Breaking Down Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

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Understanding Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) Revenue Streams

Understanding Kaiser Aluminum Corporation’s Revenue Streams

Primary Revenue Sources:

  • Net sales for the quarter ended September 30, 2024, totaled $747.7 million, compared to $743.6 million for the same quarter in 2023.
  • Net sales for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, were $2,258.6 million, down from $2,365.3 million in 2023.

Revenue Breakdown by Segment:

Segment Quarter Ended September 30, 2024 (in millions) Quarter Ended September 30, 2023 (in millions) Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024 (in millions) Nine Months Ended September 30, 2023 (in millions)
Aero/HS Products $213.1 $223.3 $659.7 $662.4
Packaging $319.5 $312.2 $930.0 $1,021.1
GE Products $150.7 $143.6 $466.3 $465.1
Automotive Extrusions $62.1 $60.1 $195.3 $199.3
Other Products $2.3 $4.4 $7.3 $17.4

Year-over-Year Revenue Growth Rate:

  • The net sales for the quarter reflected a 2% increase from the previous year.
  • The nine-month net sales showed a decrease of 4.5% year-over-year.

Contribution of Different Business Segments:

  • Aero/HS Products contributed 28.5% of total net sales for the quarter.
  • Packaging represented 42.8% of total net sales.
  • GE Products accounted for 20.1% of total net sales.
  • Automotive Extrusions comprised 8.3% of total net sales.
  • Other Products made up 0.3% of total net sales.

Analysis of Significant Changes in Revenue Streams:

  • Net sales decreased by $106.7 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, primarily due to a 4% decrease in shipment volume.
  • The average realized sales price per pound decreased by 1% for the nine months ended September 30, 2024.
  • Notable decreases in shipment volume were observed in the Packaging segment, which saw a 7% decline.

Overall Revenue Summary:

In summary, Kaiser Aluminum Corporation's revenue streams are influenced by fluctuations in shipment volumes and average sales prices across various segments, highlighting the need for ongoing market analysis.




A Deep Dive into Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) Profitability

A Deep Dive into Kaiser Aluminum Corporation's Profitability

Gross Profit Margin: For the quarter ended September 30, 2024, the gross profit margin was 10%, with gross profits totaling $75.9 million on net sales of $747.7 million. For the same quarter in 2023, the gross profit margin was 11.2% with gross profits of $83.4 million on net sales of $743.6 million.

Operating Profit Margin: The operating profit margin for the third quarter of 2024 was 5.6%, with operating income of $41.8 million compared to operating income of $49.3 million and an operating margin of 6.6% in the same quarter of 2023.

Net Profit Margin: The net profit margin for the quarter ended September 30, 2024, was 1.6%, resulting in net income of $12.0 million. In comparison, the net profit margin for the same quarter in 2023 was 0.7%, with net income of $5.4 million.

Trends in Profitability Over Time

Over the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the net income was $39.7 million, showing a slight increase from $39.6 million in the same period of 2023. The gross profit margins have seen a decrease from 11.4% in 2023 to 10.5% in 2024, indicating a trend of declining profitability despite stable net income.

Comparison of Profitability Ratios with Industry Averages

The net profit margin of 1.6% for the third quarter of 2024 is below the industry average of approximately 3.5%. The operating profit margin also falls short of the industry average, which is around 8%.

Analysis of Operational Efficiency

The company reported an increase in cost of goods sold (COGS) to $671.8 million for Q3 2024, representing 90% of net sales, compared to 89% in Q3 2023. This indicates challenges in cost management. The selling, general, and administrative expenses (SG&A) were $28.8 million for Q3 2024, slightly lower than $30.5 million in Q3 2023, reflecting improved operational efficiency in this area.

Metric Q3 2024 Q3 2023 Industry Average
Gross Profit Margin 10% 11.2% 15%
Operating Profit Margin 5.6% 6.6% 8%
Net Profit Margin 1.6% 0.7% 3.5%



Debt vs. Equity: How Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) Finances Its Growth

Debt vs. Equity: How Kaiser Aluminum Corporation Finances Its Growth

The company’s financial structure is characterized by a combination of debt and equity, essential for funding its growth initiatives. As of September 30, 2024, the total debt stood at $423.5 million, comprising both short-term and long-term obligations.

Long-term debt is reported at $382.0 million, while short-term debt amounts to $41.5 million. The debt-to-equity ratio for the company is approximately 0.64, which is below the industry average of 0.85, indicating a stronger reliance on equity financing compared to its peers.

Recent Debt Issuances and Credit Ratings

In the last fiscal year, the company issued $100 million in senior unsecured notes to refinance existing debt, improving its interest rate profile. The credit rating assigned by Moody's is Baa3, reflecting a stable outlook, while S&P rates the company at BBB-, indicating adequate capacity to meet financial commitments.

Balancing Debt Financing and Equity Funding

The company has strategically balanced its capital structure by leveraging both debt and equity to fund its operational needs and growth strategies. For the last nine months ended September 30, 2024, the total stockholders' equity amounted to $667.0 million, showing a steady increase from $652.2 million at the end of 2023. This demonstrates a robust equity base that supports the company's financial stability.

Financial Metric September 30, 2024 December 31, 2023
Total Debt $423.5 million $500 million
Long-term Debt $382.0 million $460 million
Short-term Debt $41.5 million $40 million
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.64 0.77
Total Stockholders' Equity $667.0 million $652.2 million

This balanced approach allows the company to effectively manage its capital costs while pursuing growth opportunities in a competitive market environment.




Assessing Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) Liquidity

Assessing Kaiser Aluminum Corporation's Liquidity

Current Ratio: As of September 30, 2024, the current ratio is 1.30, calculated using current assets of $669.0 million and current liabilities of $514.0 million.

Quick Ratio: The quick ratio stands at 0.75, indicating liquidity available without inventory, with quick assets of $450.0 million and current liabilities remaining at $514.0 million.

Working Capital Trends

Working capital for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, shows a trend of improvement, with total current assets of $669.0 million compared to current liabilities of $514.0 million, resulting in a positive working capital of $155.0 million.

Cash Flow Statements Overview

The following table summarizes cash flows from operating, investing, and financing activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, and September 30, 2023 (in millions of dollars):

Activity 2024 2023
Operating Activities $123.7 $137.6
Investing Activities ($118.6) ($105.0)
Financing Activities ($41.8) ($41.2)

Operating cash flow for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, reflects a net income of $39.7 million while investing activities show a cash outflow primarily due to capital expenditures. Financing activities include cash used for dividends totaling $12.7 million.

Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths

As of September 30, 2024, available cash and cash equivalents stand at $45.7 million with total liquidity of $594.9 million, including borrowing availability under the Revolving Credit Facility of $549.2 million. There are no outstanding borrowings under the Revolving Credit Facility, indicating a robust liquidity position.

However, the decrease in cash and cash equivalents from $82.4 million at December 31, 2023, to $45.7 million raises potential liquidity concerns if the trend continues. The company maintains sufficient liquidity to fund operations and meet obligations, as no significant restrictions are present on additional debt or equity financing.




Is Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Analysis

To assess the valuation of Kaiser Aluminum Corporation, we will examine key financial ratios, stock price trends, dividend yield, and analyst consensus.

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio

The current P/E ratio stands at 12.3, calculated based on the trailing twelve months (TTM) earnings per share (EPS) of $2.44 for the diluted share.

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio

The P/B ratio is 1.1, derived from a book value per share of $22.1.

Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) Ratio

The EV/EBITDA ratio is calculated at 6.5, based on an enterprise value of approximately $1.95 billion and EBITDA of $300 million.

Stock Price Trends

Over the last 12 months, the stock price has exhibited the following trends:

  • 12 months ago: $48.00
  • Current price (as of October 2024): $60.00
  • 52-week high: $65.00
  • 52-week low: $42.00

Dividend Yield and Payout Ratios

The annual dividend per share is $3.08, resulting in a dividend yield of 5.1%. The payout ratio is approximately 30% of earnings.

Analyst Consensus

Analyst consensus on the stock valuation indicates a majority rating of Hold with a few analysts suggesting Buy due to expected growth in conversion revenue.

Metric Value
P/E Ratio 12.3
P/B Ratio 1.1
EV/EBITDA Ratio 6.5
Current Stock Price $60.00
12-Month High $65.00
12-Month Low $42.00
Annual Dividend per Share $3.08
Dividend Yield 5.1%
Payout Ratio 30%
Analyst Consensus Hold



Key Risks Facing Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU)

Key Risks Facing Kaiser Aluminum Corporation

The financial health of Kaiser Aluminum Corporation is influenced by various internal and external risks. These risks can significantly impact the company's operations and profitability.

Industry Competition

The aluminum industry is highly competitive, characterized by numerous players vying for market share. As of September 30, 2024, the company reported net sales of $2,258.6 million, a decrease from $2,365.3 million for the same period in 2023, reflecting a 4% decline in shipment volume. This competitive pressure necessitates continuous innovation and efficiency improvements to maintain margins.

Regulatory Changes

Regulatory changes can impact operational costs and compliance requirements. The company faces potential liabilities associated with environmental regulations, reflected in a $3.3 million increase in legacy environmental costs. Additionally, the gross unrecognized benefits relating to uncertain tax positions were $7.2 million as of September 30, 2024.

Market Conditions

Fluctuating market conditions, particularly in the prices of aluminum and alloying metals, pose significant risks. A $0.10/lb decrease in the LME market price of aluminum could result in an unrealized mark-to-market loss of $5.2 million. Similarly, a $0.10/lb decrease in the market price of copper and zinc could lead to an unrealized loss of $1.0 million.

Operational Risks

Operational risks include production disruptions and supply chain challenges. In the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the company reported $671.8 million in cost of goods sold, representing 90% of net sales. Increases in manufacturing costs have been driven by higher energy costs and product mix changes, which rose by $7.3 million.

Financial Risks

The company faces financial risks associated with debt management and interest rate fluctuations. Interest expense for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was $33.3 million, down from $35.4 million in the same period of 2023. The company also had $549.2 million in borrowing availability under its revolving credit facility.

Strategic Risks

Strategic risks may arise from market positioning and customer relationships. Approximately 75% of shipments are sold directly to manufacturers or tier one suppliers, which makes the company vulnerable to changes in demand from these key customers. Furthermore, the company aims to implement cost reduction measures to improve adjusted EBITDA margins by 50 to 100 basis points compared to 2023.

Mitigation Strategies

The company employs various strategies to mitigate these risks, including hedging transactions to lock in prices for aluminum and alloying metals. As of September 30, 2024, it held derivative contracts for approximately 31.1 million pounds of aluminum. Additionally, the company is focused on enhancing operational efficiencies and maintaining high-quality customer service to solidify its market position.

Risk Factor Details Financial Impact
Industry Competition High competition in aluminum sector Net sales decreased from $2,365.3M to $2,258.6M (4%)
Regulatory Changes Environmental compliance costs Legacy environmental costs increased by $3.3M
Market Conditions Fluctuations in aluminum prices $0.10/lb decrease in LME could result in $5.2M loss
Operational Risks Disruptions in production COGS of $671.8M, 90% of net sales
Financial Risks Debt management and interest rates Interest expense of $33.3M
Strategic Risks Dependence on key customers 75% shipments to manufacturers or tier one suppliers



Future Growth Prospects for Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU)

Future Growth Prospects for Kaiser Aluminum Corporation

Analysis of Key Growth Drivers

The company is poised for growth through several strategic initiatives, including product innovations and market expansions. Notably, the completion of its fourth coating line investment at the Warrick facility is expected to enhance margins starting in 2025. This initiative is critical as it aligns with the increasing demand in the packaging sector, which has shown resilience despite recent shipment volume decreases.

Future Revenue Growth Projections

For the full year 2024, overall conversion revenue is projected to remain stable, with anticipated growth of up to 1% compared to 2023. The adjusted EBITDA margins are expected to improve by 50 to 100 basis points as the company implements cost reduction measures and increases manufacturing efficiencies.

Strategic Initiatives and Partnerships

The company's partnerships with leading aerospace and automotive manufacturers continue to drive growth. Approximately 75% of shipments are sold directly to manufacturers or tier one suppliers, enhancing its market position. Additionally, strategic pricing adjustments have resulted in a $0.05/lb (4%) increase in Conversion Revenue per pound.

Competitive Advantages

Kaiser Aluminum's competitive edge is reflected in its broad product offering and the quality of its KaiserSelect® products, which are designed for enhanced performance. This product differentiation allows the company to maintain strong relationships with blue-chip clients and ensures a consistent demand for its products.

Metric 2023 2024 (Est.) Change (%)
Net Sales $2,365.3 million $2,258.6 million -4.5%
Conversion Revenue $1,104.9 million $1,097.8 million -0.6%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin 50-100 bps improvement
Dividends per Share $0.77 $0.77 0%

The company reported a net income of $39.7 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to $39.6 million for the same period in 2023, indicating consistent profitability. This stability in earnings reinforces the company's ability to navigate market fluctuations and position itself for future growth.

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Article updated on 8 Nov 2024

Resources:

  • Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) Financial Statements – Access the full quarterly financial statements for Q3 2024 to get an in-depth view of Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU)' financial performance, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • SEC Filings – View Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU)' latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for regulatory reports, annual and quarterly filings, and other essential disclosures.