Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) DCF Valuation
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Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) Bundle
Evaluate Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) financial outlook with professional precision! This (AAP) DCF Calculator provides you with pre-filled financial data and full flexibility to modify revenue growth, WACC, margins, and other essential assumptions to align with your projections.
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)
| Year | AY1 2019 |
AY2 2020 |
AY3 2021 |
AY4 2022 |
AY5 2023 |
FY1 2024 |
FY2 2025 |
FY3 2026 |
FY4 2027 |
FY5 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 9,709.0 | 10,106.3 | 10,998.0 | 11,154.7 | 11,287.6 | 11,725.9 | 12,181.2 | 12,654.2 | 13,145.5 | 13,655.9 |
| Revenue Growth, % | 0 | 4.09 | 8.82 | 1.43 | 1.19 | 3.88 | 3.88 | 3.88 | 3.88 | 3.88 |
| EBITDA | 916.0 | 948.0 | 1,103.6 | 939.2 | 426.4 | 962.6 | 1,000.0 | 1,038.8 | 1,079.2 | 1,121.1 |
| EBITDA, % | 9.43 | 9.38 | 10.04 | 8.42 | 3.78 | 8.21 | 8.21 | 8.21 | 8.21 | 8.21 |
| Depreciation | 238.4 | 250.1 | 259.9 | 283.8 | 306.5 | 294.4 | 305.8 | 317.7 | 330.0 | 342.8 |
| Depreciation, % | 2.46 | 2.47 | 2.36 | 2.54 | 2.71 | 2.51 | 2.51 | 2.51 | 2.51 | 2.51 |
| EBIT | 677.6 | 697.9 | 843.7 | 655.4 | 119.9 | 668.3 | 694.2 | 721.2 | 749.2 | 778.2 |
| EBIT, % | 6.98 | 6.91 | 7.67 | 5.88 | 1.06 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 |
| Total Cash | 418.7 | 835.0 | 601.4 | 270.8 | 503.5 | 584.7 | 607.4 | 631.0 | 655.5 | 680.9 |
| Total Cash, percent | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 |
| Account Receivables | 689.5 | 750.0 | 782.8 | 684.0 | 800.1 | 817.6 | 849.3 | 882.3 | 916.5 | 952.1 |
| Account Receivables, % | 7.1 | 7.42 | 7.12 | 6.13 | 7.09 | 6.97 | 6.97 | 6.97 | 6.97 | 6.97 |
| Inventories | 4,432.2 | 4,538.2 | 4,659.0 | 4,896.3 | 4,857.7 | 5,155.8 | 5,356.0 | 5,564.0 | 5,780.0 | 6,004.4 |
| Inventories, % | 45.65 | 44.9 | 42.36 | 43.89 | 43.04 | 43.97 | 43.97 | 43.97 | 43.97 | 43.97 |
| Accounts Payable | 3,422.0 | 3,640.6 | 3,922.0 | 4,178.9 | 4,178.0 | 4,254.3 | 4,419.5 | 4,591.1 | 4,769.4 | 4,954.6 |
| Accounts Payable, % | 35.25 | 36.02 | 35.66 | 37.46 | 37.01 | 36.28 | 36.28 | 36.28 | 36.28 | 36.28 |
| Capital Expenditure | -471.6 | -267.8 | -289.6 | -426.0 | -242.4 | -377.8 | -392.4 | -407.7 | -423.5 | -439.9 |
| Capital Expenditure, % | -4.86 | -2.65 | -2.63 | -3.82 | -2.15 | -3.22 | -3.22 | -3.22 | -3.22 | -3.22 |
| Tax Rate, % | 6.63 | 6.63 | 6.63 | 6.63 | 6.63 | 6.63 | 6.63 | 6.63 | 6.63 | 6.63 |
| EBITAT | 517.4 | 528.5 | 624.6 | 469.2 | 112.0 | 522.7 | 543.0 | 564.0 | 585.9 | 608.7 |
| Depreciation | ||||||||||
| Changes in Account Receivables | ||||||||||
| Changes in Inventories | ||||||||||
| Changes in Accounts Payable | ||||||||||
| Capital Expenditure | ||||||||||
| UFCF | -1,415.6 | 562.9 | 722.6 | 445.4 | 97.5 | 200.1 | 389.6 | 404.7 | 420.4 | 436.8 |
| WACC, % | 6.05 | 6.03 | 5.99 | 5.92 | 6.5 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 6.1 |
| PV UFCF | ||||||||||
| SUM PV UFCF | 1,530.3 | |||||||||
| Long Term Growth Rate, % | 0.50 | |||||||||
| Free cash flow (T + 1) | 439 | |||||||||
| Terminal Value | 7,842 | |||||||||
| Present Terminal Value | 5,833 | |||||||||
| Enterprise Value | 7,363 | |||||||||
| Net Debt | 3,499 | |||||||||
| Equity Value | 3,864 | |||||||||
| Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM | 60 | |||||||||
| Equity Value Per Share | 64.83 |
What You Will Get
- Editable Excel Template: A fully customizable Excel-based DCF Calculator featuring pre-filled real AAP financials.
- Real-World Data: Access to historical data and forward-looking estimates (highlighted in the yellow cells).
- Forecast Flexibility: Adjust forecast assumptions such as revenue growth, EBITDA %, and WACC.
- Automatic Calculations: Instantly observe the effects of your inputs on Advance Auto Parts' valuation.
- Professional Tool: Designed for investors, CFOs, consultants, and financial analysts.
- User-Friendly Design: Organized for clarity and ease of use, complete with step-by-step instructions.
Key Features
- Comprehensive Financial Data: Gain access to precise pre-loaded historical performance and future estimates for Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP).
- Adjustable Forecast Inputs: Modify highlighted cells for key metrics such as WACC, growth rates, and profit margins.
- Real-Time Calculations: Instant updates for DCF, Net Present Value (NPV), and cash flow evaluations.
- User-Friendly Dashboard: Clear charts and summaries to help visualize your valuation outcomes.
- Designed for All Skill Levels: An intuitive layout tailored for investors, CFOs, and consultants alike.
How It Works
- Step 1: Download the Excel file.
- Step 2: Review pre-entered Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) data (historical and projected).
- Step 3: Adjust key assumptions (yellow cells) based on your analysis.
- Step 4: View automatic recalculations for Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP)'s intrinsic value.
- Step 5: Use the outputs for investment decisions or reporting.
Why Choose Advance Auto Parts (AAP)?
- Convenient Access: Quickly find the parts you need without hassle – everything is organized for you.
- Quality Assurance: High-quality automotive parts ensure reliability and performance in your vehicle.
- Wide Selection: Extensive inventory allows you to find exactly what you’re looking for.
- User-Friendly Experience: Intuitive website and app make shopping easy and efficient.
- Backed by Expertise: Knowledgeable staff and resources help you make informed decisions.
Who Should Use This Product?
- Individual Investors: Make informed decisions about buying or selling Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) stock.
- Financial Analysts: Streamline valuation processes with ready-to-use financial models specific to the automotive retail sector.
- Consultants: Deliver professional valuation insights on Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) to clients quickly and accurately.
- Business Owners: Understand how companies like Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) are valued to inform your own business strategy.
- Finance Students: Learn valuation techniques using real-world data and scenarios related to the automotive industry.
What the Template Contains
- Operating and Balance Sheet Data: Pre-filled Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) historical data and forecasts, including revenue, EBITDA, EBIT, and capital expenditures.
- WACC Calculation: A dedicated sheet for Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC), including parameters like Beta, risk-free rate, and share price.
- DCF Valuation (Unlevered and Levered): Editable Discounted Cash Flow models showing intrinsic value with detailed calculations.
- Financial Statements: Pre-loaded financial statements (annual and quarterly) to support analysis.
- Key Ratios: Includes profitability, leverage, and efficiency ratios for Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP).
- Dashboard and Charts: Visual summary of valuation outputs and assumptions to analyze results easily.