Breaking Down ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (CNOB) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

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Understanding ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (CNOB) Revenue Streams

Understanding ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.’s Revenue Streams

ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. generates revenue primarily from net interest income and non-interest income. The following sections provide a detailed analysis of these revenue sources.

Breakdown of Primary Revenue Sources

  • Net Interest Income: For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, net interest income was $186.1 million, a decrease of $10.7 million or 5.4% compared to the same period in 2023.
  • Non-Interest Income: Non-interest income for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, increased by $3.2 million to $30.3 million.

Year-over-Year Revenue Growth Rate

The year-over-year revenue growth rate reflects a decline in net interest income but an increase in non-interest income:

  • Net Interest Income Growth Rate: -5.4% from 2023 to 2024.
  • Non-Interest Income Growth Rate: 11.8% increase from 2023 to 2024.

Contribution of Different Business Segments to Overall Revenue

Revenue Source 2024 Revenue (in millions) 2023 Revenue (in millions) Contribution Change (%)
Net Interest Income $186.1 $196.8 -5.4%
Non-Interest Income $30.3 $27.1 11.8%
Total Revenue $216.4 $223.9 -3.5%

Analysis of Significant Changes in Revenue Streams

Significant changes in revenue streams for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, include:

  • The decrease in net interest income was primarily due to a $10.6 million reduction in net interest income margin, which was 2.67%, down from 2.85% in 2023.
  • Non-interest income growth was driven by increased fees from services and a rise in mortgage banking income, reflecting a strategic shift towards diversifying revenue sources.



A Deep Dive into ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (CNOB) Profitability

Profitability Metrics

Gross Profit Margin: For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the gross profit margin was calculated based on a net interest income of $182.6 million and total interest-earning assets averaging $9.206 billion, resulting in a gross profit margin of 1.98% compared to 2.12% in the same period in 2023.

Operating Profit Margin: The operating profit margin for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was 23.1% with net income available to common stockholders at $15.7 million from total operating income of $67.9 million. This represents a decline from 27.2% during the same quarter in 2023.

Net Profit Margin: The net profit margin for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was 15.3%, reflecting a net income of $48.9 million against total revenue of $319.7 million, compared to 16.5% for the same period in 2023.

Trends in Profitability Over Time

Net income available to common stockholders decreased from $63.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, to $48.9 million for the same period in 2024, indicating a year-over-year decline of 22.7%.

For the three months ended September 30, 2024, net income was $15.7 million, down from $19.9 million in the same quarter of 2023, marking a decrease of 21.4%.

Comparison of Profitability Ratios with Industry Averages

The net interest margin for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was 2.67%, compared to the industry average of 3.10%. The operating profit margin of 23.1% is also below the industry average of 25.5%.

Analysis of Operational Efficiency

Noninterest expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, totaled $113.3 million, up from $106.1 million in the same period of 2023, reflecting an increase of 6.8%. The increase in noninterest expenses was attributed to a $7.2 million rise in costs associated with salaries and benefits, as well as merger-related expenses of $0.7 million.

Gross margin trends indicate a decrease in net interest income, which fell by $10.7 million or 5.4% for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, primarily due to increased costs of deposits.

Metric Q3 2024 Q3 2023 9M 2024 9M 2023
Net Income ($M) $15.7 $19.9 $48.9 $63.2
Gross Profit Margin (%) 1.98% 2.12% 1.98% 2.12%
Operating Profit Margin (%) 23.1% 27.2% 23.1% 27.2%
Net Profit Margin (%) 15.3% N/A 15.3% 16.5%
Net Interest Margin (%) 2.67% 2.76% 2.67% 2.85%
Noninterest Expenses ($M) $38.6 $35.8 $113.3 $106.1



Debt vs. Equity: How ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (CNOB) Finances Its Growth

Debt vs. Equity: How ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. Finances Its Growth

Debt Levels

As of September 30, 2024, the company reported total debt of $742.1 million, comprised of $614.6 million in short-term borrowings and $127.5 million in long-term debt. The breakdown of the debt levels is as follows:

Debt Type Amount (in thousands)
Short-term borrowings $614,587
Long-term debt $127,548
Total Debt $742,135

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.60, calculated by dividing total debt of $742.1 million by total equity of $1.2 billion. This ratio is lower than the industry average of approximately 0.75, indicating a conservative approach to leveraging.

Recent Debt Issuances and Credit Ratings

In June 2020, the company issued $75 million in fixed-to-floating rate subordinated notes with an initial interest rate of 5.75%. The interest rate will reset quarterly starting September 15, 2025. As of September 30, 2024, the company's credit rating remained stable, reflecting solid financial management and a robust capital structure.

Balancing Debt Financing and Equity Funding

The company employs a balanced approach to financing, utilizing both debt and equity to support growth initiatives. As of September 30, 2024, equity stood at $1.2 billion, with retained earnings increasing by $29 million over the previous year. The tangible common equity ratio is 9.71%, indicating a strong foundation of equity relative to total assets of $9.6 billion.

Financial Metric Value
Total Debt $742,135
Total Equity $1,239,496
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.60
Tangible Common Equity Ratio 9.71%
Total Assets $9,639,603
Retained Earnings Growth $29,000



Assessing ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (CNOB) Liquidity

Assessing ConnectOne Bancorp's Liquidity

Current Ratio: As of September 30, 2024, the current ratio stands at 1.07, indicating that current assets cover current liabilities sufficiently.

Quick Ratio: The quick ratio is reported at 0.98, suggesting that the company can meet its short-term obligations without relying on inventory.

Analysis of Working Capital Trends

Working capital as of September 30, 2024, is approximately $202.5 million, reflecting an increase from $150.3 million as of December 31, 2023. This growth indicates improved liquidity management and operational efficiency.

Cash Flow Statements Overview

Cash Flow Category 2024 (in thousands) 2023 (in thousands)
Operating Activities $28,461 $64,561
Investing Activities $211,717 ($82,847)
Financing Activities ($235,600) ($82,847)

Net cash provided by operating activities decreased to $28.5 million in 2024 from $64.6 million in 2023. In contrast, investing activities provided $211.7 million in cash, primarily due to a decrease in loans.

Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths

As of September 30, 2024, liquid assets totaled $705.9 million, representing 7.3% of total assets. This is an increase from $516.3 million or 5.2% of total assets as of December 31, 2023. The company’s liquidity position is further supported by unutilized borrowing capacity of $2.9 billion.

However, the decrease in cash and cash equivalents from $242.7 million at the end of 2023 to $247.2 million as of September 30, 2024, may raise concerns about cash flow stability. The reliance on external funding sources, including $742.1 million in FHLB borrowings, highlights the need for ongoing monitoring of liquidity risks.




Is ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (CNOB) Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Analysis

The valuation of a company is critical for investors to determine whether it is overvalued or undervalued. This analysis will focus on key financial ratios and metrics pertinent to the company.

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio

The current P/E ratio stands at 18.84 based on earnings per share (EPS) of $1.27 for the nine months ended September 30, 2024. This is a decrease from a P/E ratio of 22.54 based on an EPS of $1.61 for the same period in 2023.

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio

The P/B ratio is currently 1.25, calculated from a book value per share of $29.41. This reflects a slight increase from 1.12 last year, indicating an improvement in the company's valuation relative to its equity.

Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) Ratio

The EV/EBITDA ratio is approximately 10.5 based on an enterprise value of $1.5 billion and EBITDA of $142 million. This figure suggests that the stock may be fairly valued in the context of its operational earnings.

Stock Price Trends

Over the past 12 months, the stock price has seen a fluctuation from a high of $30.00 to a low of $20.00. As of the latest close, the stock is trading at $23.97, reflecting a -20% change year-to-date.

Dividend Yield and Payout Ratios

The company currently has a dividend yield of 0.75%, with an annual dividend payout of $0.18 per share. The payout ratio is approximately 14.2%, indicating a sustainable dividend policy relative to earnings.

Analyst Consensus on Stock Valuation

Analyst consensus reflects a hold rating, with a target price of $25.00 as of September 2024. This indicates that analysts believe the stock is fairly valued at its current price.

Metric Value
P/E Ratio 18.84
P/B Ratio 1.25
EV/EBITDA Ratio 10.5
Stock Price (Current) $23.97
52-Week High $30.00
52-Week Low $20.00
Dividend Yield 0.75%
Dividend Payout Ratio 14.2%
Analyst Rating Hold
Target Price $25.00



Key Risks Facing ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (CNOB)

Key Risks Facing ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.

Overview of Internal and External Risks

ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. faces several internal and external risks that could impact its financial health. Key internal risks include operational inefficiencies and the potential for increased credit losses. External risks primarily stem from industry competition, regulatory changes, and fluctuating market conditions.

Industry Competition

The banking sector is highly competitive, with numerous financial institutions vying for market share. As of September 30, 2024, the company reported total deposits of $7.52 billion, which reflects a slight decrease of $12.1 million, or 0.2%, compared to the previous quarter. This decline in deposits may indicate a loss of market share to competitors offering higher interest rates.

Regulatory Changes

Changes in banking regulations can impose new compliance costs and operational adjustments. As of September 30, 2024, the company had approximately $1.1 billion in remaining borrowing capacity at the Federal Home Loan Bank, which may be affected by regulatory changes.

Market Conditions

Market volatility can significantly impact the financial performance of banks. Fluctuations in interest rates affect net interest income. The company reported a net interest margin of 2.67% for the three months ended September 30, 2024, down from 2.76% for the same period in 2023.

Operational, Financial, and Strategic Risks

Operational Risks

Operational risks include the potential for system failures or breaches that could disrupt banking operations. The company incurred $0.7 million in merger-related expenses during the nine months ended September 30, 2024. These expenses may strain operational resources and distract from core banking activities.

Financial Risks

Financial risks include credit losses and interest rate risk. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the provision for credit losses increased by $4.8 million to $10.3 million. This increase indicates a growing concern over the quality of the loan portfolio, which amounted to $8.12 billion as of the same date.

Strategic Risks

Strategic risks arise from the company's decision-making processes and future growth strategies. The company’s tangible common equity ratio improved to 9.71% as of September 30, 2024, compared to 9.25% the previous year. While this improvement suggests a stronger capital position, it also reflects the challenges in effectively deploying capital for growth amidst competitive pressures.

Mitigation Strategies

The company employs various strategies to mitigate identified risks:

  • Enhanced Credit Monitoring: The company closely monitors its loan portfolio, which totaled $8.12 billion as of September 30, 2024, to identify potential credit risks early.
  • Operational Improvements: Investments in technology and staff training aim to reduce operational risks and increase efficiency.
  • Regulatory Compliance Programs: Ongoing assessments and updates to compliance programs help navigate regulatory changes effectively.

Financial Data Summary

Financial Metric Value as of September 30, 2024
Total Deposits $7.52 billion
Net Interest Margin 2.67%
Provision for Credit Losses $10.3 million
Loan Portfolio $8.12 billion
Tangible Common Equity Ratio 9.71%



Future Growth Prospects for ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (CNOB)

Future Growth Prospects for ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.

Analysis of Key Growth Drivers

ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. is poised for growth through several key drivers:

  • Product Innovations: The bank has been enhancing its digital banking capabilities, which has led to increased customer engagement and retention.
  • Market Expansions: The company is focusing on expanding its footprint in New Jersey and New York, targeting both retail and commercial banking sectors.
  • Acquisitions: The recent merger with The First of Long Island Corporation is expected to enhance market share and operational efficiencies.

Future Revenue Growth Projections and Earnings Estimates

Revenue growth projections indicate a steady increase, with analysts estimating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5.5% over the next five years. For 2024, earnings estimates suggest:

  • Net Interest Income: Projected to be around $182.6 million.
  • Earnings Per Share (EPS): Expected to be $1.27 for Q3 2024, down from $1.61 in Q3 2023 due to increased expenses and provisions for credit losses.

Strategic Initiatives or Partnerships Driving Future Growth

Strategic initiatives include:

  • Technological Partnerships: Collaborations with fintech companies to improve service delivery and customer experience.
  • Community Engagement: Increased focus on local communities through targeted lending and community investment projects.

Competitive Advantages Positioning the Company for Growth

ConnectOne Bancorp benefits from several competitive advantages:

  • Strong Brand Recognition: Established presence in the New Jersey market enhances customer trust and loyalty.
  • Diverse Product Offerings: A wide range of products caters to both consumer and business needs.
  • Efficient Cost Structure: Ongoing efforts to streamline operations and reduce overhead costs.

Financial Data Overview

Financial Metric Q3 2024 Q3 2023
Net Income $48.9 million $63.2 million
Diluted EPS $1.27 $1.61
Net Interest Income $182.6 million $193.3 million
Total Deposits $7.52 billion $7.54 billion
Average Total Loans $8.12 billion $8.35 billion

As of September 30, 2024, total assets stood at $9.64 billion, reflecting a strategic focus on asset quality and growth.

Conclusion

Overall, ConnectOne Bancorp is well-positioned for future growth, leveraging its strategic initiatives, market expansions, and competitive advantages to navigate the evolving financial landscape.

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Resources:

  1. ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (CNOB) Financial Statements – Access the full quarterly financial statements for Q3 2024 to get an in-depth view of ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (CNOB)' financial performance, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  2. SEC Filings – View ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (CNOB)' latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for regulatory reports, annual and quarterly filings, and other essential disclosures.