Breaking Down Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) Bundle

Get Full Bundle:
$12 $7
$12 $7
$12 $7
$12 $7
$25 $15
$12 $7
$12 $7
$12 $7
$12 $7

TOTAL:



Understanding Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) Revenue Streams

Understanding Trinity Industries, Inc.’s Revenue Streams

Trinity Industries, Inc. generates revenue primarily through two segments: the Railcar Leasing and Services Group and the Rail Products Group. Below is a detailed breakdown of these revenue sources.

Breakdown of Primary Revenue Sources

Segment Revenue (2024 Q3) Revenue (2023 Q3) Change (%)
Railcar Leasing and Services Group $289.5 million $261.7 million 10.6%
Rail Products Group $603.2 million $624.1 million (3.3%)
Total Revenue $798.8 million $821.3 million (2.7%)

Year-over-Year Revenue Growth Rate

For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, total revenue was $2,449.8 million, which represents an increase of 12.1% compared to $2,185.4 million for the same period in 2023.

Contribution of Different Business Segments to Overall Revenue

In the nine months ending September 30, 2024:

  • Railcar Leasing and Services Group: $856.1 million
  • Rail Products Group: $1,904.8 million

This indicates a significant contribution from the Rail Products Group, which accounts for approximately 77.7% of the total revenue.

Analysis of Significant Changes in Revenue Streams

In the most recent quarter, the Railcar Leasing and Services Group experienced a revenue increase of 10.6%, driven by improved lease rates and net additions to the lease fleet. Conversely, the Rail Products Group saw a revenue decline of 3.3%, primarily due to a lower volume of sustainable railcar conversions.

For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the Rail Products Group showed a slight increase of 2.0% compared to the previous year, mainly attributed to higher new railcar deliveries.

Summary of Revenue Trends

The overall revenue trends indicate a healthy growth trajectory for the Railcar Leasing and Services Group, while the Rail Products Group is managing to maintain stability despite fluctuations in sustainable railcar conversions.




A Deep Dive into Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) Profitability

A Deep Dive into Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) Profitability

Gross Profit Margin: For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the gross profit margin was 15.2%, compared to 13.5% for the same period in 2023.

Operating Profit: Operating profit for the three months ended September 30, 2024, totaled $122.4 million, an increase of 22.2% from $100.2 million in the prior year. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, it amounted to $379.5 million, up from $268.3 million in the previous year, representing a growth of 41.4%.

Net Profit: Net income attributable to the company for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was $31.4 million, compared to $21.8 million for the same period in 2023. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, net income was $109.5 million, up from $43.2 million in 2023.

Profit Margins:

Metric Q3 2024 Q3 2023 9M 2024 9M 2023
Gross Profit Margin 15.2% 13.5% 15.4% 12.8%
Operating Profit Margin 15.3% 12.2% 15.5% 11.5%
Net Profit Margin 3.9% 2.7% 4.5% 2.0%

Trends in Profitability Over Time: The operating profit margin has shown positive trends, increasing from 12.2% in Q3 2023 to 15.3% in Q3 2024. Similarly, the net profit margin improved from 2.7% in Q3 2023 to 3.9% in Q3 2024.

Comparison with Industry Averages: The company’s operating profit margin of 15.3% in Q3 2024 exceeds the industry average of approximately 10-12%, indicating strong operational efficiency relative to peers.

Operational Efficiency Analysis: The total operating expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, were $2,070.3 million, a slight increase from $1,917.1 million in the prior year, reflecting a 7.9% growth. However, the increase in revenues by 12.1% suggests improved cost management and operational efficiencies.

Cost Management: Selling, engineering, and administrative expenses rose to $60.5 million in Q3 2024, from $49.1 million in Q3 2023, marking an increase of 23.2% year-over-year, driven by higher employee-related costs.

Gross Margin Trends: The cost of revenues decreased by 7.4% in Q3 2024 compared to Q3 2023, indicating improved operational efficiencies, particularly within the Rail Products Group.

Key Profitability Ratios:

Ratio Q3 2024 Q3 2023 9M 2024 9M 2023
Return on Equity (ROE) 2.4% 1.7% 10.4% 5.5%
Return on Assets (ROA) 0.6% 0.4% 1.5% 0.7%

Conclusion on Profitability Metrics: The analysis indicates solid profitability improvements, effective cost management, and operational efficiencies, positioning the company favorably within its industry.




Debt vs. Equity: How Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) Finances Its Growth

Debt vs. Equity: How Trinity Industries, Inc. Finances Its Growth

Overview of the Company's Debt Levels

As of September 30, 2024, the total debt of Trinity Industries, Inc. is $5,699.7 million, which includes both long-term and short-term obligations. The breakdown is as follows:

Debt Type Amount (in millions)
Total Debt $5,699.7
Long-Term Debt $5,102.0
Short-Term Debt $597.7

The company's long-term debt consists primarily of secured railcar equipment notes and senior notes, with a significant portion tied to non-recourse debt arrangements.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio and Comparison to Industry Standards

The debt-to-equity ratio for Trinity Industries, Inc. is calculated as follows:

Metric Value
Total Equity $1,275.5 million
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 4.47

This ratio indicates a high level of debt compared to equity, significantly above the industry average of approximately 1.5, suggesting a more aggressive financing strategy.

Recent Debt Issuances, Credit Ratings, or Refinancing Activity

In March 2024, the company entered into a new TILC warehouse loan facility with a total commitment amount of $800.0 million. In June 2024, it issued an additional $200.0 million of 7.75% senior notes due July 2028, increasing the total senior notes outstanding to $600.0 million. The company also redeemed $400.0 million of its 4.55% senior notes due 2024 during the same period.

As of September 30, 2024, the company holds a credit rating of B1 from Moody's and B+ from S&P, reflecting a stable outlook despite the high leverage.

How the Company Balances Between Debt Financing and Equity Funding

Trinity Industries has strategically utilized debt financing to fund its growth initiatives while maintaining a consistent dividend payout to shareholders. In the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the company paid $70.1 million in dividends. Furthermore, the company has a share repurchase authorization of $250.0 million, with $242.9 million remaining as of the end of September 2024.

This balance allows Trinity Industries to leverage its debt for growth opportunities while also returning value to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks.




Assessing Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) Liquidity

Assessing Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) Liquidity

Current Ratio: As of September 30, 2024, the current ratio is 1.06, derived from current assets of $1,304.0 million and current liabilities of $1,227.0 million.

Quick Ratio: The quick ratio stands at 0.75, calculated using liquid assets (cash and equivalents plus receivables) totaling $636.2 million against current liabilities.

Working Capital Trends

Working capital has shown a positive trend, increasing from $77.2 million at the end of 2023 to $77.0 million as of September 30, 2024. This reflects an improvement in liquidity management.

Period Current Assets (in millions) Current Liabilities (in millions) Working Capital (in millions)
September 30, 2024 $1,304.0 $1,227.0 $77.0
December 31, 2023 $1,288.5 $1,211.3 $77.2

Cash Flow Overview

For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the cash flow statement highlights:

  • Operating Cash Flow: Net cash provided by operating activities was $383.5 million, a significant increase from $215.8 million in 2023.
  • Investing Cash Flow: Net cash used in investing activities was ($105.2 million), reduced from ($316.3 million) in the prior year.
  • Financing Cash Flow: Net cash used in financing activities was ($169.7 million), compared to $81.0 million provided in 2023.
Cash Flow Type 2024 (in millions) 2023 (in millions)
Operating Activities $383.5 $215.8
Investing Activities ($105.2) ($316.3)
Financing Activities ($169.7) $81.0

Liquidity Concerns and Strengths

The total committed liquidity as of September 30, 2024, stands at $924.2 million, comprising $222.4 million in cash and equivalents and $595.6 million available under the revolving credit facility. The company has demonstrated effective liquidity management despite the high levels of debt.

Debt Levels: Total debt, including recourse and non-recourse debt, is $5,699.7 million as of September 30, 2024. This includes recourse debt of $597.7 million and non-recourse debt of $5,102.0 million.

Debt to Equity Ratio: The debt-to-equity ratio is approximately 4.45, indicating a high leverage position, which could be a concern for liquidity in adverse market conditions.

Debt Type Amount (in millions)
Recourse Debt $597.7
Non-recourse Debt $5,102.0
Total Debt $5,699.7



Is Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Analysis

In assessing the valuation of Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN), we will analyze key financial metrics that provide insights into its market position and investment potential.

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio

The current P/E ratio for Trinity Industries is 22.3, based on the trailing twelve months (TTM) earnings per share (EPS) of $1.48. This ratio reflects investor expectations of future earnings growth compared to current earnings.

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio

The P/B ratio stands at 2.1, with a book value per share of $14.09. This valuation metric indicates how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of net assets, suggesting a premium on the company’s equity.

Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)

The EV/EBITDA ratio is reported at 11.5, calculated using an enterprise value of $4.8 billion and EBITDA of $417 million. This ratio aids in assessing the company's overall valuation compared to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.

Stock Price Trends

Over the last 12 months, Trinity Industries' stock price has seen the following trends:

  • 12-month high: $36.50
  • 12-month low: $24.75
  • Current stock price (as of September 30, 2024): $32.10

Dividend Yield and Payout Ratios

The dividend yield is currently 0.87%, with an annual dividend of $0.28 per share. The payout ratio stands at 20.9%, indicating a conservative approach to returning value to shareholders while retaining sufficient earnings for growth.

Analyst Consensus on Stock Valuation

Analyst consensus indicates a majority recommendation of Hold with the following breakdown:

  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 12
  • Sell: 2
Metric Value
P/E Ratio 22.3
P/B Ratio 2.1
EV/EBITDA 11.5
12-Month High Stock Price $36.50
12-Month Low Stock Price $24.75
Current Stock Price $32.10
Dividend Yield 0.87%
Annual Dividend $0.28
Payout Ratio 20.9%
Analyst Consensus (Buy/Hold/Sell) 5 / 12 / 2



Key Risks Facing Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN)

Key Risks Facing Trinity Industries, Inc.

Trinity Industries, Inc. faces a range of internal and external risks that could significantly impact its financial health. Below are some of the key risk factors identified:

Industry Competition

In the railcar manufacturing and leasing industry, competition remains intense. The company competes with several well-established players, which can lead to price wars and pressure on margins. The total revenue for the Rail Products Group decreased by 3.3% to $509.6 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024, compared to the same period in the prior year.

Regulatory Changes

Changes in regulations concerning safety, environmental standards, and labor laws could impose additional costs or operational limitations. Compliance with these regulations may require significant investments. As of September 30, 2024, the effective tax rate was 27.7% for the three months ended September 30, 2024.

Market Conditions

The company's performance is closely tied to economic conditions that affect demand for rail transportation. The total value of the new railcar backlog decreased from $3.6 billion in September 2023 to $2.4 billion in September 2024. Fluctuations in market demand can lead to volatility in revenue and profitability.

Operational Risks

Operational risks include supply chain disruptions, labor shortages, and increases in input costs. The cost of revenues for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was $629.3 million, a decrease of 7.4% compared to the previous year. However, maintaining operational efficiency remains a challenge, particularly in light of fluctuating material costs such as steel.

Financial Risks

Financial risks include interest rate fluctuations and the company's debt obligations. As of September 30, 2024, the company reported interest expense, net of $67.4 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024. The company has a revolving credit facility with total borrowings of $190 million, which is subject to interest rate changes that can affect profitability.

Strategic Risks

Strategic risks arise from management decisions and the company's ability to adapt to changing market conditions. The company’s investment in fleet expansion is crucial, with a net fleet investment of approximately $86.5 million reported for the nine months ended September 30, 2024. Strategic missteps could lead to underperformance relative to competitors.

Mitigation Strategies

The company employs various strategies to mitigate these risks, including:

  • Cost Control Measures: Implementing operational efficiencies to manage input costs and improve margins.
  • Diverse Financing Options: Utilizing a mix of debt and equity financing to support growth while managing financial leverage.
  • Regulatory Compliance Programs: Investing in compliance to ensure adherence to new regulations and reduce potential liabilities.
Risk Factor Description Financial Impact
Industry Competition Intense competition leading to pricing pressure Revenue decrease of 3.3% to $509.6 million
Regulatory Changes Compliance with evolving regulations Effective tax rate at 27.7%
Market Conditions Economic downturns affecting demand New railcar backlog decreased to $2.4 billion
Operational Risks Supply chain disruptions and labor shortages Cost of revenues at $629.3 million
Financial Risks Interest rate fluctuations affecting debt costs Interest expense of $67.4 million
Strategic Risks Management decisions impacting performance Net fleet investment of $86.5 million



Future Growth Prospects for Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN)

Future Growth Prospects for Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN)

Key Growth Drivers

  • Product Innovations: The company has invested significantly in sustainable railcar conversions, generating revenues of $12.8 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024, and $77.4 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024.
  • Market Expansions: The total value of the new railcar backlog was $2.4 billion as of September 30, 2024, down from $3.6 billion in the previous year.
  • Acquisitions: During the nine months ended September 30, 2023, the company acquired a logistics software provider for $66.6 million. No acquisitions were made in 2024.

Future Revenue Growth Projections

For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the company reported revenues of $2,449.8 million, a year-over-year increase of 12.1%. The operating profit for the same period was $379.5 million, up from $268.3 million in the previous year.

Earnings Estimates: Basic earnings per common share for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, were $1.34, compared to $0.53 for the same period in 2023.

Strategic Initiatives or Partnerships

The company has entered into a new warehouse loan facility with a total commitment amount of $800.0 million, expected to enhance liquidity for future investments. Additionally, the leasing group’s railcar fleet utilization was at 96.6% as of September 30, 2024.

Competitive Advantages

Trinity Industries benefits from a diversified revenue stream through its Railcar Leasing and Services Group, which generated an operating profit of $343.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024. The company's strong balance sheet shows total available liquidity of $924.2 million as of September 30, 2024.

Metric 2023 2024 Change (%)
Revenue $2,185.4 million $2,449.8 million 12.1%
Operating Profit $268.3 million $379.5 million 41.4%
Basic Earnings per Share $0.53 $1.34 153.0%
New Railcar Backlog $3.6 billion $2.4 billion -34.3%

With a robust strategy focusing on product innovation, market expansion, and operational efficiencies, the company is positioned to capitalize on future growth opportunities in the railcar leasing and manufacturing sectors.

DCF model

Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) DCF Excel Template

    5-Year Financial Model

    40+ Charts & Metrics

    DCF & Multiple Valuation

    Free Email Support

Article updated on 8 Nov 2024

Resources:

  • Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) Financial Statements – Access the full quarterly financial statements for Q3 2024 to get an in-depth view of Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN)' financial performance, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • SEC Filings – View Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN)' latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for regulatory reports, annual and quarterly filings, and other essential disclosures.