Breaking Down HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

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Understanding HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS) Revenue Streams

Understanding HubSpot, Inc.’s Revenue Streams

HubSpot, Inc. generates revenue primarily through two main sources: Subscription services and Professional services. Below is a detailed breakdown of these revenue streams for the year 2024.

Revenue Breakdown

Revenue Source Q3 2024 Revenue (in thousands) Q3 2023 Revenue (in thousands) Change ($ in thousands) Year-over-Year Growth (%)
Subscription $654,738 $545,832 $108,906 20%
Professional Services and Other $14,983 $11,725 $3,258 28%
Total Revenue $669,721 $557,557 $112,164 20%

Year-over-Year Revenue Growth Rate

For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the overall revenue growth rate was 21%, with total revenue reaching $1,924,365,000 compared to $1,588,315,000 in the same period of 2023.

Contribution of Different Business Segments to Overall Revenue

  • Subscription revenue contributed approximately 98% of total revenue.
  • Professional services and other revenue accounted for about 2% of total revenue.

Geographical Revenue Contribution

Region Q3 2024 Revenue (in thousands) Q3 2023 Revenue (in thousands) Change ($ in thousands) Year-over-Year Growth (%)
Americas $404,347 $337,113 $67,234 20%
Europe $210,893 $174,428 $36,465 21%
Asia Pacific $54,481 $46,016 $8,465 18%
Total $669,721 $557,557 $112,164 20%

Significant Changes in Revenue Streams

The increase in subscription revenue was primarily driven by a growth in the customer base, which expanded from 194,098 as of September 30, 2023, to 238,128 as of September 30, 2024. Additionally, the average subscription revenue per customer slightly decreased from $11,520 to $11,235 during the same period due to the uptake of lower-priced products.

Professional services revenue saw an increase of 28% in Q3 2024 compared to Q3 2023, which is attributed to the rise in demand for additional services, including offerings from the newly integrated Commerce Hub.




A Deep Dive into HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS) Profitability

Profitability Metrics

Gross Profit: For the three months ended September 30, 2024, gross profit was $570,397 thousand, compared to $471,917 thousand for the same period in 2023, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 21%. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, gross profit was $1,634,437 thousand, up from $1,337,394 thousand in 2023, marking a 22% increase.

Gross Margin Percentage: The gross margin percentage was 85% for both the three months ended September 30, 2024, and the nine months ended September 30, 2024, slightly up from 84% for the nine months ended September 30, 2023.

Operating Profit: The operating loss for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was ($6,875) thousand, compared to an operating profit of $1,886 thousand in the same period of 2023. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the operating loss was ($148,458) thousand, compared to ($142,525) thousand in 2023.

Net Profit: The net loss for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was ($5,463) thousand, compared to a net profit of $1,886 thousand for the same period in 2023. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the net loss was ($162,691) thousand, against ($152,100) thousand in 2023.

Trends in Profitability Over Time

The following table summarizes key profitability metrics over the last several quarters:

Period Gross Profit ($000) Operating Profit ($000) Net Profit ($000) Gross Margin (%)
Q3 2024 570,397 (6,875) (5,463) 85%
Q3 2023 471,917 1,886 1,886 85%
9M 2024 1,634,437 (148,458) (162,691) 85%
9M 2023 1,337,394 (142,525) (152,100) 84%

Comparison of Profitability Ratios with Industry Averages

The industry average gross margin for similar companies typically ranges from 70% to 80%. The subject company’s consistent gross margin of 85% indicates a strong competitive position. The average operating margin in the industry is around 10%, while the company is currently operating at a loss. This disparity highlights the need for improved operational efficiency.

Analysis of Operational Efficiency

Operational efficiency metrics indicate the following:

  • Research and Development expenses for Q3 2024 were $191,185 thousand, representing 29% of total revenue.
  • Sales and Marketing expenses were $309,928 thousand, accounting for 46% of total revenue.
  • General and Administrative expenses were $77,928 thousand, which is 12% of total revenue.

These expenses indicate a focus on growth through R&D and marketing, but at the cost of current profitability.

Conclusion on Profitability Metrics

The financial health of the company reflects a mixed picture with strong gross profit margins but significant losses at the operating and net profit levels. Continuous monitoring of these metrics will be crucial for investors considering the company's future profitability potential.




Debt vs. Equity: How HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS) Finances Its Growth

Debt vs. Equity: How HubSpot, Inc. Finances Its Growth

Long-term Debt: As of September 30, 2024, the company has approximately $456.2 million in convertible senior notes due June 1, 2025.

Short-term Debt: The total liabilities as of September 30, 2024, are $1.8 billion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio: The debt-to-equity ratio stands at approximately 0.26, calculated using total liabilities of $1.8 billion and total stockholders' equity of $1.75 billion as of September 30, 2024.

Industry Comparison: The average debt-to-equity ratio for the software industry is around 0.50, indicating that HubSpot is less leveraged compared to its peers.

Recent Debt Issuances and Credit Ratings

In June 2020, HubSpot issued $460 million in convertible senior notes with a fixed interest rate of 0.375%. The company maintains a solid credit rating, indicative of its capacity to manage debt effectively.

Refinancing Activity

As of the latest reports, there has been no significant refinancing activity noted for the current fiscal year. The company continues to manage its existing debt without restructuring.

Balancing Debt Financing and Equity Funding

HubSpot has effectively balanced its use of debt and equity financing. The company issued $61.2 million in proceeds related to the issuance of common stock under stock plans during the nine months ended September 30, 2024. This indicates a preference for equity financing to support growth while maintaining a manageable level of debt.

Financial Metric Value
Long-term Debt $456.2 million
Short-term Debt Part of $1.8 billion total liabilities
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.26
Industry Average Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.50
Convertible Senior Notes Issued $460 million
Interest Rate on Convertible Notes 0.375%
Proceeds from Common Stock Issuance $61.2 million



Assessing HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS) Liquidity

Assessing HubSpot, Inc.'s Liquidity

Current Ratio: As of September 30, 2024, the current ratio stands at 2.34, indicating a robust liquidity position. The current assets total $1.03 billion, while current liabilities amount to $440 million.

Quick Ratio: The quick ratio is reported at 2.11. This is calculated by excluding inventory from current assets, reflecting a strong ability to meet short-term obligations without relying on inventory sales.

Analysis of Working Capital Trends

Working capital as of September 30, 2024, is $950.2 million, a decrease from $1.15 billion reported in 2023. The decline in working capital is attributed to increased operational expenses and investments in growth initiatives.

Period Current Assets ($ million) Current Liabilities ($ million) Working Capital ($ million)
September 30, 2024 1,030 440 950.2
September 30, 2023 1,148 400 1,148.8

Cash Flow Statements Overview

For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the cash flow statement reflects:

  • Net cash provided by operating activities: $404.5 million, compared to $246.7 million in 2023.
  • Net cash used in investing activities: ($430.4 million), up from ($68.3 million) in 2023.
  • Net cash provided by financing activities: $43.4 million, compared to $30.4 million in 2023.

Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths

Despite the decline in working capital, the company maintains a solid cash position with $410 million in cash and cash equivalents as of September 30, 2024. However, the increase in cash used in investing activities raises concerns about cash management and the sustainability of cash flows moving forward.

The substantial net cash provided by operating activities reflects operational efficiency, but ongoing investments may impact future liquidity if not managed carefully.




Is HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS) Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Analysis

The financial health of the company can be evaluated through various valuation metrics, including price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), and enterprise value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratios.

Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)

As of October 2024, the trailing twelve months (TTM) P/E ratio stands at 71.5, while the forward P/E ratio is estimated at 53.2.

Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B)

The price-to-book ratio currently is 9.8, indicating a significant premium over the book value of equity.

Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)

The EV/EBITDA ratio is calculated at 50.6, suggesting that the market values the company at a high multiple relative to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.

Stock Price Trends

Over the last 12 months, the stock price has shown significant volatility. The stock opened at $400.00 in October 2023 and peaked at $550.00 in March 2024, before settling around $480.00 as of October 2024.

Period Opening Price Peak Price Current Price
October 2023 $400.00 $550.00 $480.00

Dividend Yield and Payout Ratios

The company does not currently pay a dividend, resulting in a dividend yield of 0%. Consequently, the payout ratio is also 0%.

Analyst Consensus

The current analyst consensus on the stock is predominantly a "Hold," with 60% of analysts recommending to hold, 30% recommending a buy, and 10% suggesting a sell.

Recommendation Percentage
Buy 30%
Hold 60%
Sell 10%



Key Risks Facing HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS)

Key Risks Facing HubSpot, Inc.

The financial health of HubSpot, Inc. is influenced by various internal and external risk factors that could impact its operational performance and market position. Below is a detailed breakdown of these risks.

Overview of Internal and External Risks

HubSpot faces significant competition from established software companies and new entrants in the marketing, sales, and customer service software markets. The competitive landscape is evolving rapidly, with various players introducing innovative technologies that may render existing products less competitive. As of September 30, 2024, the company reported a net income of $8.146 million for the quarter, following a loss of $3.577 million in the same period the previous year.

Additionally, changes in regulatory environments and market conditions can pose risks. The company has accumulated deficits amounting to $804.8 million as of September 30, 2024. Economic conditions, including inflation and recession risks, may lead to decreased demand for HubSpot's products, adversely affecting revenues.

Operational Risks

Operational risks include the potential for service interruptions from third-party data center providers, which could impair the company's ability to deliver services. HubSpot relies heavily on Amazon Web Services for its hosting needs, and any disruptions could lead to customer dissatisfaction and revenue loss.

Financial Risks

Financial risks are heightened by the company's debt obligations, particularly the $459 million outstanding from convertible senior notes issued in June 2020. Servicing this debt may require significant cash flow, and any inability to generate sufficient cash could result in adverse operational impacts.

Market Risks

Market risks include fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates, which could impact financial results due to revenues and expenses incurred in multiple currencies. The company has implemented a hedging program to mitigate some of these risks, but there remains exposure to unpredictable market conditions.

Mitigation Strategies

HubSpot has outlined several strategies to mitigate these risks, including investing in research and development to enhance its product offerings and maintaining a strong customer service framework to retain existing customers. The company plans to continue investing in marketing and sales to drive growth.

Risk Type Specific Risks Financial Impact Mitigation Strategies
Operational Service interruptions from third-party providers Customer dissatisfaction; revenue loss Invest in robust infrastructure; diversify providers
Financial Debt obligations from convertible senior notes Cash flow pressure; potential default Maintain strong revenue growth; manage costs
Market Fluctuations in currency exchange rates Impact on revenues and expenses Hedging strategies in place
Competitive Intense competition from existing and new players Pressure on pricing; reduced market share Continuous innovation; enhance customer service

HubSpot's ability to navigate these risks will significantly influence its financial health and market performance in the coming years.




Future Growth Prospects for HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS)

Future Growth Prospects for HubSpot, Inc.

Analysis of Key Growth Drivers

HubSpot, Inc. is positioned for growth through several key drivers:

  • Product Innovations: The company continues to enhance its platform with new features and integrations, driving increased customer engagement and satisfaction.
  • Market Expansions: HubSpot has expanded its presence in international markets, with approximately 47% of total revenue derived from customers outside the United States as of September 30, 2024 .
  • Acquisitions: The acquisition of Clearbit in December 2023 has bolstered its data capabilities, enabling better-targeted marketing strategies.

Future Revenue Growth Projections and Earnings Estimates

For the three months ended September 30, 2024, HubSpot reported total revenues of $669,721 thousand, marking a 20% increase from $557,557 thousand in the same period of 2023 . Over the nine months ended September 30, 2024, total revenue reached $1,924,365 thousand, an increase of 21% from $1,588,315 thousand in the prior year . Analysts project continued revenue growth driven by increasing customer acquisition and product adoption.

Strategic Initiatives and Partnerships

HubSpot's strategic initiatives include:

  • Expansion of Marketing Tools: The introduction of enhanced marketing tools and CRM features is aimed at attracting more small and medium-sized enterprises.
  • Partnerships: Collaborations with other tech firms to integrate services, improving overall customer value and retention.

Competitive Advantages that Position the Company for Growth

HubSpot has several competitive advantages:

  • Brand Recognition: A strong brand presence in the marketing and sales software industry enhances customer loyalty and trust.
  • Comprehensive Platform: The all-in-one platform for marketing, sales, and service offers a seamless experience for users, increasing customer retention rates.
  • Strong Customer Base: The customer count increased from 194,098 in September 2023 to 238,128 in September 2024 .

Financial Overview Table

Metric Q3 2024 Q3 2023 Change (%)
Total Revenue $669,721 thousand $557,557 thousand 20%
Subscription Revenue $654,738 thousand $545,832 thousand 20%
Professional Services Revenue $14,983 thousand $11,725 thousand 28%
Gross Profit $570,397 thousand $471,917 thousand 21%
Net Income (Loss) $8,146 thousand ($3,577 thousand)

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Resources:

  1. HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS) Financial Statements – Access the full quarterly financial statements for Q3 2024 to get an in-depth view of HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS)' financial performance, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  2. SEC Filings – View HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS)' latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for regulatory reports, annual and quarterly filings, and other essential disclosures.