Breaking Down ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

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Understanding ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) Revenue Streams

Understanding ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.’s Revenue Streams

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. generates revenue primarily through two segments: Network Solutions and Services & Support.

Breakdown of Primary Revenue Sources

Segment Q3 2024 Revenue (in millions) Q3 2023 Revenue (in millions) Year-to-Date 2024 Revenue (in millions) Year-to-Date 2023 Revenue (in millions)
Network Solutions $181.5 $228.6 $542.0 $794.0
Services & Support $46.2 $43.8 $137.9 $129.6
Total Revenue $227.7 $272.3 $679.9 $923.6

Year-over-Year Revenue Growth Rate

The revenue growth analysis shows a decline in total revenue from Q3 2023 to Q3 2024:

  • Q3 2024 Total Revenue: $227.7 million
  • Q3 2023 Total Revenue: $272.3 million
  • Percentage Decrease: 16.4%

For the year-to-date comparison:

  • Year-to-Date 2024 Total Revenue: $679.9 million
  • Year-to-Date 2023 Total Revenue: $923.6 million
  • Percentage Decrease: 26.4%

Contribution of Different Business Segments to Overall Revenue

In Q3 2024, the contribution of both segments to total revenue was:

  • Network Solutions: 79.7%
  • Services & Support: 20.3%

Analysis of Significant Changes in Revenue Streams

Notably, the Network Solutions segment experienced a significant decline of 20.6% year-over-year, reflecting a challenging market environment. Conversely, the Services & Support segment grew by 5.9% year-over-year, indicating a positive trend in customer support services amidst overall revenue declines.

Furthermore, the expected revenue for Q4 2024 is projected to be between $230 million and $245 million, suggesting a potential sequential increase from Q3 2024.

Overall, ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. is navigating through a transitional period with a focus on improving its revenue streams by enhancing customer acquisition and expanding its service offerings.




A Deep Dive into ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) Profitability

Profitability Metrics

Gross Profit: For the third quarter of 2024, the company reported a gross profit of $85.251 million, compared to $74.237 million in the same quarter of 2023. The gross profit for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was $239.081 million, down from $254.598 million for the same period in 2023.

Gross Margin: The gross margin for Q3 2024 was 37.4%, compared to 27.3% in Q3 2023. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the gross margin was 35.2%, compared to 27.6% for the same period in 2023.

Operating Profit: The operating loss for Q3 2024 was ($23.984 million), while the operating loss for Q3 2023 was ($89.296 million). For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the operating loss was ($401.969 million), compared to ($183.656 million) for the same period in 2023.

Net Profit Margin: The net loss attributable to the company for Q3 2024 was ($31.239 million), resulting in a net loss margin of approximately (13.7%). This compares with a net loss of ($78.210 million) a year earlier.

Trends in Profitability Over Time: The trend shows a reduction in operating losses quarter over quarter, with the company moving from a significantly higher operating loss in Q3 2023 to a lesser loss in Q3 2024. However, the nine-month figures reflect deeper losses, indicating challenges in operational efficiency.

Metric Q3 2024 Q3 2023 9M 2024 9M 2023
Gross Profit $85.251 million $74.237 million $239.081 million $254.598 million
Gross Margin 37.4% 27.3% 35.2% 27.6%
Operating Loss ($23.984 million) ($89.296 million) ($401.969 million) ($183.656 million)
Net Loss ($31.239 million) ($78.210 million) ($404.955 million) ($156.697 million)
Net Margin (13.7%) (28.7%) (59.7%) (17.0%)

Comparison of Profitability Ratios with Industry Averages: The company's gross margin of 37.4% compares favorably to the industry average of approximately 30%. However, the operating margin remains negative, indicating ongoing challenges relative to peers.

Operational Efficiency Analysis: The operational efficiency has shown some signs of improvement, with the gross profit increasing year-over-year. However, the significant operating losses signal a need for better cost management. The company reported selling, general and administrative expenses of $57.620 million for Q3 2024, down from $62.907 million in Q3 2023.

The research and development expenses for Q3 2024 were $51.615 million, down from $62.752 million in the previous year, indicating a focus on cost management strategies.




Debt vs. Equity: How ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) Finances Its Growth

Debt vs. Equity: How ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. Finances Its Growth

As of September 30, 2024, the company reported total liabilities of $637.4 million, which include both long-term and short-term debt.

Overview of the Company's Debt Levels

The total current liabilities amount to $304.8 million. The non-current revolving credit agreement outstanding is $189.8 million. Total long-term debt, including non-current liabilities, is approximately $332.6 million.

Debt Type Amount (in millions)
Total Current Liabilities $304.8
Non-current Revolving Credit Agreement $189.8
Total Long-term Debt $332.6
Total Liabilities $637.4

Debt-to-Equity Ratio and Comparison to Industry Standards

The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 2.98 as of September 30, 2024, which indicates a significantly leveraged position compared to the industry average of approximately 1.5.

Recent Debt Issuances, Credit Ratings, or Refinancing Activity

In recent months, the company engaged in refinancing activities, including a draw on revolving credit agreements which resulted in a net cash outflow of $5 million for repayments. The interest expense for the period was reported at $17.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024.

Balancing Between Debt Financing and Equity Funding

The company has primarily relied on debt financing to fund its operations and growth strategies, as indicated by the high leverage ratio. The total equity reported as of September 30, 2024, is $214.0 million, which reflects a significant retained deficit of $(635.2) million.

Equity Component Amount (in millions)
Total Equity $214.0
Retained Deficit $(635.2)



Assessing ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) Liquidity

Assessing ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. Liquidity

Current Ratio: As of September 30, 2024, the current ratio is 2.09, calculated as total current assets of $638,856,000 divided by total current liabilities of $304,824,000.

Quick Ratio: The quick ratio stands at 1.18, derived from current assets of $638,856,000 minus inventory of $282,926,000, resulting in a quick asset total of $355,930,000 divided by current liabilities of $304,824,000.

Analysis of Working Capital Trends

The working capital as of September 30, 2024, is $334,032,000, reflecting a decrease from $458,748,000 in the previous year. This trend indicates a tightening in liquidity, primarily influenced by the reduction in cash and accounts receivable.

Cash Flow Statements Overview

Operating Cash Flow: For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the net cash provided by operating activities is $98,526,000, compared to a cash outflow of $29,314,000 for the same period in 2023.

Investing Cash Flow: Cash used in investing activities totaled $46,901,000 for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, with capital expenditures of $48,183,000.

Financing Cash Flow: Financing activities resulted in a net cash outflow of $49,659,000 for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, which includes $68,556,000 from a receivables purchase agreement and repayments on revolving credit agreements of $5,000,000.

Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths

Despite a strong operating cash flow in 2024, potential liquidity concerns arise from decreasing working capital and high debt levels, with total liabilities at $637,376,000 and redeemable non-controlling interest at $421,776,000.

Financial Metric September 30, 2024 September 30, 2023
Current Assets $638,856,000 $736,856,000
Current Liabilities $304,824,000 $278,108,000
Working Capital $334,032,000 $458,748,000
Operating Cash Flow $98,526,000 ($29,314,000)
Investing Cash Flow ($46,901,000) ($22,758,000)
Financing Cash Flow ($49,659,000) $60,311,000
Total Liabilities $637,376,000 $635,531,000
Redeemable Non-Controlling Interest $421,776,000 $442,152,000



Is ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Analysis

The valuation of a company is crucial for investors seeking to determine whether the stock is overvalued or undervalued. Key metrics to consider include the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-book (P/B) ratio, and enterprise value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio.

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio

The current P/E ratio stands at based on the most recent earnings report. This ratio is significant as it provides insight into how the market values the company's earnings relative to its stock price.

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio

The P/B ratio is calculated at , indicating how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of net assets. A P/B ratio above 1 may suggest overvaluation, while below 1 could indicate undervaluation.

Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) Ratio

The EV/EBITDA ratio currently measures at . This metric is essential for assessing the valuation of the company in relation to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.

Stock Price Trends

Over the last 12 months, the stock price has exhibited a trend of . The fluctuations can be attributed to market conditions, company performance, and broader economic factors.

Dividend Yield and Payout Ratios

Currently, the dividend yield is , with a payout ratio of . These figures are relevant for income-focused investors assessing the sustainability of dividend payments.

Analyst Consensus on Stock Valuation

Analysts have a consensus rating of on the stock, with recommendations ranging from buy to sell. This consensus reflects varying opinions on the company's future performance and growth potential.

Metric Value
Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio
Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio
Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)
Current Stock Price Trend
Dividend Yield
Payout Ratio
Analyst Consensus



Key Risks Facing ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN)

Key Risks Facing ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.:

The financial health of ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. is influenced by various internal and external risk factors. Below are the key risks that could impact the company's performance in 2024:

Industry Competition

ADTRAN operates in a highly competitive telecommunications market. The company faces intense competition from both established and emerging players. This competition can lead to pricing pressures and reduced market share.

Regulatory Changes

Changes in telecommunications regulations can significantly affect operations. Compliance with new regulations may increase operational costs or limit service offerings. For instance, the company has to adhere to specific compliance standards imposed by federal and state authorities.

Market Conditions

Fluctuations in market demand can impact revenue. Economic downturns or shifts in consumer preferences may lead to reduced spending by service providers. ADTRAN reported a net loss of $397.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 .

Operational Risks

The company is undergoing restructuring, which includes closing the Greifswald facility in Germany, expected to be completed by December 31, 2024. This restructuring may lead to short-term operational disruptions .

Financial Risks

ADTRAN has a significant amount of debt, with total liabilities amounting to $637.4 million as of September 30, 2024 . This debt level raises concerns about cash flow and the ability to meet financial obligations. The company's interest expense was reported at $17.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 .

Strategic Risks

The integration of Adtran Networks has associated costs, with acquisition-related expenses totaling $47.7 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 . Failure to achieve expected synergies could adversely affect profitability.

Cybersecurity Risks

With increasing digitalization, the risk of cyber-attacks poses a significant threat to operations. Any breaches could lead to financial losses and damage to reputation.

Mitigation Strategies

ADTRAN has implemented several strategies to mitigate risks:

  • Continuous monitoring of regulatory changes to ensure compliance.
  • Investment in cybersecurity to protect against data breaches.
  • Cost management initiatives to enhance operational efficiency.

Financial Overview

The following table summarizes key financial metrics that highlight the company's current risk profile:

Metric Value
Total Revenue (9M 2024) $679.9 million
Net Loss (9M 2024) $(397.5 million)
Total Liabilities $637.4 million
Interest Expense (9M 2024) $17.2 million
Acquisition-related Expenses $47.7 million



Future Growth Prospects for ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN)

Future Growth Prospects for ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.

Key Growth Drivers

The company is focusing on several key growth drivers which include:

  • Product Innovations: The ongoing development of advanced fiber access and optical transport solutions.
  • Market Expansions: Targeting service providers and private enterprises in emerging markets.
  • Acquisitions: Integration of Adtran Networks SE to enhance operational capabilities and market reach.

Future Revenue Growth Projections

For the fourth quarter of 2024, the company expects revenue to be within a range of $230 million to $245 million. This is an increase from the $227.7 million reported in the third quarter of 2024.

Full-year revenue projections for 2024 are anticipated to reach approximately $900 million, down from $923.6 million in 2023.

Earnings Estimates

The company is projecting a non-GAAP operating margin in the range of 0% to 4% for the fourth quarter of 2024. Non-GAAP diluted loss per share is estimated at $0.05 for the third quarter.

Strategic Initiatives and Partnerships

Key strategic initiatives include:

  • Enhancing customer acquisition efforts to boost market share.
  • Partnerships with leading service providers to expand service offerings.
  • Investments in R&D to drive product innovation and improve operational efficiency.

Competitive Advantages

The company’s competitive advantages include:

  • A strong portfolio of patented technologies that support advanced networking solutions.
  • A well-established brand recognized for reliability in the telecommunications sector.
  • Operational leverage expected from the integration of Adtran Networks, which will streamline services and reduce costs.

Financial Overview

Financial Metric Q3 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2023
Total Revenue $227.7 million $272.3 million $225.9 million
Gross Margin (GAAP) 37.4% 36.1% 27.3%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin 42.1% 41.9% 40.3%
Operating Loss $(23.9 million) $(89.3 million) $(401.97 million)
Net Loss $(31.2 million) $(78.2 million) $(156.7 million)

As the company continues to navigate market dynamics, its focus on product innovation, strategic partnerships, and operational efficiency positions it well for future growth opportunities.

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Resources:

  1. ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) Financial Statements – Access the full quarterly financial statements for Q3 2024 to get an in-depth view of ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN)' financial performance, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  2. SEC Filings – View ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN)' latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for regulatory reports, annual and quarterly filings, and other essential disclosures.