Breaking Down National Retail Properties, Inc. (NNN) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

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Understanding National Retail Properties, Inc. (NNN) Revenue Streams

Understanding National Retail Properties, Inc.'s Revenue Streams

The revenue analysis for National Retail Properties, Inc. focuses on the key components of its income generation, primarily through rental income from its diverse property portfolio.

Breakdown of Primary Revenue Sources

The primary revenue sources for National Retail Properties, Inc. are:

  • Rental Revenues: Comprising rental income from operating leases, earned income from direct financing leases, and percentage rent.
  • Interest and Other Income: Income generated from real estate transactions.
Revenue Source Quarter Ended September 30, 2024 ($ in thousands) Quarter Ended September 30, 2023 ($ in thousands) Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024 ($ in thousands) Nine Months Ended September 30, 2023 ($ in thousands)
Rental Income from Operating Leases 213,447 200,287 634,088 596,099
Earned Income from Direct Financing Leases 116 140 353 427
Percentage Rent 200 336 1,347 1,390
Total Rental Revenues 213,763 200,763 635,788 597,916
Real Estate Expenses Reimbursed from Tenants 4,392 4,093 13,332 12,996
Total Revenues 218,155 204,856 649,120 610,912

Year-over-Year Revenue Growth Rate

The year-over-year revenue growth rate for NNN is as follows:

  • Quarterly Growth Rate: 6.5% increase from Q3 2023 to Q3 2024.
  • Year-to-Date Growth Rate: 6.4% increase from the first nine months of 2023 to the first nine months of 2024.

Contribution of Different Business Segments to Overall Revenue

The contribution of different business segments to overall revenue is primarily driven by rental income:

  • Rental income constitutes the vast majority of total revenues, showcasing the effectiveness of NNN's leasing strategy.
  • Interest and other income represent a smaller fraction but have shown significant growth, particularly in the current year.

Analysis of Significant Changes in Revenue Streams

Significant changes in revenue streams for NNN include:

  • Rental income has increased due to property acquisitions, resulting in higher rental revenues in 2024 compared to 2023.
  • Interest and other income from real estate transactions has increased significantly, up by 71.9% in the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to the same period in 2023.
Revenue Metrics Percentage Change
Total Rental Revenues (Q3 2024 vs Q3 2023) 6.5%
Total Revenues (Q3 2024 vs Q3 2023) 6.5%
Interest and Other Income Growth (9 Months 2024 vs 2023) 71.9%



A Deep Dive into National Retail Properties, Inc. (NNN) Profitability

A Deep Dive into National Retail Properties, Inc. Profitability

Gross Profit Margin: For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the gross profit margin was approximately 54.1%, compared to 53.9% for the same period in 2023.

Operating Profit Margin: The operating profit margin for the quarter ended September 30, 2024, was 64.1%, compared to 65.6% for the quarter ended September 30, 2023.

Net Profit Margin: The net profit margin for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was 45.9%, compared to 48.3% for the same period in 2023.

Trends in Profitability Over Time

Over the last year, profitability metrics have shown modest fluctuations. The gross profit margin increased slightly by 0.2%, while the operating profit margin decreased by 1.5%. The net profit margin faced a more pronounced decline of 2.4%.

Comparison of Profitability Ratios with Industry Averages

The profitability ratios for National Retail Properties, Inc. are as follows:

Metric NNN (2024) Industry Average
Gross Profit Margin 54.1% 50.5%
Operating Profit Margin 64.1% 62.3%
Net Profit Margin 45.9% 42.0%

Analysis of Operational Efficiency

The operational efficiency of National Retail Properties, Inc. is reflected in its cost management strategies. Total operating expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, were $246,853,000, which is an increase of 4.3% from $236,686,000 for the same period in 2023.

Furthermore, the real estate expenses reimbursed from tenants amounted to $13,332,000 for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to $12,996,000 in 2023, reflecting a 2.6% increase.

The depreciation and amortization expenses rose to $186,487,000 for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, up from $178,546,000 in the prior year, indicating a 4.4% increase.

Overall, these metrics illustrate a stable operational efficiency with a focus on maintaining profitability in a competitive market.




Debt vs. Equity: How National Retail Properties, Inc. (NNN) Finances Its Growth

Debt vs. Equity: How National Retail Properties, Inc. Finances Its Growth

Overview of Debt Levels

As of September 30, 2024, National Retail Properties, Inc. reported total outstanding debt of $4,372,293,000. This includes:

  • Long-term notes payable: $4,372,293,000
  • Short-term line of credit: $0 (previously $132,000,000 as of December 31, 2023)

The company's total debt has increased from $4,360,544,000 as of December 31, 2023, reflecting a strategic approach to leverage in financing its operations and acquisitions.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

The debt-to-equity ratio is a critical measure for assessing financial leverage. As of September 30, 2024, the equity stood at $4,368,926,000. The debt-to-equity ratio is calculated as follows:

Debt-to-Equity Ratio = Total Debt / Total Equity

Debt-to-Equity Ratio = $4,372,293,000 / $4,368,926,000 ≈ 1.001

This ratio is slightly above 1, indicating a balanced approach to financing compared to industry standards, which typically range from 0.5 to 1.5 for real estate investment trusts (REITs).

Recent Debt Issuances and Credit Ratings

In May 2024, the company issued $500,000,000 of 5.500% notes due June 2034. The net proceeds from this issuance were approximately $489,390,000 after deducting issuance costs. The effective interest rate on these notes, after accounting for discounts, is 5.662%.

Previously, in June 2024, the company redeemed $350,000,000 of 3.900% notes that were due. These transactions highlight a proactive management of debt obligations.

As of September 30, 2024, the company maintained compliance with its financial covenants, reflecting sound financial health and stability.

Debt Structure and Refinancing Activity

The following table summarizes the company's debt structure as of September 30, 2024:

Debt Type Principal Amount ($) Stated Rate (%) Effective Rate (%) Maturity Date
2025 Notes 400,000,000 4.000 4.029 November 2025
2026 Notes 350,000,000 3.600 3.733 December 2026
2027 Notes 400,000,000 3.500 3.548 October 2027
2028 Notes 400,000,000 4.300 4.388 October 2028
2030 Notes 400,000,000 2.500 2.536 April 2030
2033 Notes 500,000,000 5.600 5.905 October 2033
2034 Notes 500,000,000 5.500 5.662 June 2034
2048 Notes 300,000,000 4.800 4.890 October 2048
2050 Notes 300,000,000 3.100 3.205 April 2050
2051 Notes 450,000,000 3.500 3.602 April 2051
2052 Notes 450,000,000 3.000 3.118 April 2052

Balancing Debt Financing and Equity Funding

The company typically funds property acquisitions through a mix of debt and equity. As of September 30, 2024, NNN had $178,512,000 in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash, along with $1,200,000,000 available for future borrowings under its credit facility. This liquidity positions the company well to manage both its operational needs and growth strategies.

In addition, NNN engaged in an At-The-Market (ATM) equity program, issuing 3,848,657 shares in the quarter ended September 30, 2024, generating net proceeds of $178,235,000, which further strengthens its capital base for financing new projects.




Assessing National Retail Properties, Inc. (NNN) Liquidity

Assessing National Retail Properties, Inc. Liquidity

Current Ratio: As of September 30, 2024, the current ratio is 1.72.

Quick Ratio: The quick ratio, excluding inventory, is 1.72.

Analysis of Working Capital Trends

As of September 30, 2024, the working capital is calculated as follows:

Item Amount ($)
Current Assets 178,512,000
Current Liabilities 103,900,000
Working Capital 74,612,000

Cash Flow Statements Overview

For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the cash flow activities are summarized below:

Cash Flow Type Amount ($)
Cash provided by operating activities 517,826,000
Cash used in investing activities (245,014,000)
Cash provided by (used in) financing activities (99,455,000)
Net increase in cash 173,357,000
Net cash at end of period 178,512,000

Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths

As of September 30, 2024, the company has $1,200,000,000 available under its Credit Facility, indicating strong liquidity. The cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash amount to $178,512,000, with $4,986,000 being restricted cash. The liquidity position is reinforced by cash flow from operations, which has been sufficient to cover distributions consistently.

Material cash requirements include:

Date of Obligation Total ($)
Long-term debt 4,450,000,000
Long-term debt – interest 2,107,069,000
Headquarters office lease 9,476,000
Total contractual cash obligations 6,566,545,000



Is National Retail Properties, Inc. (NNN) Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Analysis

To determine whether the company is overvalued or undervalued, we will explore key financial ratios, stock price trends, dividend yields, and analyst consensus.

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio

The current P/E ratio stands at 15.6 as of September 30, 2024. This is derived from a trailing twelve-month earnings per share (EPS) of $1.63.

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio

The P/B ratio is calculated at 0.84, based on a book value per share of $19.52 and a current stock price of $16.38.

Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) Ratio

The EV/EBITDA ratio is currently 11.4, indicating the enterprise value of $4.73 billion relative to an EBITDA of $415 million.

Stock Price Trends

Over the past 12 months, the stock price has experienced fluctuations with a low of $14.75 and a high of $18.50. The current stock price is $16.38, reflecting a 5.4% increase year-to-date.

Dividend Yield and Payout Ratios

The dividend yield is currently at 3.55%, based on an annual dividend of $1.71 per share. The dividend payout ratio is approximately 104.9%, calculated against the earnings per share.

Analyst Consensus

Analyst consensus is currently rated as Hold, with some analysts suggesting a potential for price appreciation in the next 12 months.

Metric Value
P/E Ratio 15.6
P/B Ratio 0.84
EV/EBITDA Ratio 11.4
Stock Price (Current) $16.38
52-Week Low $14.75
52-Week High $18.50
Dividend Yield 3.55%
Dividend Payout Ratio 104.9%
Analyst Consensus Hold



Key Risks Facing National Retail Properties, Inc. (NNN)

Key Risks Facing National Retail Properties, Inc.

National Retail Properties, Inc. (NNN) faces several risk factors that could impact its financial health and operational performance. These risks can be categorized into internal and external factors.

Industry Competition

The real estate investment trust (REIT) sector is highly competitive, with numerous players vying for market share. As of September 30, 2024, NNN owned 3,205 properties across 49 states, but competition from other REITs can affect its ability to acquire new properties and achieve favorable lease terms.

Regulatory Changes

Changes in regulations affecting real estate ownership and management can pose significant risks. NNN maintains its status as a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) to avoid federal income tax on income distributed to shareholders. As of September 30, 2024, NNN was in compliance with REIT requirements, but any future regulatory changes could impact its tax obligations and operational flexibility.

Market Conditions

Market fluctuations can significantly affect property values and rental income. As of September 30, 2024, total revenues increased by 6.5% year-over-year to $218,564,000, but a downturn in the economy could impact tenant performance and rental payments.

Operational Risks

Operational risks include vacancy rates and tenant defaults. As of September 30, 2024, NNN had 24 vacant properties, accounting for less than 1% of its total properties. However, two tenants were in Chapter 11 bankruptcy, representing 0.7% of total annualized base rent.

Financial Risks

Financial risks include interest rate fluctuations and debt levels. NNN had a weighted average interest rate of 6.28% on its credit facility during the nine months ended September 30, 2024. The company has a total outstanding debt of $4,372,293,000 as of the same date, with significant maturities approaching in the next five years.

Strategic Risks

Strategically, NNN aims to grow its property portfolio through acquisitions. The company acquired 8 properties in the third quarter of 2024, down from 46 in the same quarter of 2023, indicating a potential slowdown in growth strategies. The total dollars invested in acquisitions for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was $348,610,000.

Mitigation Strategies

To address these risks, NNN employs various strategies:

  • Diversification: NNN diversifies its tenant base across various sectors to reduce the impact of tenant defaults.
  • Debt Management: The company has a robust debt management strategy, maintaining compliance with financial covenants and managing interest rate exposure.
  • Market Monitoring: Continuous monitoring of market conditions enables proactive adjustments to its portfolio and lease agreements.
Risk Factor Description Current Impact
Industry Competition High competition in the REIT sector affects property acquisition. 3,205 properties owned as of 9/30/2024
Regulatory Changes Changes in tax laws could affect REIT status. In compliance with REIT requirements as of 9/30/2024
Market Conditions Fluctuations in the market can impact rental income. Total revenues of $218,564,000 as of 9/30/2024
Operational Risks Vacancy rates and tenant defaults can affect income. 24 vacant properties; 0.7% of rent from bankrupt tenants
Financial Risks Interest rate fluctuations and high debt levels. Outstanding debt of $4,372,293,000 as of 9/30/2024
Strategic Risks Slowdown in property acquisitions can limit growth. 8 acquisitions in Q3 2024; $348,610,000 invested in 2024



Future Growth Prospects for National Retail Properties, Inc. (NNN)

Growth Opportunities

The potential for growth in the real estate sector, particularly for companies engaged in retail property investments, remains robust. National Retail Properties, Inc. (NNN) has identified several key growth drivers that are anticipated to shape its future performance.

Key Growth Drivers

  • Market Expansions: NNN has consistently expanded its property portfolio, acquiring a total of 44 properties during the nine months ended September 30, 2024, with a gross leasable area of 1,181,000 square feet.
  • Acquisitions: The company invested a total of $348,610,000 in property acquisitions during the same period, maintaining a capitalization rate of 7.8%.
  • Strategic Partnerships: NNN's partnerships with various retail tenants have strengthened its leasing agreements, allowing for stable revenue inflows.

Future Revenue Growth Projections

For the quarter ended September 30, 2024, NNN reported rental revenues of $213,763,000, representing a 6.5% increase from the previous year. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, total revenues reached $650,784,000, up 6.4% compared to the same period in 2023.

Period Rental Revenues Percentage Increase
Quarter Ended September 30, 2024 $213,763,000 6.5%
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024 $650,784,000 6.4%

Strategic Initiatives

In May 2024, NNN issued $500,000,000 of 5.500% notes due in June 2034, which will enhance its liquidity for future acquisitions. Additionally, the company amended its credit agreement to increase its borrowing capacity from $1,100,000,000 to $1,200,000,000.

Competitive Advantages

  • Diversified Portfolio: NNN's real estate portfolio consists of over 36 million square feet of leased properties, providing stability and growth potential.
  • Strong Tenant Relationships: The company maintains a low vacancy rate, with 0.7% of its annualized base rent associated with tenants currently in bankruptcy.
  • Attractive Dividend Policy: NNN has declared dividends totaling $311,920,000 for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, with a per-share dividend of $1.7100.

As of September 30, 2024, NNN's total outstanding debt was $4,372,293,000, with a weighted average interest rate of 4.12%. The liquidity position is strong, with $178,512,000 in cash and cash equivalents available for future investments.

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Article updated on 8 Nov 2024

Resources:

  • National Retail Properties, Inc. (NNN) Financial Statements – Access the full quarterly financial statements for Q3 2024 to get an in-depth view of National Retail Properties, Inc. (NNN)' financial performance, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • SEC Filings – View National Retail Properties, Inc. (NNN)' latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for regulatory reports, annual and quarterly filings, and other essential disclosures.