Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) DCF Valuation
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Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) Bundle
Enhance your investment strategies with the (UGP) DCF Calculator! Utilize real Ultrapar Participações S.A. financial data, adjust growth predictions and expenses, and instantly observe how modifications affect the intrinsic value of (UGP).
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)
| Year | AY1 2019 |
AY2 2020 |
AY3 2021 |
AY4 2022 |
AY5 2023 |
FY1 2024 |
FY2 2025 |
FY3 2026 |
FY4 2027 |
FY5 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 14,411.3 | 13,111.0 | 17,709.1 | 23,180.3 | 20,342.2 | 22,615.5 | 25,142.7 | 27,952.4 | 31,076.0 | 34,548.7 |
| Revenue Growth, % | 0 | -9.02 | 35.07 | 30.89 | -12.24 | 11.17 | 11.17 | 11.17 | 11.17 | 11.17 |
| EBITDA | 474.9 | 492.6 | 446.4 | 723.2 | 827.1 | 758.0 | 842.7 | 936.9 | 1,041.6 | 1,158.0 |
| EBITDA, % | 3.3 | 3.76 | 2.52 | 3.12 | 4.07 | 3.35 | 3.35 | 3.35 | 3.35 | 3.35 |
| Depreciation | 184.7 | 207.9 | 147.5 | 164.7 | 186.4 | 241.0 | 267.9 | 297.8 | 331.1 | 368.1 |
| Depreciation, % | 1.28 | 1.59 | 0.83278 | 0.71059 | 0.91615 | 1.07 | 1.07 | 1.07 | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| EBIT | 290.2 | 284.7 | 298.9 | 558.5 | 640.7 | 517.1 | 574.8 | 639.1 | 710.5 | 789.9 |
| EBIT, % | 2.01 | 2.17 | 1.69 | 2.41 | 3.15 | 2.29 | 2.29 | 2.29 | 2.29 | 2.29 |
| Total Cash | 840.1 | 1,241.8 | 659.1 | 991.2 | 1,003.6 | 1,277.0 | 1,419.7 | 1,578.3 | 1,754.7 | 1,950.8 |
| Total Cash, percent | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 |
| Account Receivables | 972.4 | 938.6 | 955.8 | 1,193.1 | 863.6 | 1,297.9 | 1,443.0 | 1,604.2 | 1,783.5 | 1,982.8 |
| Account Receivables, % | 6.75 | 7.16 | 5.4 | 5.15 | 4.25 | 5.74 | 5.74 | 5.74 | 5.74 | 5.74 |
| Inventories | 599.6 | 620.7 | 632.4 | 791.8 | 692.6 | 872.4 | 969.8 | 1,078.2 | 1,198.7 | 1,332.7 |
| Inventories, % | 4.16 | 4.73 | 3.57 | 3.42 | 3.4 | 3.86 | 3.86 | 3.86 | 3.86 | 3.86 |
| Accounts Payable | 435.7 | 652.1 | 934.4 | 1,190.7 | 923.4 | 1,038.0 | 1,154.0 | 1,283.0 | 1,426.4 | 1,585.8 |
| Accounts Payable, % | 3.02 | 4.97 | 5.28 | 5.14 | 4.54 | 4.59 | 4.59 | 4.59 | 4.59 | 4.59 |
| Capital Expenditure | -200.1 | -185.7 | -206.7 | -196.7 | -211.1 | -265.0 | -294.6 | -327.5 | -364.1 | -404.8 |
| Capital Expenditure, % | -1.39 | -1.42 | -1.17 | -0.84865 | -1.04 | -1.17 | -1.17 | -1.17 | -1.17 | -1.17 |
| Tax Rate, % | 31.82 | 31.82 | 31.82 | 31.82 | 31.82 | 31.82 | 31.82 | 31.82 | 31.82 | 31.82 |
| EBITAT | 138.7 | 169.7 | 252.5 | 535.1 | 436.8 | 368.0 | 409.1 | 454.8 | 505.7 | 562.2 |
| Depreciation | ||||||||||
| Changes in Account Receivables | ||||||||||
| Changes in Inventories | ||||||||||
| Changes in Accounts Payable | ||||||||||
| Capital Expenditure | ||||||||||
| UFCF | -1,013.0 | 420.9 | 446.7 | 362.7 | 573.6 | -155.6 | 255.9 | 284.5 | 316.3 | 351.6 |
| WACC, % | 7.73 | 8.35 | 9.65 | 10.24 | 8.8 | 8.95 | 8.95 | 8.95 | 8.95 | 8.95 |
| PV UFCF | ||||||||||
| SUM PV UFCF | 746.1 | |||||||||
| Long Term Growth Rate, % | 2.00 | |||||||||
| Free cash flow (T + 1) | 359 | |||||||||
| Terminal Value | 5,158 | |||||||||
| Present Terminal Value | 3,360 | |||||||||
| Enterprise Value | 4,106 | |||||||||
| Net Debt | 1,189 | |||||||||
| Equity Value | 2,917 | |||||||||
| Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM | 1,105 | |||||||||
| Equity Value Per Share | 2.64 |
What You Will Get
- Editable Forecast Inputs: Effortlessly modify assumptions (growth %, margins, WACC) to develop various scenarios.
- Real-World Data: Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP)’s financial data pre-loaded to accelerate your analysis.
- Automatic DCF Outputs: The template computes Net Present Value (NPV) and intrinsic value automatically.
- Customizable and Professional: A refined Excel model that adjusts to your valuation requirements.
- Built for Analysts and Investors: Perfect for evaluating projections, confirming strategies, and increasing efficiency.
Key Features
- Comprehensive DCF Calculator: Offers both unlevered and levered DCF valuation models tailored for Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP).
- WACC Calculator: Features a pre-configured Weighted Average Cost of Capital sheet with adjustable parameters.
- Customizable Forecast Assumptions: Adjust growth rates, capital expenditures, and discount rates to fit your analysis.
- Integrated Financial Ratios: Evaluate profitability, leverage, and efficiency ratios specifically for Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP).
- Interactive Dashboard and Charts: Visual representations highlight essential valuation metrics for straightforward analysis.
How It Works
- Step 1: Download the prebuilt Excel template with Ultrapar Participações S.A.'s (UGP) data included.
- Step 2: Explore the pre-filled sheets and familiarize yourself with the key metrics.
- Step 3: Update forecasts and assumptions in the editable yellow cells (WACC, growth, margins).
- Step 4: Instantly view recalculated results, including Ultrapar Participações S.A.'s (UGP) intrinsic value.
- Step 5: Make informed investment decisions or generate reports using the outputs.
Why Choose This Calculator for Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP)?
- Accurate Data: Utilize real Ultrapar financials for dependable valuation outcomes.
- Customizable: Tailor essential parameters such as growth rates, WACC, and tax rates to fit your forecasts.
- Time-Saving: Pre-configured calculations save you from starting from the ground up.
- Professional-Grade Tool: Crafted for investors, analysts, and consultants focusing on Ultrapar.
- User-Friendly: Easy-to-navigate design and clear instructions make it accessible for all users.
Who Should Use This Product?
- Investors: Evaluate Ultrapar’s valuation before making investment decisions.
- CFOs and Financial Analysts: Optimize valuation methodologies and validate financial forecasts.
- Startup Founders: Discover how established companies like Ultrapar are assessed in the market.
- Consultants: Provide clients with detailed and accurate valuation analyses.
- Students and Educators: Utilize real market data to enhance learning and understanding of valuation practices.
What the Template Contains
- Comprehensive DCF Model: Editable template featuring detailed valuation calculations tailored for Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP).
- Real-World Data: Ultrapar’s historical and projected financials preloaded for in-depth analysis.
- Customizable Parameters: Modify WACC, growth rates, and tax assumptions to evaluate different scenarios.
- Financial Statements: Complete annual and quarterly breakdowns for enhanced insights into performance.
- Key Ratios: Integrated analysis for profitability, efficiency, and leverage metrics.
- Dashboard with Visual Outputs: Interactive charts and tables for clear, actionable results.