Breaking Down New Gold Inc. (NGD) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

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Understanding New Gold Inc. (NGD) Revenue Streams

Understanding New Gold Inc.’s Revenue Streams

New Gold Inc. generates revenue primarily from its operations in gold, copper, and silver mining. The company operates two main mines: the Rainy River and New Afton mines. Below is a detailed breakdown of the revenue sources and contributions from each segment.

Revenue Breakdown by Segment

Segment Gold Revenues (in millions USD) Copper Revenues (in millions USD) Silver Revenues (in millions USD) Total Revenues (in millions USD)
Rainy River 394.5 0.0 11.1 405.6
New Afton 109.8 144.4 2.5 256.7
Total 504.3 144.4 13.6 662.3

Year-over-Year Revenue Growth Rate

The total revenues for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, were $662.3 million, compared to $587.3 million during the same period in 2023. This reflects a year-over-year revenue growth of approximately 12.7%.

Contribution of Different Business Segments

For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the contributions from the primary revenue segments were:

  • Rainy River: 61.9% of total revenues
  • New Afton: 38.1% of total revenues

Significant Changes in Revenue Streams

From the previous year, there was a notable increase in copper revenues from the New Afton mine, which rose from $118.6 million in the nine months of 2023 to $144.4 million in 2024, indicating a strong demand and higher production levels. Conversely, gold revenues from the Rainy River mine saw a slight increase from $372.3 million in 2023 to $394.5 million in 2024.

Additionally, the company recognized gains on provisional pricing of concentrate sales, totaling $15.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to a gain of $3.3 million in the same period of 2023.

Conclusion

Overall, New Gold Inc. shows a positive trend in its revenue streams, driven by strong performance in its mining operations and favorable market conditions for gold and copper. The company's ability to adapt and optimize its production capabilities has positioned it well within the competitive mining industry.




A Deep Dive into New Gold Inc. (NGD) Profitability

Profitability Metrics

In the analysis of profitability metrics for New Gold Inc. as of 2024, several key figures provide insight into the company's financial health.

  • Gross Profit Margin: For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the gross profit margin was calculated as follows:
Metric Value (in millions USD)
Total Revenues 662.3
Cost of Goods Sold 514.7
Gross Profit 147.6
Gross Profit Margin 22.3%

The gross profit margin indicates a positive trend compared to the previous year, where the gross profit margin stood at 15.2% for the same period in 2023.

  • Operating Profit Margin: The operating profit margin for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, is detailed below:
Metric Value (in millions USD)
Income from Operations 105.1
Total Revenues 662.3
Operating Profit Margin 15.9%

This figure shows an improvement from an operating profit margin of 10.5% recorded in the first nine months of 2023.

  • Net Profit Margin: The net profit margin for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, is as follows:
Metric Value (in millions USD)
Net Income 47.5
Total Revenues 662.3
Net Profit Margin 7.2%

The net profit margin has significantly improved compared to the net profit margin of -6.3% for the same period in 2023, indicating a turnaround in financial performance.

Trends in Profitability Over Time

The trends from 2023 to 2024 show a consistent improvement across all profitability metrics:

Year Gross Profit Margin Operating Profit Margin Net Profit Margin
2023 15.2% 10.5% -6.3%
2024 22.3% 15.9% 7.2%

Comparison of Profitability Ratios with Industry Averages

Comparing these profitability ratios with industry averages can provide further context:

Metric New Gold Inc. Industry Average
Gross Profit Margin 22.3% 20.0%
Operating Profit Margin 15.9% 12.0%
Net Profit Margin 7.2% 5.0%

Analysis of Operational Efficiency

Operational efficiency can be gauged through cost management, as evidenced by the following:

  • Cost of Goods Sold (COGS): The COGS for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was 514.7 million USD, a decrease from 542.3 million USD in 2023.
  • Operating Expenses: Operating expenses were reported at 323.9 million USD for 2024, compared to 329.6 million USD in 2023.
  • Depreciation and Depletion: Depreciation and depletion costs were 190.8 million USD for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, versus 168.2 million USD in 2023.

This data reveals a concerted effort in cost management, contributing to improved profitability metrics.




Debt vs. Equity: How New Gold Inc. (NGD) Finances Its Growth

Debt vs. Equity: How New Gold Inc. Finances Its Growth

The financial health of New Gold Inc. can be analyzed through its debt and equity structure, which is critical for understanding how the company finances its growth. As of September 30, 2024, the company's total long-term debt stands at $446.7 million, consisting of senior unsecured notes due July 15, 2027, amounting to $396.7 million and a credit facility of $50.0 million.

Short-term debt is reflected in the current liabilities, which are approximately $196.9 million. This includes trade and other payables, current income tax payable, and other obligations. The overall debt-to-equity ratio provides insight into the leverage used by the company. As of the latest reporting, the debt-to-equity ratio is calculated as:

Total Debt (in millions) Total Equity (in millions) Debt-to-Equity Ratio
$446.7 $997.2 0.45

This ratio of 0.45 indicates that the company has a relatively balanced approach to debt financing compared to its equity base. In comparison, the industry standard for the gold mining sector tends to hover around 0.5 to 0.7, suggesting that New Gold Inc. is slightly below the industry average in terms of leverage.

Recent debt issuances include the senior unsecured notes, which have an interest rate of 7.50% per annum, with interest payable semi-annually. Additionally, the company has drawn $50.0 million from its revolving credit facility, which has a borrowing limit of $400.0 million and is set to mature in December 2026. The credit facility also includes various financial covenants that the company must adhere to, including a minimum interest coverage ratio greater than 3.0:1.0.

As part of its financial strategy, New Gold Inc. balances its debt financing with equity funding. The company had a total equity of $997.2 million as of September 30, 2024. This equity base has been bolstered by recent equity issuances, which raised $164.6 million. This strategic balance allows the company to invest in growth opportunities while managing its financial risk effectively.

The following table summarizes the key aspects of New Gold Inc.'s debt and equity structure:

Debt Type Amount (in millions) Maturity Date Interest Rate
Senior Unsecured Notes $396.7 July 15, 2027 7.50%
Credit Facility $50.0 December 2026 Variable

Overall, New Gold Inc. has maintained a prudent approach to financing its operations, ensuring a sustainable balance between debt and equity as it navigates the complexities of the mining industry.




Assessing New Gold Inc. (NGD) Liquidity

Assessing New Gold Inc.'s Liquidity

Current Ratio: As of September 30, 2024, the current ratio is calculated at 0.93, reflecting a current assets total of $132.6 million and current liabilities of $142.3 million.

Quick Ratio: The quick ratio, which excludes inventories, stands at 0.76. Current assets, excluding inventories of $114.7 million, total $116.4 million.

Analysis of Working Capital Trends

Working capital as of September 30, 2024, is negative at -$9.7 million, indicating that current liabilities exceed current assets.

Cash Flow Statements Overview

Operating Cash Flow: For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, cash generated from operations amounted to $283.2 million, compared to $217.0 million for the same period in 2023.

Investing Cash Flow: Cash used in investing activities totaled -$190.0 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, down from -$175.2 million in 2023.

Financing Cash Flow: Cash used by financing activities was -$145.6 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to -$62.2 million in 2023.

Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths

The company has a cash and cash equivalents balance of $132.6 million as of the end of September 2024. However, the decrease in cash flow from financing activities indicates potential liquidity concerns moving forward. The long-term debt amounts to $446.7 million, which includes senior unsecured notes due July 15, 2027.

Financial Metric Value (in millions USD)
Current Assets 132.6
Current Liabilities 142.3
Working Capital -9.7
Cash Generated from Operations 283.2
Cash Used in Investing Activities -190.0
Cash Used in Financing Activities -145.6
Cash and Cash Equivalents 132.6
Long-term Debt 446.7



Is New Gold Inc. (NGD) Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Analysis

To assess whether the company is overvalued or undervalued, we will examine key financial ratios, stock price trends, dividend yield, and analyst consensus.

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio

The current P/E ratio stands at 34.5, based on a trailing twelve-month net income of $47.5 million and a market capitalization of approximately $1.6 billion.

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio

The P/B ratio is calculated at 1.6, with total equity reported at $997.2 million and total assets at $1,983.0 million.

Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)

The EV/EBITDA ratio is currently 11.2, with an Enterprise Value of approximately $1.7 billion and EBITDA of $150 million.

Stock Price Trends

Over the past 12 months, the stock price has fluctuated between a low of $0.95 and a high of $2.20. As of the latest market close, the stock price is approximately $1.80.

Dividend Yield and Payout Ratios

The company currently does not pay a dividend, resulting in a dividend yield of 0%. The payout ratio is also 0%, reflecting a focus on reinvesting earnings into growth opportunities.

Analyst Consensus on Stock Valuation

Analyst consensus indicates a "Hold" rating, with a target price of $2.00. The consensus includes 5 analysts rating the stock, with 2 Buy, 2 Hold, and 1 Sell.

Metric Value
P/E Ratio 34.5
P/B Ratio 1.6
EV/EBITDA 11.2
Market Capitalization $1.6 billion
Current Stock Price $1.80
12-Month Low $0.95
12-Month High $2.20
Dividend Yield 0%
Payout Ratio 0%
Analyst Consensus Hold
Target Price $2.00



Key Risks Facing New Gold Inc. (NGD)

Key Risks Facing New Gold Inc.

New Gold Inc. operates in a complex environment influenced by various internal and external factors that can significantly impact its financial health. Understanding these risks is critical for investors.

Industry Competition

The mining industry is characterized by intense competition, which can affect pricing and profit margins. As of September 30, 2024, the company's total revenues reached $252.0 million, a 24.8% increase compared to $201.3 million for the same period in 2023. This growth may be challenged by competitors who could influence market prices and availability of resources.

Regulatory Changes

Mining operations are heavily regulated. Changes in regulations can lead to increased operational costs or limitations on production. As of September 30, 2024, the total liabilities of the company stood at $985.8 million, which includes regulatory obligations. Compliance with evolving regulations may require additional investments and resources, impacting profitability.

Market Conditions

Fluctuations in commodity prices directly affect revenue. For example, the average gold price per ounce and copper price per pound are essential metrics for revenue generation. The company reported gold revenues of $203.2 million and copper revenues of $43.9 million in Q3 2024. A decline in commodity prices could adversely affect revenue and cash flow.

Operational Risks

Operational risks include issues such as equipment failures, labor disputes, and geological challenges. As of September 30, 2024, operating expenses totaled $107.6 million, reflecting the cost of maintaining operations. Any disruptions could lead to increased costs or reduced production levels.

Financial Risks

Financial risks include currency fluctuations and interest rate changes. The company has a total long-term debt of $446.7 million, comprised of senior unsecured notes and a credit facility. Changes in interest rates could increase finance costs, impacting overall financial health. The interest margin on drawings under the credit facility ranges from 1.25% to 3.75% over term-adjusted SOFR.

Strategic Risks

Strategic risks arise from poor business decisions or inability to adapt to market changes. The company’s strategic initiatives must align with market demands and operational capabilities. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the company generated $662.3 million in total revenues. A failure to innovate or respond to market trends could hinder growth.

Mitigation Strategies

New Gold Inc. employs various strategies to mitigate risks:

  • Hedging Strategies: The company enters into gold and copper swap contracts to reduce exposure to price fluctuations. As of September 30, 2024, the company had realized losses on swap contracts totaling $11.7 million.
  • Regulatory Compliance: Continuous monitoring of regulatory changes and proactive compliance measures are in place to avoid penalties and operational disruptions.
  • Operational Efficiency: Investments in technology and equipment maintenance aim to reduce operational risks and enhance productivity.
Risk Factor Description Financial Impact (as of Q3 2024)
Market Competition Intense competition affecting pricing and margins Revenues: $252.0 million
Regulatory Changes Changes in regulations increasing costs Total Liabilities: $985.8 million
Commodity Prices Fluctuations in gold and copper prices Gold Revenues: $203.2 million
Operational Risks Equipment failures and geological challenges Operating Expenses: $107.6 million
Financial Risks Currency fluctuations and interest rate changes Long-term Debt: $446.7 million
Strategic Risks Poor business decisions or market misalignment Total Revenues: $662.3 million



Future Growth Prospects for New Gold Inc. (NGD)

Future Growth Prospects for New Gold Inc.

Key Growth Drivers

New Gold Inc. is strategically positioned to leverage several growth drivers in the mining industry. Key opportunities include:

  • Product Innovations: The company continues to enhance its mining operations through innovative extraction technologies and sustainable practices. Investments in research and development have led to improved operational efficiencies.
  • Market Expansions: New Gold is actively pursuing expansions into new geographical markets, particularly in under-explored regions where mineral deposits remain untapped.
  • Acquisitions: The company is exploring potential acquisitions of smaller mining firms to bolster its resource base and operational capabilities.

Future Revenue Growth Projections

For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, New Gold reported total revenues of $662.3 million, a significant increase from $587.3 million during the same period in 2023. The breakdown includes:

  • Gold revenues: $504.3 million
  • Copper revenues: $144.4 million
  • Silver revenues: $13.6 million

Revenue less cost of goods sold for the same period reached $147.6 million, up from $89.5 million in 2023.

Earnings Estimates

New Gold's income (loss) from operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was $105.1 million, compared to $61.4 million in the previous year. The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at $0.06 based on diluted shares outstanding of 796.1 million.

Strategic Initiatives and Partnerships

The company has entered into strategic partnerships to enhance its operational capabilities. Notably, a significant agreement was reached with Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan, which is expected to contribute to financial stability and growth potential.

Competitive Advantages

New Gold possesses several competitive advantages that position it for future growth:

  • Strong Asset Base: The company holds substantial mining interests, with total mining interests valued at $1,675.2 million as of September 30, 2024.
  • Operational Efficiency: Continued focus on reducing operating costs has resulted in operating expenses of $323.9 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, down from $329.6 million in 2023.
  • Financial Health: New Gold's total equity stood at $997.2 million as of September 30, 2024, indicating robust financial health and capacity for reinvestment.

Table: Financial Overview for New Gold Inc.

Metric 2024 (9M) 2023 (9M)
Total Revenues $662.3 million $587.3 million
Gold Revenues $504.3 million $458.9 million
Copper Revenues $144.4 million $118.6 million
Silver Revenues $13.6 million $9.8 million
Net Income (Loss) $47.5 million $(37.1 million)
Total Assets $1,983.0 million $2,286.0 million
Total Liabilities $985.8 million $1,496.8 million
Total Equity $997.2 million $789.2 million

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Article updated on 8 Nov 2024

Resources:

  • New Gold Inc. (NGD) Financial Statements – Access the full quarterly financial statements for Q3 2024 to get an in-depth view of New Gold Inc. (NGD)' financial performance, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • SEC Filings – View New Gold Inc. (NGD)' latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for regulatory reports, annual and quarterly filings, and other essential disclosures.