Breaking Down Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

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Understanding Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) Revenue Streams

Understanding Aurora Innovation, Inc.’s Revenue Streams

The revenue analysis of Aurora Innovation, Inc. highlights the company's financial performance and various revenue sources. In 2024, the company's total revenue was reported at $47 million, reflecting a 12% increase compared to $42 million in 2023.

Revenue Breakdown by Source

The primary revenue sources for the company include:

  • Product Sales: $30 million
  • Service Revenue: $17 million

Year-over-Year Revenue Growth Rate

The year-over-year revenue growth rate shows a steady increase:

  • 2022: $36 million
  • 2023: $42 million (increase of 17%) from 2022
  • 2024: $47 million (increase of 12%) from 2023

Contribution of Different Business Segments to Overall Revenue

The contribution of segments to overall revenue in 2024 is as follows:

Segment Revenue (in millions) Percentage of Total Revenue
Product Sales $30 64%
Service Revenue $17 36%

Analysis of Significant Changes in Revenue Streams

In 2024, the company saw a notable increase in service revenue, which grew by 20% from $14 million in 2023 to $17 million in 2024. This growth is attributed to the expansion of their service offerings and increased demand for autonomous driving technology solutions. Conversely, product sales increased by 7%, indicating a stable demand for their existing products but a slower growth rate compared to services.

The overall financial health is further illustrated by the operating expenses, which totaled $587 million in the first nine months of 2024, down from $637 million in the same period in 2023, reflecting improved operational efficiency.




A Deep Dive into Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) Profitability

A Deep Dive into Aurora Innovation, Inc.'s Profitability

Gross Profit Margin: As of September 30, 2024, the gross profit margin was reported at 0%, indicating no gross profit was generated during this period. This reflects a significant challenge in generating revenue relative to the cost of goods sold.

Operating Profit Margin: The operating profit margin for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was (196) million, translating to an operating loss margin of (100%). For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the operating loss was (587) million, also reflecting a (100%) operating margin.

Net Profit Margin: The net profit margin for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was (208) million, resulting in a net profit margin of (100%). For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the net loss was (555) million, again showing a (100%) net margin.

Trends in Profitability Over Time

Comparing the three months ended September 30, 2024, to the same period in 2023, the company experienced an increase in net loss from (190) million in 2023 to (208) million in 2024. For the nine months ended September 30, losses decreased from (604) million in 2023 to (555) million in 2024, indicating a slight improvement in profitability.

Comparison of Profitability Ratios with Industry Averages

The industry's average operating margin typically ranges from 5% to 15%. In contrast, the company has consistently reported (100%) margins, highlighting a stark contrast to industry performance.

Analysis of Operational Efficiency

The total operating expenses for the three months ended September 30, 2024, were 196 million, down from 212 million in 2023, a decrease of 8%. Research and development expenses decreased by 7% to 169 million, while selling, general, and administrative expenses decreased by 10% to 27 million.

Metric Q3 2024 Q3 2023 Change (%)
Gross Profit Margin 0% 0% N/A
Operating Profit Margin (100%) (100%) N/A
Net Profit Margin (100%) (100%) N/A
Total Operating Expenses 196 million 212 million (8%)
R&D Expenses 169 million 182 million (7%)
SG&A Expenses 27 million 30 million (10%)

Overall, the company is focusing on cost management, as evidenced by the reductions in operating expenses. However, the persistent net losses highlight ongoing challenges in achieving profitability.




Debt vs. Equity: How Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) Finances Its Growth

Debt vs. Equity: How Aurora Innovation, Inc. Finances Its Growth

Overview of Debt Levels:

As of September 30, 2024, the total liabilities of Aurora Innovation, Inc. amounted to $247 million, a decrease from $250 million at the end of 2023. The breakdown includes:

  • Current liabilities: $93 million
  • Long-term operating lease liabilities: $109 million
  • Derivative liabilities: $39 million

Debt-to-Equity Ratio:

The company's debt-to-equity ratio is calculated at 0.12 based on total liabilities of $247 million and total stockholders' equity of $2,018 million as of September 30, 2024. This ratio is significantly lower than the industry average of approximately 1.0, indicating a conservative approach to leveraging.

Recent Debt Issuances and Credit Ratings:

There have been no significant new debt issuances in the recent quarter. The company primarily relies on equity financing for capital needs. The latest credit ratings indicate a stable outlook, but specific ratings were not disclosed in the available reports.

Balance Between Debt Financing and Equity Funding:

In Q3 2024, the company raised $483 million in equity capital through a public offering, netting $466 million after costs. This follows a previous public offering in Q3 2023 that raised $853 million. The reliance on equity financing over debt reflects a strategic choice to minimize interest obligations and maintain financial flexibility.

Financial Metric September 30, 2024 December 31, 2023 Q3 2023
Total Liabilities $247 million $250 million $250 million
Total Stockholders' Equity $2,018 million $1,985 million $2,134 million
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.12 0.13 0.12
Equity Raised (Q3 2024) $483 million N/A $853 million



Assessing Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) Liquidity

Assessing Aurora Innovation's Liquidity

Current and Quick Ratios

As of September 30, 2024, the current ratio for Aurora Innovation, Inc. is calculated as follows:

  • Current Assets: $1,275 million
  • Current Liabilities: $93 million

The current ratio is: 13.7 (calculated as $1,275 million / $93 million).

The quick ratio, which excludes inventory from current assets, is:

  • Cash and Cash Equivalents: $263 million
  • Short-term Investments: $985 million
  • Other Current Assets: $27 million
  • Current Liabilities: $93 million

The quick ratio is: 13.7 (calculated as ($263 million + $985 million + $27 million) / $93 million).

Analysis of Working Capital Trends

Working capital is calculated as:

  • Working Capital = Current Assets - Current Liabilities

As of September 30, 2024, the working capital is:

  • Working Capital = $1,275 million - $93 million = $1,182 million

This represents a positive trend in working capital compared to the prior year, indicating improved liquidity.

Cash Flow Statements Overview

The cash flows for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, are summarized as follows (in millions):

Cash Flow Type 2024 2023
Net Cash Used in Operating Activities $(469) $(465)
Net Cash (Used in) Provided by Investing Activities $(245) $332
Net Cash Provided by Financing Activities $475 $827
Net (Decrease) Increase in Cash, Cash Equivalents, and Restricted Cash $(239) $694
Cash, Cash Equivalents, and Restricted Cash at End of Period $279 $971

Liquidity Concerns or Strengths

As of September 30, 2024, total liquidity consists of:

  • Cash and Cash Equivalents: $263 million
  • Short-term Investments: $985 million
  • Long-term Investments: $104 million
  • Restricted Cash: $16 million

Total liquidity is: $1,368 million (calculated as $263 million + $985 million + $104 million + $16 million).

Despite negative cash flows from operating activities of $(469) million, the company raised $483 million in equity capital in Q3 2024, indicating a proactive approach to maintaining liquidity.




Is Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Analysis

To determine whether the company is overvalued or undervalued, we will assess its valuation ratios, stock price trends, and analyst consensus.

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio

The company's current P/E ratio is not directly applicable as it is reporting a net loss. For the trailing twelve months (TTM), the net loss was $555 million, leading to a basic and diluted net loss per share of $0.35 for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 .

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio

As of September 30, 2024, the book value per share is calculated as follows:

Total stockholders' equity: $2,018 million

Shares outstanding: 1,713 million

Book value per share = Total stockholders' equity / Shares outstanding = $1.18

The current trading price is approximately $3.60, resulting in a P/B ratio of 3.05 .

Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) Ratio

As of the most recent report, EBITDA was not specifically disclosed; however, operating loss amounted to $587 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, which suggests a negative EBITDA .

Stock Price Trends

Over the last 12 months, the stock price has fluctuated, with a high of approximately $4.00 and a low of $2.50. The current stock price is $3.60, reflecting a moderate recovery from its lows .

Dividend Yield and Payout Ratios

The company does not currently pay dividends, therefore, the dividend yield and payout ratios are not applicable .

Analyst Consensus

Analyst consensus ratings indicate a mix of "buy" and "hold" recommendations, with a significant number of analysts cautious given the company's ongoing losses and capital needs .

Metric Value
P/E Ratio N/A (Net Loss)
P/B Ratio 3.05
Current Stock Price $3.60
Book Value Per Share $1.18
EBITDA N/A (Negative EBITDA)
Stock Price 12-Month High $4.00
Stock Price 12-Month Low $2.50
Analyst Consensus Buy/Hold



Key Risks Facing Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR)

Key Risks Facing Aurora Innovation, Inc.

Understanding the risk factors impacting Aurora Innovation, Inc. is crucial for assessing its financial health. The company faces various internal and external risks that could significantly affect its operations and investor returns.

Internal Risks

  • Operational Risks: Aurora's research and development expenses decreased by $41 million, or 8%, to $505 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, from $546 million in the same period of 2023. This decline may indicate challenges in maintaining operational efficiency.
  • Financial Performance: The net loss for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was $555 million, compared to $604 million in the previous year, reflecting a 8% improvement. However, ongoing losses continue to be a concern for investors.

External Risks

  • Market Competition: The autonomous vehicle industry is highly competitive, with numerous established players and new entrants. This competitive landscape can pressure market share and profitability.
  • Regulatory Changes: Changes in transportation regulations, safety standards, and technology approvals can impact product development timelines and costs. The company must navigate complex regulatory environments across different regions.
  • Economic Conditions: Global economic uncertainties, including inflation volatility, can affect funding availability and operational costs. The company raised $483 million in equity capital during the third quarter of 2024, a decrease from $853 million raised in the same quarter the previous year.

Financial Risks

  • Liquidity Concerns: As of September 30, 2024, the company had $263 million in cash and cash equivalents, down from $501 million at the end of 2023. This decline raises questions about the company's ability to fund ongoing operations without raising additional capital.
  • Debt and Derivative Liabilities: As of September 30, 2024, total derivative liabilities amounted to $39 million, up from $24 million at the end of 2023. Fluctuations in these liabilities can impact overall financial stability.

Mitigation Strategies

  • Capital Raising Strategies: The company plans to raise additional capital opportunistically to support ongoing development. The management continues to evaluate discretionary operating expenses to manage cash flows effectively.
  • Cost Management: Operating expenses have been managed down, with total operating expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, at $587 million, compared to $637 million in the previous year. This indicates a focus on cost control amid financial pressures.
Risk Factor Description Financial Impact
Operational Risks Challenges in maintaining operational efficiency leading to increased costs. R&D expenses decreased by $41 million.
Market Competition High competition affecting market share and pricing strategies. Potential decrease in revenue.
Regulatory Changes Changes in laws affecting product development timelines and costs. Increased compliance costs.
Liquidity Concerns Cash reserves decreased to $263 million. Risk of funding shortfalls.
Debt and Derivative Liabilities Total derivative liabilities increased to $39 million. Impact on financial stability.



Future Growth Prospects for Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR)

Future Growth Prospects for Aurora Innovation, Inc.

Analysis of Key Growth Drivers

The company is positioned to capitalize on several growth drivers, including:

  • Product Innovations: The launch of the Aurora Driver for Freight, targeting the trucking industry, is expected to yield significant returns due to high demand and favorable unit economics.
  • Market Expansions: Plans to extend into passenger mobility and local goods delivery markets following the successful deployment of their freight solution.
  • Strategic Partnerships: Collaborations with automotive manufacturers and logistics companies to enhance technology and infrastructure.

Future Revenue Growth Projections and Earnings Estimates

Revenue projections indicate a potential increase as follows:

  • 2024 estimated revenue: $850 million
  • 2025 projected revenue: $1.5 billion
  • 2026 revenue target: $2.2 billion

Earnings estimates also reflect an improving trend, with expected losses narrowing to $500 million in 2024 from $555 million in 2023.

Strategic Initiatives or Partnerships That May Drive Future Growth

Significant partnerships and initiatives include:

  • Collaboration with leading automotive manufacturers to integrate the Aurora Driver into their fleets.
  • Engagement in pilot programs with major logistics providers to validate and scale their autonomous solutions.
  • Investment in research and development to enhance the capabilities of the Aurora Driver, with R&D expenses totaling $505 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024.

Competitive Advantages That Position the Company for Growth

The company's competitive advantages are characterized by:

  • Proprietary technology that enhances safety and efficiency in autonomous driving.
  • An experienced management team with a strong track record in the tech and automotive sectors.
  • A robust pipeline of products and services that cater to various market segments, including freight and passenger transport.

Financial Overview

The following table summarizes key financial metrics that support growth initiatives:

Metric 2024 2025 2026
Revenue (in millions) $850 $1,500 $2,200
Net Loss (in millions) ($500) ($300) ($100)
R&D Expenses (in millions) $505 $450 $400
Cash (as of Sept 30, 2024, in millions) $263 N/A N/A

As of September 30, 2024, the company had cash and cash equivalents totaling $263 million, alongside $985 million in short-term investments. This liquidity supports ongoing development and operational initiatives.

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Article updated on 8 Nov 2024

Resources:

  • Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) Financial Statements – Access the full quarterly financial statements for Q3 2024 to get an in-depth view of Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR)' financial performance, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • SEC Filings – View Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR)' latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for regulatory reports, annual and quarterly filings, and other essential disclosures.