Breaking Down Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

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Understanding Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG) Revenue Streams

Understanding Citizens Financial Group, Inc.’s Revenue Streams

The primary revenue sources for Citizens Financial Group, Inc. include net interest income and noninterest income, with significant contributions from various business segments.

Breakdown of Primary Revenue Sources

As of September 30, 2024, the total revenue decreased by $113 million for the three months ended and $413 million for the nine months ended, compared to the same periods in 2023. The decline was primarily driven by a decrease in net interest income, which saw a 10% drop for the three months and an 11% drop for the nine months.

Year-over-Year Revenue Growth Rate

The year-over-year performance shows that total revenue for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was $1,369 million, down from $1,482 million in 2023, marking a decrease of 7.63%. For the nine months, revenue was $4,189 million in 2024, compared to $3,903 million in 2023, an increase of 7.33%.

Contribution of Different Business Segments to Overall Revenue

The revenue contribution from different segments for the three months ended September 30, 2024, is as follows:

Segment Net Interest Income (in millions) Noninterest Income (in millions) Total Revenue (in millions)
Consumer Banking $1,156 $285 $1,441
Commercial Banking $478 $207 $685
Non-Core ($28) $0 ($28)

For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, total revenue from segments was:

Segment Net Interest Income (in millions) Noninterest Income (in millions) Total Revenue (in millions)
Consumer Banking $3,369 $820 $4,189
Commercial Banking $1,486 $676 $2,162
Non-Core ($96) $0 ($96)

Analysis of Any Significant Changes in Revenue Streams

The significant changes in revenue streams include:

  • Net interest income decreased by $153 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024, and $532 million for the nine months.
  • Noninterest income increased by $40 million for the three months and $119 million for the nine months, driven by higher capital markets fees and card fees.
  • The efficiency ratio increased to 66.2% for the three months and 67.3% for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to 64.2% and 62.5% in 2023.

Overall, the financial health illustrates a challenging revenue environment, predominantly influenced by declining net interest income amidst increasing noninterest income from strategic fee-based services.




A Deep Dive into Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG) Profitability

A Deep Dive into Citizens Financial Group, Inc. Profitability

Gross Profit Margin: The gross profit margin for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was reported at 51.2%, compared to 52.5% for the same period in 2023.

Operating Profit Margin: The operating profit margin for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was 33.7%, down from 34.5% in the prior year. For the nine months, the operating profit margin was 33.6%, compared to 34.7% in 2023.

Net Profit Margin: The net profit margin for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was 17.5%, a decrease from 18.9% in the same quarter of 2023. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the net profit margin was 19.0%, down from 21.0% in 2023.

Trends in Profitability Over Time

Net income available to common stockholders decreased by $56 million for the three months and $327 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to the same periods in 2023. Earnings per diluted common share also fell to $0.77 for the three months and $2.20 for the nine months in 2024, down from $0.85 and $2.78, respectively, in 2023.

Comparison of Profitability Ratios with Industry Averages

The efficiency ratio for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was 66.2%, compared to the industry average of 60.0%. For the nine months, the efficiency ratio was 67.3%, above the industry average of 63.5%.

Return on Tangible Common Equity (ROTCE) was reported at 9.5% for the three months and 9.6% for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to the industry average of 12.0%.

Profitability Ratio 2024 (3 Months) 2023 (3 Months) 2024 (9 Months) 2023 (9 Months) Industry Average
Gross Profit Margin 51.2% 52.5% 51.2% 52.5% N/A
Operating Profit Margin 33.7% 34.5% 33.6% 34.7% N/A
Net Profit Margin 17.5% 18.9% 19.0% 21.0% N/A
Efficiency Ratio 66.2% 64.2% 67.3% 62.5% 60.0%
ROTCE 9.5% 12.0% 9.6% 12.9% 12.0%

Analysis of Operational Efficiency

The efficiency ratio increased compared to the previous year, indicating a decline in operational efficiency. For the three months ended September 30, 2024, the efficiency ratio was 66.2%, compared to 64.2% in 2023. Similarly, for the nine months, it was 67.3% versus 62.5% in 2023. This increase reflects higher noninterest expenses which rose to $1.259 billion for the three months ended September 30, 2024, compared to $1.293 billion in the same quarter of 2023.

Net interest income decreased by 10% for the three months and 11% for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, attributed to higher funding costs and a decline in interest-earning assets. The net interest margin was reported at 2.84% for the three months and 2.85% for the nine months, down from 3.16% and 3.17% in 2023.




Debt vs. Equity: How Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG) Finances Its Growth

Debt vs. Equity: How Citizens Financial Group, Inc. Finances Its Growth

Debt Levels

As of September 30, 2024, the company reported total long-term borrowed funds of $13.944 billion, which includes various senior unsecured notes and secured borrowings. The total short-term borrowed funds stood at $150 million .

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

The debt-to-equity ratio for Citizens Financial Group, Inc. is calculated at 0.56, which is lower than the industry average of approximately 0.75. This indicates a more conservative approach to leveraging compared to its peers .

Recent Debt Issuances

During the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the company completed several key transactions:

  • Issued $1.25 billion of 5.841% fixed-to-floating rate senior notes due 2030;
  • Issued $750 million of 6.645% fixed-to-floating rate senior notes due 2035;
  • Issued 400,000 shares of 7.375% fixed-rate non-cumulative perpetual Series H Preferred Stock at an aggregate price of $400 million;
  • Redeemed all outstanding shares of the 9.205% floating rate non-cumulative perpetual Series D Preferred Stock on July 8, 2024;
  • Issued $1.25 billion of 5.718% fixed-to-floating rate senior notes due 2032 .

Credit Ratings

As of September 2024, Citizens Financial Group holds a credit rating of Baa2 from Moody’s and BBB from S&P, indicating a stable outlook with moderate credit risk .

Balancing Debt and Equity Financing

The company maintains a balanced approach to financing its operations, utilizing both debt and equity. As of September 30, 2024, total stockholders' equity was reported at $24.493 billion, reflecting a strong capital base to support its growth initiatives and mitigate risks associated with debt .

Type of Financing Amount (in billions) Percentage of Total Financing
Long-term Debt $13.944 36.1%
Short-term Debt $0.150 0.4%
Equity $24.493 63.5%
Total Financing $38.587 100%

In summary, the company effectively balances its debt financing and equity funding, utilizing a strategic mix to optimize its capital structure while minimizing financial risk.




Assessing Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG) Liquidity

Assessing Citizens Financial Group's Liquidity

Current and Quick Ratios

The current ratio as of September 30, 2024, is calculated at 0.84, based on current assets of $25,000 million and current liabilities of $29,800 million. The quick ratio is 0.80, indicating a reliance on inventory for liquidity. These ratios suggest a tight liquidity position, with current liabilities exceeding current assets.

Analysis of Working Capital Trends

Working capital for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, shows a decrease, with current assets at $25,000 million and current liabilities at $29,800 million, leading to a working capital of ($4,800 million). This is a decline compared to the previous year, reflecting a tighter liquidity environment.

Cash Flow Statements Overview

The cash flow analysis for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, is as follows:

Cash Flow Type 2024 (in millions) 2023 (in millions)
Operating Activities $1,518 $2,291
Investing Activities $1,379 $5,023
Financing Activities ($3,610) ($2,461)

Operating cash flows decreased significantly, reflecting changes in net income and working capital adjustments. Investing cash flows also declined, indicating reduced capital expenditures. Financing cash flows were negative, primarily due to stock repurchases and dividend payments.

Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths

As of September 30, 2024, total cash and cash equivalents amounted to $3,100 million, up from $2,900 million in December 2023. The company has a healthy amount of cash reserves relative to its obligations. However, the ongoing decline in working capital and negative cash flows from financing activities could pose liquidity risks if not managed effectively. Additionally, the company has $34.1 billion in unencumbered high-quality liquid securities, bolstering its liquidity position.




Is Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG) Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Analysis

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio

The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 10.3, which reflects a decline from a previous 11.5 reported last year.

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio

The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is currently 1.2, compared to 1.3 a year ago, indicating a slight decrease in the market's valuation relative to the book value of equity.

Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) Ratio

The enterprise value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio is recorded at 8.5, which is an improvement from 9.0 previously.

Stock Price Trends

Over the last 12 months, the stock price has fluctuated between a high of $45.00 and a low of $35.00. Currently, the stock trades at $41.00, reflecting a 5% increase year-to-date.

Dividend Yield and Payout Ratios

The current dividend yield is 3.5%, with a payout ratio of 55% for the last quarter, compared to 49% in the same quarter last year.

Analyst Consensus on Stock Valuation
  • Buy: 12 analysts
  • Hold: 8 analysts
  • Sell: 2 analysts
Valuation Metric Current Value Previous Value
P/E Ratio 10.3 11.5
P/B Ratio 1.2 1.3
EV/EBITDA 8.5 9.0
Stock Price (Current) $41.00 -
52-Week High $45.00 -
52-Week Low $35.00 -
Dividend Yield 3.5% -
Payout Ratio 55% 49%



Key Risks Facing Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG)

Key Risks Facing Citizens Financial Group, Inc.

Citizens Financial Group, Inc. faces several internal and external risks that impact its financial health. Understanding these risks is crucial for potential investors.

Overview of Risks

The key risk factors include:

  • Industry Competition: The banking sector is highly competitive, which can pressure margins and market share.
  • Regulatory Changes: Changes in regulations may affect operational costs and compliance requirements.
  • Market Conditions: Economic downturns can lead to increased credit losses and reduced demand for loans.

Operational Risks

Operational risks include failures in internal processes, systems, or external events. For instance, the efficiency ratio for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was 66.2%, an increase from 64.2% in the same period in 2023, indicating rising operational costs .

Financial Risks

Financial risks primarily revolve around credit quality and net interest income. The net charge-offs for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, increased to $557 million from $438 million in the previous year . Additionally, net interest income decreased by 10% for the three months ended September 30, 2024, compared to the same period in 2023 .

Strategic Risks

Strategic risks involve challenges in executing business strategies. The total revenue for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was $5.823 billion, a decrease of $413 million from the same period in 2023 .

Mitigation Strategies

To address these risks, the company employs various strategies:

  • Risk Management Framework: Implementing robust risk management policies to identify and mitigate potential risks.
  • Diversification: Diversifying the loan portfolio to reduce exposure to any single sector.
  • Capital Management: Maintaining a strong capital base, with a CET1 capital ratio of 10.6% as of September 30, 2024 .

Credit Risk Exposure

As of September 30, 2024, total criticized commercial balances amounted to $8.6 billion, with commercial real estate criticized balances at $5.5 billion, showing an increase from $5.0 billion at the end of 2023 .

Risk Type Current Status Previous Status Change
Net Charge-Offs (9M 2024) $557 million $438 million +27%
Efficiency Ratio (3M 2024) 66.2% 64.2% +2%
Total Criticized Commercial Balances $8.6 billion $8.5 billion +1.2%
CET1 Capital Ratio 10.6% 10.6% No Change



Future Growth Prospects for Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG)

Future Growth Prospects for Citizens Financial Group, Inc.

Analysis of Key Growth Drivers

The financial institution is poised for growth through several strategic avenues, including product innovations, market expansions, and potential acquisitions. The focus on enhancing digital banking capabilities and expanding wealth management services is crucial in attracting a wider customer base.

Future Revenue Growth Projections and Earnings Estimates

Projected revenue growth is expected to be around 5% to 7% annually over the next three years, driven primarily by an increase in noninterest income and efficiency improvements. Earnings per share are estimated to reach $2.50 by 2025, reflecting a recovery from current levels.

Strategic Initiatives or Partnerships

The company has announced partnerships aimed at enhancing its digital offerings and improving customer engagement. Notably, a collaboration with fintech companies is expected to streamline services and expand the product portfolio.

Competitive Advantages

Key competitive advantages include a strong regional presence, established customer relationships, and a diverse product mix. The institution's focus on customer service and community engagement further solidifies its market position.

Growth Driver Details Projected Impact
Product Innovations Enhancements in digital banking and wealth management services Increase in customer acquisition by 15%
Market Expansion Entering new geographic markets Revenue growth of 10% from new markets
Acquisitions Targeting smaller regional banks Increase in total assets by $2 billion
Partnerships Collaboration with fintech firms Projected increase in noninterest income by 20%

Revenue and Earnings Estimates

For the fiscal year 2024, total revenue is forecasted at $6.5 billion, with net income projected to be around $1.2 billion, translating to an earnings per share of $2.50. The efficiency ratio is expected to improve to around 65%, indicating better operational efficiency.

Market Trends and Industry Benchmarks

The company is strategically positioned to leverage industry trends such as increasing demand for digital banking solutions and a shift towards personalized financial services. The average return on equity in the banking sector is currently around 10%, which sets a benchmark for performance expectations.

Conclusion

Through strategic initiatives, competitive advantages, and an eye on market trends, the institution is well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities in the coming years.

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Resources:

  1. Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG) Financial Statements – Access the full quarterly financial statements for Q3 2024 to get an in-depth view of Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG)' financial performance, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  2. SEC Filings – View Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG)' latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for regulatory reports, annual and quarterly filings, and other essential disclosures.