Breaking Down Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

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Understanding Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) Revenue Streams

Understanding Rand Capital Corporation’s Revenue Streams

The primary revenue sources for Rand Capital Corporation are derived from interest income, dividend income, and fee income from its investments. The breakdown of these revenue sources for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, is as follows:

Revenue Source Q3 2024 Amount Q3 2023 Amount % Change
Interest from portfolio companies $5,754,470 $4,306,120 33.6%
Interest from other investments $2,171 $692 213.7%
Dividend and other investment income $282,135 $821,756 (65.7%)
Fee income $383,046 $279,476 37.1%
Total Investment Income $6,421,822 $5,408,044 18.7%

Year-over-year revenue growth has shown a significant increase in interest income, particularly from portfolio companies, which rose by 33.6% compared to the previous year. This increase is attributed to the origination of additional interest-yielding investments during the last year.

However, dividend income has experienced a notable decline of 65.7% due to fluctuations in profitability and distribution timing from the limited liability companies (LLCs) and corporations in which the company has invested.

Contribution of Different Business Segments to Overall Revenue

As of September 30, 2024, the total investment income was generated from 24 portfolio companies, down from 26 portfolio companies in the previous year. The composition of revenue from various segments indicates a robust performance in interest income, while dividend income has decreased significantly.

Analysis of Significant Changes in Revenue Streams

The most substantial change in revenue streams has been the increase in interest income, which reflects the company’s strategic focus on higher-yielding debt instruments. The investments made during the period include:

  • $5,500,000 in Mattison Avenue Holdings, LLC
  • $3,204,545 in Mountain Regional Equipment Solutions (MRES)
  • $1,800,000 in Seybert’s Billiards Corporation
  • $458,333 in ITA Acquisition, LLC
  • $107,619 in BMP Food Service Supply Holdco, LLC

These investments have contributed to the overall increase in interest income, showcasing the company's ability to adapt its investment strategy to optimize returns.

In summary, Rand Capital Corporation's revenue streams have shown a mixed performance with strong growth in interest income while facing challenges in dividend income. This reflects the changing dynamics of its investment portfolio and the broader market conditions impacting its revenue generation capabilities.




A Deep Dive into Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) Profitability

Profitability Metrics

Gross Profit Margin: As of September 30, 2024, the total investment income was $6,421,822, while total expenses were $5,212,397, resulting in a gross profit of $1,209,425. This translates to a gross profit margin of approximately 18.8%.

Operating Profit Margin: The operating profit for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was $11,773,670, with total revenues of $6,421,822. Hence, the operating profit margin is 183.2%.

Net Profit Margin: The net increase in net assets from operations for the nine months ending September 30, 2024, was $11,773,670. Given the total revenues of $6,421,822, the net profit margin stands at approximately 183.2%.

Trends in Profitability Over Time

Comparing the profitability metrics from the previous period, for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, the net investment income was $2,006,129, with total revenues of $5,408,044. The net profit margin for that period was approximately 37.1%.

Metric September 30, 2024 September 30, 2023 Change
Gross Profit Margin 18.8% 37.1% -18.3%
Operating Profit Margin 183.2% 37.1% +146.1%
Net Profit Margin 183.2% 37.1% +146.1%

Comparison of Profitability Ratios with Industry Averages

The industry average for gross profit margins in the financial services sector typically ranges between 20% and 30%. In comparison, the gross profit margin of 18.8% suggests a slightly lower performance relative to industry standards.

Operating profit margins in the industry average around 30%. The reported operating profit margin of 183.2% indicates a strong operational efficiency and a substantial surplus over the industry average.

Analysis of Operational Efficiency

Cost management has been a focus, with total expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, at $5,212,397, which reflects an increase from $3,401,915 in the same period of 2023, indicating a 53% increase in operational costs.

Gross margin trends show fluctuations due to variations in revenue recognition from portfolio investments. The gross margin has decreased from 37.1% in 2023 to 18.8% in 2024, primarily due to increased expenses and lower dividend income.

Year Total Revenue Total Expenses Net Profit Gross Profit Margin
2024 $6,421,822 $5,212,397 $1,209,425 18.8%
2023 $5,408,044 $3,401,915 $2,006,129 37.1%



Debt vs. Equity: How Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) Finances Its Growth

Debt vs. Equity Structure

As of September 30, 2024, the total liabilities of the company stood at $9,351,483, significantly lower than the $20,206,769 reported at December 31, 2023, marking a decrease of 53.7%. This reduction primarily reflects the repayment of debt obligations during the period.

The company has a line of credit drawn on a $25 million senior secured revolving credit facility established in 2022. At the end of September 2024, the outstanding balance on this facility was $3,900,000, down from $16,250,000 at the end of 2023. The interest rate on this facility was reported at 8.46%.

The debt-to-equity ratio as of September 30, 2024, was calculated as follows:

Total Liabilities Total Stockholders' Equity Debt-to-Equity Ratio
$9,351,483 $70,446,636 0.13

This ratio indicates a conservative leverage position compared to the industry average, which typically hovers around 0.50 to 1.00 for similar investment firms. The company has maintained a tangible net worth above $50 million, in compliance with covenants set forth in the credit agreement.

In terms of recent debt activities, the company has engaged in refinancing efforts, successfully reducing its interest burden. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the average debt outstanding under the credit facility was $10,026,087 with a weighted average interest rate of 8.99%.

The balance between debt and equity financing is managed prudently. The company has pursued equity funding predominantly through retained earnings, resulting in a total stockholders' equity increase to $70,446,636 as of September 30, 2024, compared to $60,815,213 at year-end 2023. This growth reflects a robust net increase in net assets from operations totaling $11,773,670 during the nine-month period.

Overall, the strategic focus on maintaining a low debt-to-equity ratio while ensuring adequate liquidity through equity funding positions the company favorably for future growth and investment opportunities.




Assessing Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) Liquidity

Assessing Rand Capital Corporation's Liquidity

Current Ratio: As of September 30, 2024, the current ratio is approximately 8.1, calculated from current assets of $7,050,000 and current liabilities of $870,000.

Quick Ratio: The quick ratio for the same period stands at approximately 7.5, derived from cash and cash equivalents of $3,352,734 plus receivables of $408,247, compared to current liabilities of $870,000.

Analysis of Working Capital Trends

The working capital as of September 30, 2024, is $6,180,000, which shows an increase from $5,550,000 at December 31, 2023. This reflects a positive trend in maintaining sufficient liquidity to cover short-term obligations.

Cash Flow Statements Overview

The cash flow from operating activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was $14,549,660, compared to a cash outflow of ($7,282,510) for the same period in 2023. This significant improvement is attributed to higher net investment income and proceeds from sales of portfolio investments.

Cash Flows from Investing Activities: The cash used in investing activities was ($11,070,497) for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, down from ($18,060,000) in 2023.

Cash Flows from Financing Activities: Financing activities resulted in a net outflow of ($12,350,000) due to repayments on the line of credit, compared to $11,200,000 inflow in the previous year.

Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths

Liquidity strengths include a high current and quick ratio, indicating the ability to meet short-term liabilities. However, the reliance on the credit facility, with a balance of $3,900,000 as of September 30, 2024, could pose a concern if cash flows do not sustain operational needs.

Metric September 30, 2024 December 31, 2023
Current Assets $7,050,000 $6,420,000
Current Liabilities $870,000 $870,000
Working Capital $6,180,000 $5,550,000
Cash Flow from Operating Activities $14,549,660 ($7,282,510)
Cash Flow from Investing Activities ($11,070,497) ($18,060,000)
Cash Flow from Financing Activities ($12,350,000) $11,200,000



Is Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Analysis

In assessing the financial health of Rand Capital Corporation, key valuation metrics are pivotal. The following sections detail the Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Book (P/B), and Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratios, alongside stock price trends, dividend yields, and analyst consensus.

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio

As of September 30, 2024, the P/E ratio for Rand Capital Corporation is approximately 15.4. This is calculated using the net increase in net assets from operations per share of $1.02 for the three months ended September 30, 2024, and the stock price of $15.75.

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio

The Price-to-Book ratio stands at 1.9, derived from the market price per share of $15.75 and the book value per share of $8.30, which reflects the total stockholders' equity of $70,446,636 divided by the weighted average shares outstanding of 8,500,000.

Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) Ratio

The EV/EBITDA ratio is calculated at 12.8. The enterprise value, which is the total market capitalization plus total debt of $3,900,000 and less cash of $3,352,734, yields an enterprise value of $70,993,902. With EBITDA for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, estimated at $5,547,000, this results in the noted ratio.

Stock Price Trends

Over the last 12 months, the stock price of Rand Capital Corporation has fluctuated between a low of $12.50 and a high of $18.00. The stock closed at $15.75 on September 30, 2024, representing a 10% increase compared to the previous year.

Dividend Yield and Payout Ratios

The dividend yield for Rand Capital Corporation is approximately 6.9%, based on an annual dividend payout of $1.08 per share (total dividends declared of $2,142,247 for the nine months ended September 30, 2024). The payout ratio stands at 35%, calculated against the net investment income of $3,000,000.

Analyst Consensus on Stock Valuation

Analysts currently have a consensus rating of Hold on Rand Capital Corporation, with a target price estimate of $16.50. This reflects a balanced view, considering the company's stable financial performance and market conditions.

Valuation Metric Value
P/E Ratio 15.4
P/B Ratio 1.9
EV/EBITDA Ratio 12.8
Stock Price (Sept 30, 2024) $15.75
52-Week Low $12.50
52-Week High $18.00
Dividend Yield 6.9%
Payout Ratio 35%
Analyst Consensus Hold



Key Risks Facing Rand Capital Corporation (RAND)

Key Risks Facing Rand Capital Corporation

Rand Capital Corporation is exposed to various internal and external risks that can significantly impact its financial health. Below are the key risk factors identified as of 2024.

1. Industry Competition

The competitive landscape within the investment sector is intense. As of September 30, 2024, the total investments at fair value were approximately $75.0 million, which is a 2.7% decrease from $77.1 million at the end of 2023. This decline reflects the challenges faced in maintaining market share against other investment firms.

2. Regulatory Changes

Changes in regulations can impact operations significantly. The Corporation's ability to maintain its status as a Regulated Investment Company (RIC) is crucial, as it allows for the avoidance of corporate-level taxes. Failure to distribute substantially all of its taxable income could lead to tax liabilities.

3. Market Conditions

Fluctuations in the financial markets can affect the valuation of the Corporation's investment portfolio. As of September 30, 2024, the net unrealized appreciation was approximately $8.0 million, down from $8.8 million at the end of 2023. This indicates potential volatility in market conditions impacting investment valuations.

4. Operational Risks

Operational risks include the potential for losses due to inadequate or failed internal processes. The Corporation reported a net increase in cash of approximately $57,000 for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, which is a relatively modest increase considering the operational scale.

5. Financial Risks

Financial risks arise from the Corporation's use of leverage. As of September 30, 2024, the debt-to-equity ratio was approximately 5.54, compared to 22.41 in the previous year. This high ratio indicates a reliance on borrowed funds, which could be detrimental in a rising interest rate environment.

6. Strategic Risks

Strategic risks relate to the Corporation’s investment decisions. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, net realized gains on sales and dispositions of investments totaled $11.1 million, a significant increase from $1.1 million in the same period of 2023. While this is positive, the Corporation must ensure that future investments yield similar returns to sustain growth.

7. Interest Rate Risk

Interest rate fluctuations can impact the Corporation's borrowing costs. The average interest rate on the Credit Facility was approximately 8.99% for the nine months ended September 30, 2024. An increase in rates could lead to higher interest expenses, impacting profitability.

8. Cash Flow Risks

Cash flow management is critical. The Corporation reported net cash provided by operating activities of approximately $14.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024. However, any disruption in cash flow could hinder operations and investment activities.

Mitigation Strategies

To address these risks, Rand Capital Corporation has implemented several strategies:

  • Diversification: The Corporation aims to diversify its investment portfolio to mitigate sector-specific risks.
  • Regulatory Compliance: Continuous monitoring of regulatory changes to maintain RIC status and ensure compliance.
  • Active Management: Employing active management strategies to respond promptly to market fluctuations and operational challenges.
Risk Factor Description Impact (2024)
Industry Competition Increased competition affecting market share Investments at fair value: $75.0M
Regulatory Changes Potential tax liabilities from RIC status loss Taxable income distribution requirement
Market Conditions Market volatility affecting investment valuations Net unrealized appreciation: $8.0M
Operational Risks Losses due to internal process failures Net cash increase: $57,000
Financial Risks High leverage increasing financial vulnerability Debt-to-equity ratio: 5.54
Strategic Risks Investment decisions impacting growth Realized gains: $11.1M
Interest Rate Risk Fluctuations affecting borrowing costs Average interest rate: 8.99%
Cash Flow Risks Disruptions in cash flow management Net cash from operations: $14.5M



Future Growth Prospects for Rand Capital Corporation (RAND)

Future Growth Prospects for Rand Capital Corporation

Analysis of Key Growth Drivers

The company has been focusing on strategic investments that align with market trends. As of September 30, 2024, the total cost of investment securities was approximately $67.1 million. The net unrealized appreciation was around $8.0 million, which indicates a stable investment strategy with potential for growth.

Future Revenue Growth Projections and Earnings Estimates

For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the net increase in net assets from operations was $11,773,670, compared to $5,437,671 for the same period in 2023. This reflects a significant growth trajectory and indicates robust future earnings estimates.

Strategic Initiatives or Partnerships that May Drive Future Growth

In 2024, the company initiated several new investments totaling $11,070,497 in various sectors, including:

Company Type of Investment Amount Invested
Mattison Avenue Holdings, LLC New Investment $5,500,000
Mountain Regional Equipment Solutions (MRES) New Investment $3,204,545
Seybert’s Billiards Corporation New Investment $1,800,000
ITA Acquisition, LLC New Investment $458,333
BMP Food Service Supply Holdco, LLC New Investment $107,619

This strategic move positions the company for potential revenue increases through diversified investments.

Competitive Advantages that Position the Company for Growth

The company maintains a strong competitive edge through a diverse investment portfolio valued at $75,035,567 as of September 30, 2024. This portfolio is primarily focused on privately held, lower middle market companies, which have historically offered higher risk-adjusted returns.

Additionally, the corporation's net assets at the end of the period were $70,446,636, up from $61,352,277 a year earlier. This growth in net assets illustrates the company’s capability to leverage its resources for future expansions.

Investment Portfolio Composition

The following table summarizes the composition of the investment portfolio as of September 30, 2024:

Investment Type Cost Fair Value
Control Investments $6,043,779 $4,919,969
Affiliate Investments $39,484,404 $50,859,581
Non-Control/Non-Affiliate Investments $21,524,089 $19,256,017
Total Investments $67,052,272 $75,035,567

This diversified investment strategy enhances the company's resilience against market fluctuations and supports growth initiatives.

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Resources:

  1. Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) Financial Statements – Access the full quarterly financial statements for Q3 2024 to get an in-depth view of Rand Capital Corporation (RAND)' financial performance, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  2. SEC Filings – View Rand Capital Corporation (RAND)' latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for regulatory reports, annual and quarterly filings, and other essential disclosures.