First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) DCF Valuation
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- ✓ Aucune Expertise N'Est Requise; Facile À Suivre
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) Bundle
Streamline First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) valuation with our flexible DCF Calculator! Utilizing actual First Watch financials and modifiable forecast inputs, you can explore various scenarios and determine First Watch's fair value in just minutes.
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)
Year | AY1 2019 |
AY2 2020 |
AY3 2021 |
AY4 2022 |
AY5 2023 |
FY1 2024 |
FY2 2025 |
FY3 2026 |
FY4 2027 |
FY5 2028 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 436.4 | 342.4 | 601.2 | 730.2 | 891.6 | 1,109.1 | 1,379.7 | 1,716.4 | 2,135.2 | 2,656.3 |
Revenue Growth, % | 0 | -21.54 | 75.59 | 21.45 | 22.1 | 24.4 | 24.4 | 24.4 | 24.4 | 24.4 |
EBITDA | 1.0 | -4.3 | 59.7 | 54.7 | 85.4 | 57.6 | 71.7 | 89.2 | 110.9 | 138.0 |
EBITDA, % | 0.22641 | -1.25 | 9.93 | 7.5 | 9.57 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 |
Depreciation | 38.8 | 42.5 | 45.4 | 50.4 | 41.2 | 89.5 | 111.4 | 138.6 | 172.4 | 214.4 |
Depreciation, % | 8.89 | 12.4 | 7.56 | 6.9 | 4.62 | 8.07 | 8.07 | 8.07 | 8.07 | 8.07 |
EBIT | -37.8 | -46.7 | 14.3 | 4.4 | 44.1 | -31.9 | -39.7 | -49.4 | -61.5 | -76.4 |
EBIT, % | -8.66 | -13.65 | 2.38 | 0.59973 | 4.95 | -2.88 | -2.88 | -2.88 | -2.88 | -2.88 |
Total Cash | 11.1 | 38.8 | 51.9 | 49.7 | 49.6 | 77.4 | 96.3 | 119.8 | 149.0 | 185.4 |
Total Cash, percent | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 |
Account Receivables | 5.7 | 3.9 | 4.5 | 6.2 | 5.5 | 10.3 | 12.9 | 16.0 | 19.9 | 24.8 |
Account Receivables, % | 1.32 | 1.14 | 0.74019 | 0.8442 | 0.62049 | 0.93279 | 0.93279 | 0.93279 | 0.93279 | 0.93279 |
Inventories | 2.7 | 2.9 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 5.4 | 7.6 | 9.5 | 11.8 | 14.7 | 18.2 |
Inventories, % | 0.62126 | 0.85137 | 0.66917 | 0.68861 | 0.60355 | 0.68679 | 0.68679 | 0.68679 | 0.68679 | 0.68679 |
Accounts Payable | 5.1 | 4.2 | 11.1 | 7.6 | 6.3 | 13.3 | 16.5 | 20.6 | 25.6 | 31.8 |
Accounts Payable, % | 1.17 | 1.23 | 1.84 | 1.04 | 0.70933 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Capital Expenditure | -59.2 | -27.0 | -35.7 | -63.3 | -84.5 | -101.0 | -125.6 | -156.3 | -194.4 | -241.9 |
Capital Expenditure, % | -13.56 | -7.88 | -5.94 | -8.67 | -9.48 | -9.11 | -9.11 | -9.11 | -9.11 | -9.11 |
Tax Rate, % | 29.63 | 29.63 | 29.63 | 29.63 | 29.63 | 29.63 | 29.63 | 29.63 | 29.63 | 29.63 |
EBITAT | -29.7 | -33.4 | -81.3 | 2.4 | 31.1 | -17.6 | -21.9 | -27.2 | -33.8 | -42.1 |
Depreciation | ||||||||||
Changes in Account Receivables | ||||||||||
Changes in Inventories | ||||||||||
Changes in Accounts Payable | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | ||||||||||
UFCF | -53.4 | -17.2 | -66.4 | -16.8 | -13.2 | -29.1 | -37.2 | -46.3 | -57.6 | -71.7 |
WACC, % | 6.74 | 6.63 | 5.53 | 6.37 | 6.61 | 6.37 | 6.37 | 6.37 | 6.37 | 6.37 |
PV UFCF | ||||||||||
SUM PV UFCF | -196.4 | |||||||||
Long Term Growth Rate, % | 2.00 | |||||||||
Free cash flow (T + 1) | -73 | |||||||||
Terminal Value | -1,671 | |||||||||
Present Terminal Value | -1,227 | |||||||||
Enterprise Value | -1,424 | |||||||||
Net Debt | 557 | |||||||||
Equity Value | -1,981 | |||||||||
Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM | 61 | |||||||||
Equity Value Per Share | -32.37 |
What You Will Get
- Real First Watch Data: Preloaded financials – from revenue to EBIT – based on actual and projected figures for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG).
- Full Customization: Adjust all critical parameters (yellow cells) like WACC, growth %, and tax rates to fit your analysis.
- Instant Valuation Updates: Automatic recalculations to assess the impact of changes on First Watch's fair value.
- Versatile Excel Template: Designed for quick edits, scenario testing, and comprehensive projections specific to First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG).
- Time-Saving and Accurate: Avoid the hassle of building models from scratch while ensuring accuracy and flexibility.
Key Features
- Real-Life FWRG Data: Pre-filled with First Watch Restaurant Group's historical financials and future projections.
- Fully Customizable Inputs: Modify revenue growth, profit margins, WACC, tax rates, and capital expenditures.
- Dynamic Valuation Model: Automatic updates to Net Present Value (NPV) and intrinsic value based on your adjustments.
- Scenario Testing: Generate multiple forecasting scenarios to evaluate various valuation outcomes.
- User-Friendly Design: Intuitive, organized, and tailored for both professionals and newcomers.
How It Works
- Step 1: Download the Excel file.
- Step 2: Review pre-entered First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) data (historical and projected).
- Step 3: Adjust key assumptions (yellow cells) based on your analysis.
- Step 4: View automatic recalculations for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) intrinsic value.
- Step 5: Use the outputs for investment decisions or reporting.
Why Choose This Calculator for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG)?
- Designed for Industry Experts: A sophisticated tool tailored for restaurant analysts, financial officers, and industry consultants.
- Comprehensive Data: First Watch’s historical and projected financials preloaded for enhanced accuracy.
- Flexible Scenario Analysis: Effortlessly simulate various forecasts and assumptions.
- Insightful Outputs: Automatically calculates intrinsic value, net present value (NPV), and essential metrics.
- User-Friendly Interface: Step-by-step guidance ensures a smooth experience throughout the process.
Who Should Use This Product?
- Restaurant Management Students: Understand operational strategies and analyze performance metrics using real data.
- Academics: Integrate industry-specific models into your curriculum or research projects.
- Investors: Evaluate your investment hypotheses and assess financial outcomes for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG).
- Market Analysts: Enhance your analysis with a customizable financial model tailored for the restaurant industry.
- Entrepreneurs: Discover how established companies like First Watch are evaluated and the factors influencing their success.
What the Template Contains
- Pre-Filled DCF Model: First Watch Restaurant Group’s (FWRG) financial data preloaded for immediate use.
- WACC Calculator: Detailed calculations for Weighted Average Cost of Capital tailored to (FWRG).
- Financial Ratios: Assess First Watch's (FWRG) profitability, leverage, and efficiency metrics.
- Editable Inputs: Modify assumptions such as growth, margins, and CAPEX to align with your scenarios.
- Financial Statements: Annual and quarterly reports for comprehensive analysis of (FWRG).
- Interactive Dashboard: Effortlessly visualize key valuation metrics and results for (FWRG).