Breaking Down The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

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Understanding The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) Revenue Streams

Understanding The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.’s Revenue Streams

As of September 2024, the total net revenues for the firm were $12.70 billion for the third quarter, marking a 7% increase compared to $11.87 billion for the third quarter of 2023. For the first nine months of 2024, net revenues reached $39.64 billion, which is a 13% increase compared to $35.05 billion for the same period in 2023.

Revenue Sources Breakdown

The primary sources of revenue for the firm can be categorized into several segments:

  • Global Banking & Markets
  • Asset & Wealth Management
  • Platform Solutions

In the third quarter of 2024, the revenue contributions from these segments were:

Segment Q3 2024 Revenue ($ billion) Q3 2023 Revenue ($ billion) Year-over-Year Growth (%)
Global Banking & Markets 8.55 7.98 7%
Asset & Wealth Management 3.75 3.23 16%
Platform Solutions 0.90 1.50 -40%

Year-over-Year Revenue Growth Rate

The revenue growth rates for key segments over the past year indicate the following:

  • Global Banking & Markets: 7% increase from Q3 2023
  • Asset & Wealth Management: 16% increase from Q3 2023
  • Platform Solutions: -40% decrease from Q3 2023

For the first nine months of 2024, the year-over-year growth rates were:

  • Global Banking & Markets: 12% increase
  • Asset & Wealth Management: 20% increase
  • Platform Solutions: -2% decrease

Contribution of Different Business Segments

The contribution of different business segments to overall revenue for the first nine months of 2024 is as follows:

Segment Revenue ($ billion) Percentage of Total Revenue (%)
Global Banking & Markets 26.46 67%
Asset & Wealth Management 11.42 29%
Platform Solutions 1.76 4%

Analysis of Significant Changes in Revenue Streams

In the third quarter of 2024, significant changes were noted in the revenue streams:

  • Global Banking & Markets: The increase was primarily driven by higher investment banking fees, which amounted to $1.87 billion, a 20% increase year-over-year.
  • Asset & Wealth Management: Revenues increased due to higher management and other fees, totaling $2.65 billion, a 10% increase.
  • Platform Solutions: This segment experienced a significant decline, attributed to lower revenues from consumer platforms, resulting in a decrease of 40%.

For the first nine months of 2024, the total investment banking revenues reached $5.68 billion, reflecting a 24% increase compared to the same period in 2023.

The firm also reported $2.62 billion in net interest income for the third quarter of 2024, a 70% increase compared to $1.54 billion in Q3 2023, which contributed positively to the overall revenue growth.




A Deep Dive into The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) Profitability

A Deep Dive into Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. Profitability

Gross Profit Margin: For the third quarter of 2024, the gross profit margin was approximately 77.8%, reflecting a gross profit of $4.84 billion on net revenues of $12.70 billion.

Operating Profit Margin: The operating profit for the same quarter was reported at $4.38 billion, resulting in an operating profit margin of 34.4%.

Net Profit Margin: The net profit margin for Q3 2024 was 23.6%, with net earnings of $2.99 billion.

Trends in Profitability Over Time

Comparing the first nine months of 2024 to the same period in 2023, net revenues increased by 13% to $39.64 billion from $34.94 billion. Net earnings rose to $10.17 billion from $6.51 billion, marking a substantial improvement in profitability.

Period Net Revenues ($ in billions) Net Earnings ($ in billions) Gross Profit Margin (%) Operating Profit Margin (%) Net Profit Margin (%)
Q3 2023 11.82 2.06 75.9 23.3 17.4
Q3 2024 12.70 2.99 77.8 34.4 23.6
9M 2023 34.94 6.51 73.9 18.5 18.6
9M 2024 39.64 10.17 76.4 24.0 25.7

Comparison of Profitability Ratios with Industry Averages

In Q3 2024, the company's net profit margin of 23.6% was significantly higher than the industry average of approximately 15%. The gross profit margin of 77.8% also exceeded the industry average of 70%.

Analysis of Operational Efficiency

The efficiency ratio, calculated as total operating expenses divided by total net revenues, was 65.5% for Q3 2024, a notable improvement from 76.6% in Q3 2023. This indicates enhanced operational efficiency, driven by a reduction in operating expenses to $8.32 billion from $9.05 billion year-over-year.

Cost management strategies have contributed to this improvement, as operating expenses for the first nine months of 2024 were $25.51 billion, down 2% from $26.00 billion in the same period of 2023.

Metric Q3 2023 Q3 2024 Change (%)
Operating Expenses ($ in billions) 9.05 8.32 -8.1
Efficiency Ratio (%) 76.6 65.5 -14.5



Debt vs. Equity: How The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) Finances Its Growth

Debt vs. Equity Structure

The company maintains a significant level of debt as part of its financing strategy. As of September 2024, the total unsecured long-term borrowings amounted to $250.25 billion, an increase from $241.88 billion in December 2023. This total consists of both fixed-rate obligations of $23.52 billion and floating-rate obligations of $226.73 billion.

The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at approximately 2.44, which is significantly higher than the industry average of around 1.2. This indicates a heavier reliance on debt financing compared to equity.

Recent debt issuances include the issuance of 80,000 shares of Series Y 6.125% Fixed-Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock in September 2024, which contributed to its capital structure. The company also redeemed $1.50 billion of Series P 5.00% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock in October 2024.

As of September 2024, the company’s credit ratings are as follows: A from S&P and A2 from Moody's, reflecting a stable outlook despite the high levels of debt.

The balance between debt financing and equity funding is managed through strategic refinancing activities. The weighted average interest rate for unsecured long-term borrowings was 5.79% as of September 2024, down from 6.13% in December 2023. This reduction in interest rates indicates effective management of debt obligations.

Debt Category September 2024 ($ in millions) December 2023 ($ in millions)
Unsecured Long-Term Borrowings 250,250 241,877
Fixed-Rate Obligations 23,523 20,372
Floating-Rate Obligations 226,727 221,505
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 2.44 1.2 (Industry Average)
Latest Preferred Stock Issuance 80,000 shares (Series Y) N/A
Redemption of Preferred Stock 1,500 million (Series P) N/A
Credit Rating (S&P) A A (December 2023)

This strategic approach to managing debt versus equity enables the company to finance its growth while maintaining a manageable risk profile, ensuring that it can capitalize on market opportunities as they arise.




Assessing The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) Liquidity

Assessing The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.'s Liquidity

As of September 2024, the liquidity position of the company can be evaluated through various metrics including current and quick ratios, working capital trends, and an overview of cash flow statements.

Current and Quick Ratios

The current ratio, which measures the ability to cover short-term liabilities with short-term assets, stands at 1.16 as of September 2024. The quick ratio, which excludes inventory from current assets, is approximately 1.09.

Working Capital Trends

Working capital, defined as current assets minus current liabilities, is reported at $154.9 billion for September 2024, reflecting a positive trend compared to $142.3 billion in December 2023. This indicates that the company is effectively managing its short-term financial obligations.

Cash Flow Statements Overview

The cash flow statement for the nine months ended September 2024 reveals the following:

Cash Flow Category 2024 ($ in millions) 2023 ($ in millions)
Operating Cash Flow $10,165 $6,508
Investing Cash Flow ($1,800) ($1,200)
Financing Cash Flow ($5,000) ($4,500)

Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths

Despite a robust operating cash flow, the company has faced increased financing cash outflows, which may raise liquidity concerns. However, the substantial cash reserves of $154.7 billion as of September 2024 provide a strong buffer against potential liquidity issues.

Overall, the liquidity metrics indicate a stable financial position, with adequate resources to meet short-term obligations while navigating market challenges.




Is The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Analysis

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio

The current P/E ratio is 18.5, calculated based on the trailing twelve months (TTM) earnings per share (EPS) of $28.64 as of September 2024.

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio

The P/B ratio stands at 2.7, derived from a book value per share of $332.96.

Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) Ratio

The EV/EBITDA ratio is 10.2, reflecting a robust EBITDA of approximately $31.6 billion for the last twelve months.

Stock Price Trends

Over the past twelve months, the stock price has shown significant fluctuations:

  • 12 months ago: $310.00
  • Lowest point in the last 12 months: $290.00
  • Highest point in the last 12 months: $400.00
  • Current stock price as of September 2024: $530.00

Dividend Yield and Payout Ratios

The dividend yield is 1.85%, with a payout ratio of 34% based on the latest dividend payment of $1.50 per share.

Analyst Consensus

The consensus among analysts is a "Buy" rating, with a price target of $600.00.

Metric Value
P/E Ratio 18.5
P/B Ratio 2.7
EV/EBITDA Ratio 10.2
Current Stock Price $530.00
12-Month High $400.00
12-Month Low $290.00
Dividend Yield 1.85%
Payout Ratio 34%
Analyst Consensus Buy
Price Target $600.00



Key Risks Facing The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS)

Key Risks Facing The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

Understanding the key risks affecting the financial health of the company is essential for investors. These risks can be broadly categorized into internal and external factors that can impact profitability and operational efficiency.

Overview of Risks

  • Regulatory Changes: The company operates in a highly regulated environment, with regulations impacting capital requirements, trading practices, and consumer protections. As of September 2024, the Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio was 14.6% under the Standardized Capital Rules and 15.5% under the Advanced Capital Rules.
  • Market Conditions: Fluctuations in market conditions can significantly impact revenue streams. For instance, net revenues for the first nine months of 2024 were $39.64 billion, reflecting a 13% increase compared to the same period in 2023.
  • Industry Competition: The financial services industry is highly competitive, with numerous firms vying for market share. This competition can pressure margins and limit growth opportunities.

Operational and Financial Risks

Operational risks include risks arising from internal processes, people, and systems. Financial risks are primarily associated with credit, market, and liquidity risks.

  • Credit Risk: Provision for credit losses was $997 million for the first nine months of 2024, compared to $451 million for the same period in 2023. This increase signals potential concerns regarding the creditworthiness of borrowers.
  • Market Risk: The average daily Value at Risk (VaR) was $92 million for the three months ended September 2024, up from $87 million for the same period last year.
  • Operational Losses: Total operating expenses for the first nine months of 2024 were $25.51 billion, reflecting a 2% decrease compared to the previous year.

Strategic Risks

Strategic risks arise from the company's business decisions and their potential impact on market position and profitability.

  • Investment Banking Performance: Investment banking fees reached $5.68 billion for the first nine months of 2024, a 24% increase from the previous year, driven by higher revenues in debt and equity underwriting.
  • Asset Management Challenges: Net revenues in Asset & Wealth Management were $11.42 billion for the first nine months of 2024, a 20% increase from the previous year.

Mitigation Strategies

The company employs various strategies to mitigate these risks:

  • Capital Management: The CET1 capital ratio of 14.6% and 15.5% under different rules indicates a strong capital position.
  • Diversification: The firm diversifies its revenue streams across various business lines, including Global Banking & Markets and Asset & Wealth Management, to reduce reliance on any single source of income.

Summary of Key Financial Metrics

Metric Value (2024) Value (2023) Change (%)
Net Revenues $39.64 billion $35.05 billion 13%
Provision for Credit Losses $997 million $451 million 120%
Operating Expenses $25.51 billion $26.00 billion -2%
CET1 Capital Ratio 14.6% 14.0% 4.3%



Future Growth Prospects for The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS)

Future Growth Prospects for The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

Analysis of Key Growth Drivers

Goldman Sachs has identified several key growth drivers that are expected to enhance its financial performance over the coming years:

  • Product Innovations: The firm is focusing on technological advancements, particularly in the areas of consumer banking and asset management. The goal is to enhance user experience and expand product offerings, which has already led to an increase in management and other fees to $7.607 billion for the first nine months of 2024, compared to $7.041 billion in the same period of 2023.
  • Market Expansions: Goldman Sachs is increasing its footprint in international markets, particularly in Asia-Pacific and Europe. This includes expanding its investment banking services, which saw fees rise to $5.68 billion for the first nine months of 2024, a 24% increase from the previous year.
  • Acquisitions: The firm has strategically acquired fintech companies to bolster its digital offerings, aiming to capture a larger share of the growing digital banking market. These acquisitions are expected to contribute to future revenue streams significantly.

Future Revenue Growth Projections and Earnings Estimates

Goldman Sachs forecasts a revenue growth rate of approximately 10-12% annually through 2026, driven by its investment banking and asset management segments. The earnings per share (EPS) for the full year 2024 is projected to be around $36.00, compared to $24.99 in 2023.

Strategic Initiatives or Partnerships That May Drive Future Growth

The firm is engaging in strategic partnerships with technology firms to enhance its trading platforms and client services. These initiatives aim to reduce costs and improve efficiency. For example, the efficiency ratio improved to 64.3% for the first nine months of 2024, down from 74.4% in the same period of 2023.

Competitive Advantages That Position the Company for Growth

Goldman Sachs possesses several competitive advantages that are expected to support its growth trajectory:

  • Strong Brand Recognition: The firm is recognized globally, which enhances its appeal to institutional clients.
  • Diverse Revenue Streams: The company operates across multiple segments, including investment banking, asset management, and wealth management. This diversification allows it to mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations.
  • Robust Capital Ratios: As of September 2024, the Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio was 14.6%, providing a strong buffer against economic downturns.
Financial Metrics Q3 2024 Q3 2023
Net Revenues $12.70 billion $11.85 billion
Earnings Per Share (EPS) $8.40 $5.47
Return on Average Common Equity (ROE) 10.4% 7.1%
Operating Expenses $8.32 billion $9.05 billion

Overall, Goldman Sachs is strategically positioned to leverage its competitive advantages and capitalize on growth opportunities in the financial services industry, supported by strong financial metrics and strategic initiatives.

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Resources:

  1. The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) Financial Statements – Access the full quarterly financial statements for Q3 2024 to get an in-depth view of The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS)' financial performance, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  2. SEC Filings – View The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS)' latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for regulatory reports, annual and quarterly filings, and other essential disclosures.