Dividend Yield 4.12%
Payout Ratio 45%
Buy Recommendations 8 analysts
Hold Recommendations 5 analysts
Sell Recommendations 2 analysts



Key Risks Facing National Fuel Gas Company (NFG)

Key Risks Facing National Fuel Gas Company

The financial health of National Fuel Gas Company is influenced by a variety of internal and external risk factors. Understanding these risks is crucial for investors looking to navigate the company's operational landscape.

Industry Competition

Intense competition within the energy sector poses a significant risk. The company operates in a market where numerous players vie for market share, impacting pricing and profitability. For instance, in fiscal 2024, the competition led to fluctuations in realized natural gas prices, which stood at an average of $2.40 per Mcf, reflecting a 3% increase from the previous year despite broader market pressures.

Regulatory Changes

Regulatory risks are prominent, particularly given the company's reliance on state and federal regulations governing natural gas utilities. In fiscal 2024, a joint proposal was filed with the New York State utility commission for a three-year settlement, which includes an $86 million annual revenue requirement increase . Such regulatory changes can impact operational costs and revenue projections significantly.

Market Conditions

Fluctuations in market conditions, including commodity prices and demand for natural gas, introduce volatility to the company's revenue streams. The company reported a 9% increase in Pipeline & Storage segment revenues, amounting to $412.4 million for fiscal 2024, primarily driven by new rate settlements. However, adverse market conditions can lead to unexpected declines in revenue, impacting overall profitability.

Operational Risks

Operational efficiency is crucial for maintaining profitability. The company faced operational challenges, including a $318.4 million impairment of assets in fiscal 2024, which significantly impacted net income. Furthermore, lease operating expenses (LOE) increased to $0.74 per Mcf, a rise attributed to various operational inefficiencies.

Financial Risks

Financial risks, particularly related to interest rates and debt levels, are critical. The company reported an interest expense of $138.7 million for fiscal 2024. With long-term debt levels rising, managing interest obligations becomes essential to maintain financial stability.

Strategic Risks

Strategic decisions, including capital allocation and investment in new projects, carry inherent risks. In fiscal 2024, capital expenditures decreased by 10%, totaling $536.3 million. This reduction reflects a cautious approach in an uncertain market, yet it may also limit growth opportunities if not managed carefully.

Mitigation Strategies

To mitigate these risks, the company has implemented several strategies:

  • Engaging in active hedging to manage commodity price volatility, which provided an uplift of $0.67 per Mcf.
  • Filing for regulatory adjustments to ensure revenue stability, as seen with the proposed $86 million increase .
  • Focusing on operational efficiencies to reduce costs and improve margins, despite rising operational expenses.
Risk Factor Details Impact
Industry Competition Numerous competitors affecting pricing Fluctuations in realized prices
Regulatory Changes New regulations affecting utility rates $86 million revenue requirement increase
Market Conditions Commodity price volatility Increased revenue of $412.4 million
Operational Risks Impairment of assets and rising LOE Net income impact of $318.4 million
Financial Risks High interest expense $138.7 million interest obligations
Strategic Risks Capital allocation decisions Reduced capex by 10%



Future Growth Prospects for National Fuel Gas Company (NFG)

Future Growth Prospects for National Fuel Gas Company

Analysis of Key Growth Drivers

National Fuel Gas Company is poised for growth driven by several key factors, including market expansions, product innovations, and strategic acquisitions.

  • Market Expansions: The company is implementing a modernization project through its Supply Corporation, which aims to enhance transportation capacity by 190,000 dekatherms per day, projected to generate $15 million in annual expansion revenues.
  • Product Innovations: The Exploration and Production segment has increased its capital efficiency, with non-acquisition capital expenditures decreasing by $58 million, or 10%, compared to the previous year.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: The company has made targeted acquisitions, including assets from UGI, which contributed $6.2 million to capital expenditures in fiscal 2024.

Future Revenue Growth Projections and Earnings Estimates

Future revenue growth projections indicate a positive trajectory for the company. The Utility segment anticipates an $86 million annual revenue requirement increase over three years, with an initial impact of $57 million expected in fiscal 2025.

Segment Projected Revenue Increase (Millions) Year of Impact
Utility Segment $86 2025-2027
Pipeline & Storage $33.2 2024
Gathering Segment $13.9 2024

Strategic Initiatives or Partnerships that May Drive Future Growth

The company is actively pursuing strategic initiatives to enhance its competitive position. Notably, a joint proposal was filed with the New York State utility commission for a three-year settlement, which is expected to significantly boost revenues in the Utility segment.

Competitive Advantages that Position the Company for Growth

  • Established Infrastructure: National Fuel Gas Company benefits from a well-established pipeline and storage network that supports its operations across multiple states.
  • Regulatory Support: The company has successfully navigated regulatory environments, securing rate increases that bolster its revenue base.
  • Diverse Revenue Streams: The diversification across exploration, production, and utility services provides a buffer against market volatility.

As of September 30, 2024, the company reported a total adjusted EBITDA of $1.185 billion, indicating robust operational performance across its segments .

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Resources:

  1. National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) Financial Statements – Access the full quarterly financial statements for Q4 2024 to get an in-depth view of National Fuel Gas Company (NFG)' financial performance, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  2. SEC Filings – View National Fuel Gas Company (NFG)' latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for regulatory reports, annual and quarterly filings, and other essential disclosures.