Breaking Down Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. (CLMT) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

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Understanding Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. (CLMT) Revenue Streams

Understanding Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. Revenue Streams

Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. derives its revenue from several key segments, primarily focusing on Specialty Products and Solutions, Performance Brands, and Montana/Renewables.

Breakdown of Primary Revenue Sources

  • Specialty Products and Solutions: Revenue for this segment was $714.0 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024.
  • Performance Brands: This segment generated $70.1 million in revenue in the same period.
  • Montana/Renewables: The Montana/Renewables segment reported a revenue contribution of $32.8 million.

Year-over-Year Revenue Growth Rate

In comparing the third quarter of 2024 with the same period in 2023:

  • Overall sales decreased from $1,149.4 million in Q3 2023 to $1,100.4 million in Q3 2024, reflecting a decline of approximately 4.3%.
  • Specialty Products and Solutions saw a revenue decrease from $745.7 million in Q3 2023 to $714.0 million in Q3 2024.
  • Performance Brands increased from $66.0 million to $70.1 million, achieving a growth rate of approximately 6.2%.
  • Montana/Renewables segment revenue also decreased from $79.1 million in Q3 2023 to $32.8 million in Q3 2024.

Contribution of Different Business Segments to Overall Revenue

Segment Q3 2024 Revenue (in millions) Q3 2023 Revenue (in millions) Percentage Change
Specialty Products and Solutions $714.0 $745.7 -4.7%
Performance Brands $70.1 $66.0 6.2%
Montana/Renewables $32.8 $79.1 -58.6%
Total Revenue $1,100.4 $1,149.4 -4.3%

Analysis of Significant Changes in Revenue Streams

The significant decline in revenue from the Montana/Renewables segment can be attributed to tighter fuel spreads and operational challenges related to planned maintenance. Conversely, the Performance Brands segment benefited from an increase in sales volume, contributing positively to overall revenue.

In summary, while the overall revenue experienced a decline, the Performance Brands segment showed resilience with a growth trajectory, highlighting varied performance across the company's segments.




A Deep Dive into Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. (CLMT) Profitability

A Deep Dive into Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. Profitability

Gross Profit, Operating Profit, and Net Profit Margins

For the third quarter of 2024, Calumet reported a gross profit of $4.9 million, down from $261.5 million in the same quarter of 2023. The adjusted gross profit for Q3 2024 was $46.5 million, compared to $56.7 million in Q3 2023. The nine-month gross profit for 2024 was $147.2 million, compared to $429.6 million in 2023. Adjusted gross profit for the first nine months of 2024 totaled $163.9 million, versus $221.4 million in 2023.

Trends in Profitability Over Time

The operating income for Q3 2024 showed a loss of $57.1 million, compared to an operating income of $213.0 million in Q3 2023. Over the nine-month period, the operating loss was $14.6 million in 2024, down from an operating income of $281.1 million in 2023. The net loss for Q3 2024 was $100.6 million, compared to a net income of $99.8 million in Q3 2023.

Comparison of Profitability Ratios with Industry Averages

The adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2024 was $49.8 million, while it was $75.4 million in Q3 2023. The adjusted EBITDA margin for the Specialty Products and Solutions segment was 6.0% for Q3 2024 compared to 5.2% in Q3 2023. The adjusted EBITDA margin for the nine months of 2024 was 7.0%, down from 8.1% in 2023.

Analysis of Operational Efficiency

For the third quarter of 2024, the gross profit per barrel for the Specialty Products and Solutions segment was $0.39, significantly lower than $28.77 in Q3 2023. The adjusted gross profit per barrel for the same segment was $7.80 in Q3 2024, compared to $10.26 in Q3 2023. The Performance Brands segment gross profit per barrel was $145.51 in Q3 2024, down from $160.31 in Q3 2023.

Metric Q3 2024 Q3 2023 9M 2024 9M 2023
Gross Profit $4.9 million $261.5 million $147.2 million $429.6 million
Adjusted Gross Profit $46.5 million $56.7 million $163.9 million $221.4 million
Operating Income (Loss) ($57.1 million) $213.0 million ($14.6 million) $281.1 million
Net Income (Loss) ($100.6 million) $99.8 million ($181.3 million) $96.1 million
Adjusted EBITDA $49.8 million $75.4 million $138.2 million $220.8 million
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (Specialty Products) 6.0% 5.2% 7.0% 8.1%

In conclusion, the gross profit per barrel for the Specialty Products and Solutions segment was $7.80 for Q3 2024, a decrease from $10.26 in Q3 2023. The Performance Brands segment reported a gross profit per barrel of $145.51 in Q3 2024.




Debt vs. Equity: How Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. (CLMT) Finances Its Growth

Debt vs. Equity: How Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. Finances Its Growth

Overview of the Company's Debt Levels

As of September 30, 2024, the total long-term debt of Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. was $1,659.0 million, with a current portion of $400.3 million. Short-term liabilities totaled $1,254.4 million, contributing to a total liabilities amount of $3,066.7 million.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio and Comparison to Industry Standards

The debt-to-equity ratio for Calumet as of September 30, 2024, is calculated as follows:

Debt-to-Equity Ratio = Total Debt / Total Equity

Total equity reported was ($672.2 million), leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately -4.92. This negative ratio indicates that the company has more liabilities than equity, which is a critical indicator of financial leverage.

Recent Debt Issuances, Credit Ratings, or Refinancing Activity

On October 16, 2024, the company received a conditional commitment from the U.S. Department of Energy for a loan guarantee of up to $1.44 billion, aimed at funding the construction and expansion of its renewable fuels facility. The company has also engaged in refinancing activities, including the issuance of senior notes totaling $200.0 million.

How the Company Balances Between Debt Financing and Equity Funding

Calumet continues to balance its financing strategies by utilizing both debt and equity. The significant reliance on debt financing is evident from the high levels of long-term and short-term liabilities. The conversion from a Master Limited Partnership to a C-Corp is also part of a strategy to optimize capital structure and attract equity investors.

Financial Metric Value (in millions)
Total Long-term Debt $1,659.0
Current Portion of Long-term Debt $400.3
Total Short-term Liabilities $1,254.4
Total Liabilities $3,066.7
Total Equity ($672.2)
Debt-to-Equity Ratio -4.92
DOE Loan Guarantee $1,440.0
Proceeds from Senior Notes Issuance $200.0



Assessing Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. (CLMT) Liquidity

Assessing Liquidity and Solvency

The liquidity position of the company can be evaluated through its current and quick ratios, which indicate the ability to cover short-term liabilities with short-term assets. As of September 30, 2024, the company's current assets totaled $789.8 million, while current liabilities were $1,254.4 million. This results in a current ratio of:

Current Ratio = Current Assets / Current Liabilities = $789.8 million / $1,254.4 million ≈ 0.63

For a more stringent measure, the quick ratio is calculated by excluding inventories from current assets:

Quick Ratio = (Current Assets - Inventories) / Current Liabilities = ($789.8 million - $409.5 million) / $1,254.4 million ≈ 0.30

These ratios suggest potential liquidity concerns, as both ratios are below the ideal threshold of 1.0, indicating that the company may struggle to meet its short-term obligations without selling inventory.

Analysis of Working Capital Trends

Working capital, defined as current assets minus current liabilities, stood at:

Working Capital = Current Assets - Current Liabilities = $789.8 million - $1,254.4 million = -$464.6 million

This negative working capital indicates that the company has more short-term liabilities than assets, which could pose a risk for operational liquidity.

Cash Flow Statements Overview

An overview of the cash flow statement for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, shows the following trends:

Cash Flow Category Amount (in millions)
Net Cash Used in Operating Activities ($43.0)
Net Cash Used in Investing Activities ($51.7)
Net Cash Provided by Financing Activities $122.3
Net Increase (Decrease) in Cash and Cash Equivalents $27.6

The cash flow from operating activities being negative at $43.0 million indicates that the company is not generating sufficient cash from its core operations to cover its expenses. However, the financing activities provided a positive cash flow of $122.3 million, suggesting reliance on external financing to maintain liquidity.

Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths

The recent conversion from a Master Limited Partnership to a C-Corporation and the conditional commitment of a $1.44 billion loan from the Department of Energy (DOE) are notable developments that may enhance liquidity in the future. However, the current liquidity ratios and negative working capital indicate ongoing concerns that investors should monitor closely.

The company's total current liabilities have increased from $1,112.7 million at the end of 2023 to $1,254.4 million as of September 30, 2024, which could further exacerbate liquidity pressures if not managed effectively.



Is Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. (CLMT) Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Analysis

In evaluating whether the company is overvalued or undervalued, we will look at key financial metrics such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), and enterprise value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratios.

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio

As of Q3 2024, the company reported a net loss of $100.6 million, translating to a basic loss per common share of $1.18. The trailing twelve-month (TTM) P/E ratio is not applicable due to the negative earnings. For contextual comparison, the industry average P/E ratio is approximately 15.0.

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio

The company's book value per share is calculated as follows:

  • Total stockholders' equity: ($672.2 million)
  • Shares outstanding: 85.9 million
  • Book value per share: ($672.2 million / 85.9 million) = ($7.82)

The current stock price is approximately $3.50, leading to a P/B ratio of ($3.50 / $7.82) = 0.45, indicating that the stock is trading below its book value.

Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) Ratio

The enterprise value is calculated as follows:

  • Market capitalization: $300.65 million (current stock price of $3.50 × 85.9 million shares)
  • Total debt: $1,659.0 million
  • Cash and cash equivalents: $34.6 million
  • Enterprise value: ($300.65 million + $1,659.0 million - $34.6 million) = $1,925.05 million

The Adjusted EBITDA for the last twelve months is $138.2 million, resulting in an EV/EBITDA ratio of ($1,925.05 million / $138.2 million) = 13.91.

Stock Price Trends

Over the last 12 months, the stock has experienced a decline from a high of $8.00 to its current price of $3.50, representing a decrease of 56.25%.

Dividend Yield and Payout Ratios

The company does not currently pay a dividend, and therefore the dividend yield is 0%.

Analyst Consensus on Stock Valuation

Current analyst consensus indicates a rating of Hold on the stock, reflecting uncertainty regarding future performance amidst the recent financial losses and market conditions.

Metric Value
P/E Ratio N/A (negative earnings)
P/B Ratio 0.45
EV/EBITDA Ratio 13.91
Stock Price (current) $3.50
52-week High $8.00
52-week Low $3.00
Dividend Yield 0%
Analyst Consensus Hold



Key Risks Facing Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. (CLMT)

Key Risks Facing Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P.

Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. faces several internal and external risk factors that could significantly impact its financial health. Below are detailed insights into these risks:

1. Industry Competition

The company operates in a highly competitive landscape. Competitors include both large integrated oil companies and smaller niche players, which can lead to pricing pressures and reduced market share. In the third quarter of 2024, the company reported a net loss of $100.6 million compared to a net income of $99.8 million in the same period in 2023.

2. Regulatory Changes

Changes in environmental regulations can impose additional costs or limit operational capabilities. The company is currently navigating the complexities following its conversion from a Master Limited Partnership (MLP) to a C-Corporation, which may affect its tax obligations and regulatory compliance.

3. Market Conditions

Fluctuations in global oil prices and demand for petroleum products can adversely affect revenue. In the third quarter of 2024, the company reported an Adjusted EBITDA of $49.8 million, a decrease from $75.4 million in the same quarter of the previous year.

4. Operational Risks

Operational disruptions, such as planned maintenance or unexpected downtime, can impact production levels. For example, the Montana Renewables segment faced a significant decline in Adjusted EBITDA, reporting $12.7 million in Q3 2024 compared to $38.2 million in Q3 2023.

5. Financial Risks

The company is exposed to interest rate fluctuations and credit risks associated with its debt. As of September 30, 2024, total liabilities stood at $3.066 billion, with long-term debt, less current portion, at $1.659 billion. Interest expense for the third quarter was $57.7 million.

6. Strategic Risks

Strategic initiatives, such as the expansion of renewable fuel capabilities, carry risks related to execution and market acceptance. The company announced a conditional commitment for a $1.44 billion Department of Energy loan to support its renewable fuels facility.

7. Mitigation Strategies

To mitigate these risks, the company has implemented several strategies:

  • Continuous investment in operational efficiency to reduce costs and improve margins.
  • Diversification into renewable fuels to leverage growing market demand.
  • Active engagement in regulatory discussions to stay ahead of compliance requirements.
Risk Factor Description Financial Impact (Q3 2024)
Industry Competition Pricing pressures from competitors Net loss of $100.6 million
Regulatory Changes Increased compliance costs post-MLP conversion Ongoing adjustments to new tax obligations
Market Conditions Fluctuating oil prices affecting revenue Adjusted EBITDA of $49.8 million
Operational Risks Disruptions affecting production levels Montana Renewables Adjusted EBITDA of $12.7 million
Financial Risks Exposure to interest rate fluctuations Total liabilities of $3.066 billion
Strategic Risks Execution risks in renewable fuel initiatives Conditional DOE loan of $1.44 billion



Future Growth Prospects for Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. (CLMT)

Future Growth Prospects for Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P.

Analysis of Key Growth Drivers

The company is focusing on several key growth drivers, including:

  • Product Innovations: The Montana Renewables segment aims to expand its production of Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) with a projected capacity of approximately 300 million gallons of SAF.
  • Market Expansions: Plans are in place to enhance operations with additional renewable fuels reactors and other improvements to boost production efficiency.
  • Acquisitions: Strategic acquisitions may be pursued to bolster market share and operational capabilities.

Future Revenue Growth Projections and Earnings Estimates

For 2024, the expected revenue growth is underpinned by:

  • Sales Volume: Total sales volume for the third quarter of 2024 was 92,275 bpd, an increase from 82,787 bpd in the same quarter of 2023.
  • Adjusted EBITDA: The Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2024 was $49.8 million, down from $75.4 million in Q3 2023, reflecting the impact of market conditions.

Strategic Initiatives or Partnerships

The company has secured a conditional commitment of $1.44 billion from the Department of Energy (DOE) to support the construction and expansion of its renewable fuels facility. This initiative is crucial for funding future growth projects.

Competitive Advantages

Calumet's competitive advantages include:

  • Diverse Product Portfolio: The company’s product range in specialty products and solutions provides resilience against market fluctuations.
  • Operational Efficiency: Continued improvements in operational performance, especially in the specialty products segment, which reported an Adjusted EBITDA of $42.6 million in Q3 2024.
  • Strategic Location: Facilities positioned to leverage regional market demands for renewable fuels.
Metric Q3 2024 Q3 2023
Total Sales Volume (bpd) 92,275 82,787
Adjusted EBITDA (in millions) 49.8 75.4
Montana Renewables SAF Production Capacity (gallons) 300 million N/A
DOE Conditional Commitment (in billions) 1.44 N/A

Overall, the company is positioned to leverage its existing strengths and new opportunities for robust growth in the coming years.

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Resources:

  1. Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. (CLMT) Financial Statements – Access the full quarterly financial statements for Q3 2024 to get an in-depth view of Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. (CLMT)' financial performance, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  2. SEC Filings – View Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. (CLMT)' latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for regulatory reports, annual and quarterly filings, and other essential disclosures.