Breaking Down Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

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Understanding Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR) Revenue Streams

Understanding Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc.’s Revenue Streams

The primary revenue sources for Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. are derived from two main segments: firearms and castings. The firearms segment includes rifles, pistols, and revolvers sold primarily to independent wholesale distributors in the United States. The castings segment focuses on manufacturing and selling steel investment castings and metal injection molding parts.

Revenue Breakdown by Segment

Segment Three Months Ended September 28, 2024 (in $000) Three Months Ended September 30, 2023 (in $000) Change (%)
Firearms $121,512 $120,368 1.0%
Castings $775 $525 47.6%
Total Net Sales $122,287 $120,893 1.2%

Year-over-Year Revenue Growth Rate

For the nine months ended September 28, 2024, the revenue figures were as follows:

Period Net Firearms Sales (in $000) Net Castings Sales (in $000) Total Net Sales (in $000) Change (%)
2024 $387,349 $2,519 $389,868 (5.6%)
2023 $411,114 $2,036 $413,150 N/A

Contribution of Different Business Segments to Overall Revenue

In the first nine months of 2024, the firearms segment accounted for a significant portion of the overall revenue, with net firearms sales representing approximately 99.6% of total net sales. The castings segment, while smaller, showed a growth of 23.7% compared to the previous year.

Significant Changes in Revenue Streams

The total net sales decreased by 5.6% year-over-year, primarily due to decreased consumer demand for firearms. Notably, sales of new products, which included the Security-380 pistol and Marlin lever-action rifles, contributed $113.3 million or 31.2% of firearm sales in the first nine months of 2024.

In summary, while the firearms segment continues to dominate, the castings segment has shown growth, and the overall revenue decline reflects broader market trends affecting consumer demand.




A Deep Dive into Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR) Profitability

A Deep Dive into Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc.'s Profitability

Gross Profit Margin

Period Net Sales (in millions) Cost of Products Sold (in millions) Gross Profit (in millions) Gross Margin (%)
Q3 2024 $122.3 $99.6 $22.7 18.5%
Q3 2023 $120.9 $96.2 $24.7 20.5%
9M 2024 $389.9 $308.7 $81.2 20.8%
9M 2023 $413.2 $311.8 $101.4 24.5%

Operating Profit Margin

Period Operating Income (in millions) Operating Margin (%)
Q3 2024 $3.7 3.0%
Q3 2023 $6.3 5.2%
9M 2024 $20.2 5.2%
9M 2023 $41.8 10.1%

Net Profit Margin

Period Net Income (in millions) Net Profit Margin (%)
Q3 2024 $4.7 3.9%
Q3 2023 $7.4 6.1%
9M 2024 $20.1 5.2%
9M 2023 $38.0 9.2%

Trends in Profitability Over Time

For the nine months ended September 28, 2024, net income decreased by 47.1% compared to the same period in 2023. Operating income also fell by 51.5% year-over-year, indicating a significant decline in profitability metrics.

Comparison of Profitability Ratios with Industry Averages

Industry averages for gross margin in the firearms manufacturing sector typically range from 22% to 26%. The company’s gross margin of 20.8% for the nine months ended September 28, 2024, is below the industry average, while its operating margin of 5.2% is also lower than the typical range of 8% to 12%.

Analysis of Operational Efficiency

Operating expenses for the nine months ended September 28, 2024, totaled $61.0 million, which is an increase of 2.3% compared to $59.6 million in the prior year. This modest increase is attributed to heightened selling and administrative expenses.

Despite a decrease in sales, the company has maintained a consistent focus on cost management. The decline in gross profit and margins is largely due to a product mix shift toward lower-margin products, despite increased pricing strategies in place.

In conclusion, the company's profitability metrics reflect a challenging environment with declining margins and net income, necessitating a strategic review of operational efficiencies and product offerings to restore profitability growth.




Debt vs. Equity: How Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR) Finances Its Growth

Debt vs. Equity: How Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. Finances Its Growth

As of September 28, 2024, the company's total debt consists of $0 in long-term debt. The short-term debt is also $0, indicating a strong reliance on equity financing rather than debt.

The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.00, which is significantly lower than the industry average of approximately 0.50 for firearm manufacturers. This indicates a conservative approach to capital structure.

Recent Debt Issuances and Credit Ratings

There have been no recent debt issuances as the company has maintained an unused credit facility amounting to $40 million since its amendment on June 6, 2024. The facility is set to expire on January 7, 2028. The credit facility bears interest at the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) plus 150 basis points, plus an additional 8 basis points for adjustments .

Balancing Debt Financing and Equity Funding

The company has consistently financed its growth through equity. As of September 28, 2024, total stockholders' equity is reported at $314.9 million, with retained earnings of $428.0 million and additional paid-in capital of $49.4 million .

Financial Overview

Financial Metric Value
Total Debt $0
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.00
Industry Average Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.50
Unused Credit Facility $40 million
Stockholders' Equity $314.9 million
Retained Earnings $428.0 million
Additional Paid-in Capital $49.4 million

The company's strategy of avoiding debt enables it to maintain flexibility in its operations and invest in growth opportunities without the burden of interest payments. This prudent financial management approach positions the company favorably within its industry.




Assessing Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR) Liquidity

Assessing Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc.'s Liquidity

Current Ratio: As of September 28, 2024, the current ratio is 4.5 to 1, indicating a strong liquidity position.

Quick Ratio: The quick ratio, which excludes inventory from current assets, is not explicitly stated but can be inferred to be favorable given the high current ratio.

Working Capital Trends

Working capital at the end of Q3 2024 stands at $192.1 million, calculated from a pre-LIFO working capital of $260.4 million and a LIFO reserve of $68.3 million.

Cash Flow Statement Overview

Cash Flow Category 2024 (Nine Months) 2023 (Nine Months)
Operating Cash Flow $35.5 million $1.3 million
Investing Cash Flow ($3.2 million) $41.0 million
Financing Cash Flow ($39.9 million) ($109.9 million)

Cash provided by operating activities saw a significant increase in 2024 compared to the previous year, primarily due to decreases in inventory and prepaid expenses. The investing cash flow reflects a net outflow, influenced by capital expenditures totaling $17.2 million for the nine months ended September 28, 2024.

Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths

As of September 28, 2024, the company holds $96.0 million in cash and short-term investments, including $61.5 million in U.S. Treasury instruments maturing within one year and $27.0 million in a money market fund. This strong cash position suggests minimal liquidity concerns.

Additionally, the company has an unused $40 million revolving line of credit, which provides further liquidity flexibility. However, the overall decrease in net income from $20.1 million in 2023 to $4.7 million in Q3 2024 raises some caution regarding operational performance.




Is Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR) Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Analysis

In assessing the financial health of the company, several key valuation metrics are essential for determining whether the company is overvalued or undervalued.

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio

The P/E ratio is a crucial indicator for investors. As of September 28, 2024, the earnings per share (EPS) was $1.17 based on the nine months ended September 28, 2024. The stock price was approximately $41.99 per share. Thus, the P/E ratio is calculated as follows:

P/E Ratio = Price per Share / EPS = $41.99 / $1.17 = 35.8

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio

The P/B ratio provides insight into the market's valuation of the company relative to its book value. As of September 28, 2024, the book value per share was $18.71 (calculated from total stockholders’ equity of $314.9 million divided by 16.8 million shares outstanding). The P/B ratio is:

P/B Ratio = Price per Share / Book Value per Share = $41.99 / $18.71 = 2.24

Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) Ratio

To evaluate the company's enterprise value, we consider its market capitalization, debt, and cash. The enterprise value (EV) is calculated as follows:

  • Market Capitalization: $41.99 16.8 million shares = $704.5 million
  • Debt: $40 million (unused credit facility)
  • Cash and Short-term Investments: $96 million

Thus, the EV is:

EV = Market Capitalization + Debt - Cash = $704.5 million + $40 million - $96 million = $648.5 million

EBITDA for the nine months ended September 28, 2024, was $37.9 million. Therefore, the EV/EBITDA ratio is:

EV/EBITDA = EV / EBITDA = $648.5 million / $37.9 million = 17.1

Stock Price Trends

Over the past 12 months, the stock price has shown significant fluctuations. The stock price was:

  • 12 months ago: $48.20
  • 6 months ago: $45.00
  • Current Price: $41.99

This represents a decline of approximately 12.3% over the year.

Dividend Yield and Payout Ratios

The company has maintained a variable dividend policy, paying approximately 40% of its net income as dividends. For the nine months ended September 28, 2024, total dividends paid were $10 million. The dividend per share authorized for the upcoming payment is $0.11.

Dividend Yield = Annual Dividend / Price per Share = $0.44 / $41.99 = 1.05%

Analyst Consensus on Stock Valuation

As of the latest reports, analyst consensus on the stock is mixed:

  • Buy: 5 analysts
  • Hold: 3 analysts
  • Sell: 1 analyst
Valuation Metric Value
P/E Ratio 35.8
P/B Ratio 2.24
EV/EBITDA Ratio 17.1
Current Stock Price $41.99
Dividend Yield 1.05%
Analyst Consensus 5 Buy, 3 Hold, 1 Sell



Key Risks Facing Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR)

Key Risks Facing Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc.

Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. faces a variety of risks that could impact its financial health in 2024 and beyond. These risks can be categorized into internal and external factors that influence operational and market conditions.

Industry Competition

The firearms industry is highly competitive, with numerous manufacturers vying for market share. In 2024, the company reported a 5.6% decrease in total net sales, totaling $389.9 million, compared to $413.2 million in the prior year. This decline indicates increasing pressure from competitors and changing consumer preferences.

Regulatory Changes

Regulatory scrutiny surrounding firearm manufacturing and sales continues to evolve. The company must comply with various federal, state, and local regulations, which could increase operational costs. Regulatory changes can also affect market access and product offerings, leading to potential revenue losses.

Market Conditions

Market demand for firearms can be volatile, influenced by economic conditions, consumer sentiment, and legislative developments. The company experienced a 36.2% decrease in net income for the three months ended September 28, 2024, amounting to $4.7 million, down from $7.4 million in the same period of the previous year. This decline reflects challenges in maintaining sales amid fluctuating market conditions.

Operational Risks

The company's manufacturing processes depend on a stable supply of raw materials, such as steel and various synthetic components. A limited supply can lead to increased costs and production delays. The company reported working capital of $192.1 million with a current ratio of 4.5 to 1 as of September 28, 2024. This financial buffer helps mitigate some operational risks but does not eliminate them entirely.

Financial Risks

Financially, the company has faced challenges, as evidenced by a 39.2% decrease in EBITDA for the nine months ended September 28, 2024, totaling $37.9 million compared to $62.4 million in the prior year. Additionally, the company paid out $10.0 million in dividends during the nine months ended September 28, 2024, which is approximately 40% of net income. This dividend policy reflects financial commitments that could constrain liquidity during downturns.

Strategic Risks

The company's strategic decisions, including product development and marketing strategies, are critical to maintaining its competitive edge. New product sales, particularly firearms introduced in the last two years, accounted for $113.3 million or 31.2% of firearm sales in the first nine months of 2024. Failure to innovate or misalignment with market trends could adversely affect the company's performance.

Mitigation Strategies

To address these risks, the company has implemented several strategies, including maintaining a strong liquidity position with $96.0 million in cash and short-term investments. Furthermore, the company has established a captive insurance company to manage product liability risks more effectively. However, ongoing monitoring of market conditions and regulatory environments will be essential for sustaining its operational and financial health.

Risk Factor Description Recent Impact
Industry Competition Numerous manufacturers competing for market share 5.6% decrease in total net sales
Regulatory Changes Compliance with evolving firearm regulations Potential increase in operational costs
Market Conditions Volatile demand influenced by economic factors 36.2% decrease in net income
Operational Risks Dependence on stable raw material supply Working capital of $192.1 million
Financial Risks Challenges in maintaining profitability 39.2% decrease in EBITDA
Strategic Risks Need for continuous product innovation New product sales represent 31.2% of firearm sales



Future Growth Prospects for Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR)

Future Growth Prospects for Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc.

Analysis of Key Growth Drivers:

  • Product Innovations: Sales of new products, including the Security-380 pistol, Super Wrangler revolver, and Marlin lever-action rifles, represented $35.5 million or 31.0% of firearm sales in Q3 2024.
  • Market Expansions: The company has seen net castings sales increase by 47.6% to $0.8 million in Q3 2024 compared to the same period in 2023.
  • Acquisitions: No major acquisitions were reported during this period, but the company is open to strategic partnerships to enhance its market position.

Future Revenue Growth Projections and Earnings Estimates:

For the nine months ended September 28, 2024, total net sales decreased to $389.9 million, down 5.6% from $413.2 million in the previous year. Net income for the same period was $20.1 million, a decrease of 47.1% compared to $38.0 million in 2023. Analysts predict that with the introduction of new products and strategic marketing, revenues could stabilize and potentially grow in the next fiscal year.

Strategic Initiatives or Partnerships That May Drive Future Growth:

  • The company has authorized a dividend of 11¢ per share to be paid on November 27, 2024, reflecting a commitment to returning value to shareholders while also investing in growth.
  • Capital expenditures for 2024 are expected to be approximately $20 million, focusing on new product introductions and upgrades to manufacturing.

Competitive Advantages That Position the Company for Growth:

  • Strong liquidity with cash and short-term investments totaling $96.0 million as of September 28, 2024.
  • A current ratio of 4.5 to 1, indicating robust financial health and ability to meet short-term obligations.
Financial Metrics Q3 2024 Q3 2023 Change % Change
Total Net Sales $122.3 million $120.9 million $1.4 million 1.2%
Gross Profit $22.7 million $24.7 million ($2.0 million) (8.3%)
Net Income $4.7 million $7.4 million ($2.7 million) (36.2%)
EBITDA $9.9 million $13.3 million ($3.4 million) (25.2%)

Conclusion on Market Position:

The company’s competitive advantages, such as strong liquidity and a focus on product innovation, position it well for future growth despite current challenges in the overall firearms market.

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Article updated on 8 Nov 2024

Resources:

  • Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR) Financial Statements – Access the full quarterly financial statements for Q3 2024 to get an in-depth view of Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR)' financial performance, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • SEC Filings – View Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR)' latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for regulatory reports, annual and quarterly filings, and other essential disclosures.