Breaking Down Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

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Understanding Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) Revenue Streams

Understanding Dream Finders Homes, Inc.’s Revenue Streams

Dream Finders Homes, Inc. generates revenue primarily through homebuilding activities across various regions. The company’s revenue is derived from the sale of single-family homes, including both traditional sales and built-for-rent contracts.

Breakdown of Primary Revenue Sources

  • Homebuilding Revenue: For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, total homebuilding revenues were $2,863,714,000, an increase of $259,856,000 or 10% from $2,603,858,000 in the same period of 2023.
  • Average Sales Price (ASP): The ASP of homes closed was $510,204, reflecting a 2% increase from $499,433 in 2023.
  • Home Closings: There were 5,575 home closings in the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to 5,161 in 2023, marking an 8% increase.

Year-over-Year Revenue Growth Rate

The year-over-year revenue growth rate demonstrates a positive trend, with homebuilding revenues increasing by 10% in the nine months ended September 30, 2024 compared to the previous year. This growth is attributed to an increase in home closings and a higher ASP.

Contribution of Different Business Segments to Overall Revenue

The revenue contributions by segment for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 are as follows:

Segment Revenue ($ millions) Year-over-Year Change (%)
Southeast $914 -13%
Mid-Atlantic $758 +70%
Midwest $1,191 +8%

Analysis of Significant Changes in Revenue Streams

In the Southeast segment, revenues decreased by $137 million, or 13%, primarily due to a decrease in home closings of 423 homes. Conversely, the Mid-Atlantic segment saw a significant increase in revenue by $311 million, or 70%, largely due to the acquisition of Crescent Homes, which contributed $252 million in revenue and 496 home closings.

Overall, the revenue dynamics reflect a shift in market performance across different regions, influenced by strategic acquisitions and changes in market demand.




A Deep Dive into Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) Profitability

A Deep Dive into Dream Finders Homes, Inc. Profitability

Gross Profit Margin: For the three months ended September 30, 2024, the gross profit was $189,147 (in thousands) with a gross margin percentage of 19.2%. This represents a decrease from a gross margin of 20.6% for the same period in 2023.

Operating Profit Margin: Total income before taxes related to homebuilding operations for the three months ended September 30, 2024 was $82,189 (in thousands), resulting in a decrease of 15% from $96,592 in the same quarter of 2023.

Net Profit Margin: The net and comprehensive income attributable to Dream Finders Homes, Inc. for the three months ended September 30, 2024 was $70,651, yielding a net profit margin of approximately 7.1% compared to 8.5% in 2023.

Trends in Profitability Over Time

The gross profit margin has shown a decline over the last year, from 20.6% in Q3 2023 to 19.2% in Q3 2024. This trend reflects rising costs associated with land and financing. Similarly, the operating profit margin decreased from 10.8% in Q3 2023 to 8.3% in Q3 2024.

Comparison of Profitability Ratios with Industry Averages

Metric Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (Q3 2024) Industry Average
Gross Profit Margin 19.2% 22.0%
Operating Profit Margin 8.3% 10.5%
Net Profit Margin 7.1% 9.0%

Analysis of Operational Efficiency

The selling, general, and administrative expenses (SG&A) increased to $101,886 (in thousands) for Q3 2024, up 30% from $78,514 in Q3 2023. This rise in SG&A is attributed to higher compensation costs and investments in customer programs aimed at reducing interest rates for homebuyers.

In terms of gross margin trends, the overall homebuilding gross margin for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 was 18.7%, a slight decrease from 19.0% in the previous year. Adjusted gross margin, however, improved to 27.0% from 26.7%.




Debt vs. Equity: How Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) Finances Its Growth

Debt vs. Equity: How Dream Finders Homes, Inc. Finances Its Growth

Debt Levels

As of September 30, 2024, the company had total debt of $1,456,088 thousand, compared to $849,116 thousand as of September 30, 2023. The breakdown of the debt is as follows:

Type of Debt Outstanding Balance (in thousands) Facility Amount (in thousands) Interest Rate Expiration Date
Warehouse A $88,282 $90,000 6.35% 12/31/2024
Warehouse B $50,453 $75,000 6.85% 12/20/2024
Warehouse C $31,432 $100,000 7.23% 2/15/2025
Total $170,167 $265,000

The company’s construction lines of credit amounted to $991,208 thousand as of September 30, 2024, up from $555,512 thousand year-over-year.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

The debt-to-equity ratio as of September 30, 2024, stood at 53.0%, compared to 46.3% in the previous year. The total equity was reported at $1,119,761 thousand, an increase from $837,572 thousand in 2023. This indicates a growing reliance on debt financing compared to equity funding.

Recent Debt Issuances

On August 22, 2023, the company issued $300.0 million in 8.25% senior unsecured notes due August 15, 2028. The net proceeds of $293.5 million were primarily used to repay a portion of the outstanding balance under the revolving credit facility. The company had unamortized debt issuance costs of $5.3 million as of September 30, 2024.

Credit Ratings

The company has maintained compliance with all debt covenants as of September 30, 2024. The revolving credit facility was amended on June 6, 2024, increasing the aggregate commitments to $1.4 billion and extending the maturity date to June 4, 2027.

Balancing Debt and Equity Financing

The company actively balances its financing structure by utilizing both debt and equity. As of September 30, 2024, net homebuilding debt was $1,081,015 thousand, translating to a net homebuilding debt to net capitalization ratio of 45.6%. This reflects a strategic approach to leverage while managing risk.

Overall, the financial structure indicates a significant reliance on debt financing, with the company continually evaluating its capital structure to support growth while ensuring compliance with financial covenants.




Assessing Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) Liquidity

Assessing Dream Finders Homes, Inc. Liquidity

Current and Quick Ratios

The current ratio as of September 30, 2024, stands at 1.29, indicating a solid liquidity position. The quick ratio is reported at 0.93, suggesting some reliance on inventory for liquidity.

Analysis of Working Capital Trends

As of September 30, 2024, working capital is calculated as current assets minus current liabilities. Current assets total $1,013,860 and current liabilities amount to $785,302, resulting in working capital of $228,558. This shows an increase from $100,000 in the previous year, reflecting improved operational efficiency.

Cash Flow Statements Overview

For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the cash flows from operating activities reported a net cash outflow of ($563,103) thousand, compared to a net cash inflow of $154,762 thousand in the same period of 2023. The cash flows from investing activities showed a net cash outflow of ($197,537) thousand, significantly higher than ($4,005) thousand in 2023. Financing activities generated a net cash inflow of $445,032 thousand, contrasting with a net cash outflow of ($182,586) thousand in the previous year.

Liquidity Concerns or Strengths

Despite the negative cash flow from operations, the company has maintained compliance with all debt covenants. The increase in cash provided from financing activities points to a strong reliance on external funding sources. The total debt stands at $1,456,088 thousand, with a debt-to-capitalization ratio of 53.0% as of September 30, 2024, indicating a moderate level of leverage.

Financial Metric 2024 2023
Current Ratio 1.29 1.15
Quick Ratio 0.93 0.88
Working Capital $228,558 thousand $100,000 thousand
Cash from Operating Activities ($563,103) thousand $154,762 thousand
Cash from Investing Activities ($197,537) thousand ($4,005) thousand
Cash from Financing Activities $445,032 thousand ($182,586) thousand
Total Debt $1,456,088 thousand $849,116 thousand
Debt to Capitalization Ratio 53.0% 46.3%



Is Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Analysis

To determine whether the company is overvalued or undervalued, we will analyze key financial ratios, stock price trends, and analyst consensus.

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio

The current P/E ratio is calculated at 10.5 based on the latest earnings report. This is derived from a trailing twelve months (TTM) earnings per share (EPS) of $2.06.

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio

The company's P/B ratio stands at 1.5, with the book value per share calculated at $8.36.

Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) Ratio

The EV/EBITDA ratio is currently 8.0, based on an enterprise value of $1.9 billion and EBITDA of $238 million.

Stock Price Trends

Over the last 12 months, the stock has experienced the following trends:

  • Beginning price: $22.00
  • Current price: $21.50
  • 12-month high: $27.50
  • 12-month low: $18.00

Dividend Yield and Payout Ratios

The company does not currently pay a dividend; therefore, the dividend yield is 0%. The payout ratio is also N/A due to the absence of dividends.

Analyst Consensus

The consensus among analysts is a hold rating, with the following distribution:

  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 6
  • Sell: 1
Metric Value
P/E Ratio 10.5
P/B Ratio 1.5
EV/EBITDA Ratio 8.0
12-Month High $27.50
12-Month Low $18.00
Current Stock Price $21.50
Dividend Yield 0%
Payout Ratio N/A
Analyst Consensus Hold



Key Risks Facing Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH)

Key Risks Facing Dream Finders Homes, Inc.

The financial health of Dream Finders Homes, Inc. is influenced by various internal and external risk factors. These risks can significantly impact the company's operations, profitability, and overall market position.

Industry Competition

Competition within the homebuilding industry remains intense. As of September 30, 2024, the company reported a cancellation rate of 13.8%, a slight improvement from 14.9% in the same period of 2023. The competitive landscape requires continuous innovation and adaptation to consumer preferences, which can strain resources and profit margins.

Regulatory Changes

Regulatory changes at both state and federal levels can impact operations, particularly concerning zoning laws and environmental regulations. The acquisition of Crescent Homes, which contributed $252 million in revenue, also introduces complexities related to compliance across different jurisdictions.

Market Conditions

Market conditions, including fluctuations in interest rates and housing demand, pose a risk. The company faced increased financing costs, affecting its homebuilding gross margin percentage, which decreased to 18.7% for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, down from 19.0% in the prior year. Additionally, the average sales price (ASP) of homes closed increased only 2% year-over-year, reflecting sluggish market demand.

Operational Risks

Operational risks include potential delays in construction and supply chain disruptions, which can impact project timelines and costs. The company reported an increase in selling, general, and administrative expenses by 32%, totaling $278.9 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to $210.5 million in the previous year. This rise is primarily attributed to higher compensation costs and increased spending on forward commitment programs.

Financial Risks

Financial risks related to liquidity and debt levels are critical. As of September 30, 2024, the outstanding balance under the Credit Agreement was $990 million, a significant increase from $530 million at the end of 2023. The company’s net homebuilding debt to net capitalization ratio rose to 45.6%, up from 34.5% in the prior year.

Mitigation Strategies

The company has implemented several strategies to mitigate risks, including diversifying its geographic footprint and enhancing operational efficiencies. As of September 30, 2024, Dream Finders Homes controlled 44,825 lots under finished lot option and land bank option contracts, an increase of 50% from 29,748 lots in December 2023. This strategy aims to secure land for future developments while managing acquisition costs effectively.

Risk Factor Current Status Impact on Financials
Cancellation Rate 13.8% (2024) Potential revenue loss
Homebuilding Gross Margin 18.7% (2024) Reduced profitability
Outstanding Debt $990 million Increased financial leverage
Active Communities 235 (2024) Future revenue generation potential



Future Growth Prospects for Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH)

Future Growth Prospects for Dream Finders Homes, Inc.

Analysis of Key Growth Drivers

The company's growth is propelled by several key drivers:

  • Product Innovations: The average sales price (ASP) of homes closed increased to $510,204 for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, up from $499,433 in the same period of 2023, indicating a focus on higher-value offerings.
  • Market Expansions: The acquisition of Crescent Homes contributed $252 million in revenue for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, with 496 home closings at an ASP of $506,079.
  • Acquisitions: The company utilized approximately $220 million for business acquisitions during 2024 as of September 30, 2024.

Future Revenue Growth Projections and Earnings Estimates

Revenue growth projections are optimistic, with total homebuilding revenues reaching $986,257 for the three months ended September 30, 2024, a 10% increase compared to $893,502 in 2023. The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is estimated at $2.06, up from $1.83 in 2023.

Strategic Initiatives or Partnerships that May Drive Future Growth

The company is focusing on strategic initiatives such as:

  • Sales Incentives: Increased use of sales incentives has contributed to a 3% increase in ASP.
  • Forward Commitment Programs: Spending of $30 million on programs enabling homebuyers to access lower interest rates has been a significant investment.

Competitive Advantages that Position the Company for Growth

Competitive advantages include:

  • Cost-Effective Lot Acquisition: The company controls 44,825 lots through finished lot option and land bank option contracts as of September 30, 2024, up from 29,748 in 2023.
  • Strong Financial Metrics: The net homebuilding debt to net capitalization ratio improved to 45.6% as of September 30, 2024, compared to 34.5% in 2023, indicating better financial health.
Metric 2024 Q3 2023 Q3 Change
Home Closings 5,575 5,161 8%
Average Sales Price (ASP) $510,204 $499,433 2%
Total Revenue $986,257 $893,502 10%
Net Income $206,088 $193,950 6%
Net Homebuilding Debt to Net Capitalization 45.6% 34.5% 32%

As of September 30, 2024, the backlog of sold homes was 3,996 homes valued at approximately $2.0 billion, reflecting a decrease of 20% in units and 17% in value from 2023.

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Article updated on 8 Nov 2024

Resources:

  • Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) Financial Statements – Access the full quarterly financial statements for Q3 2024 to get an in-depth view of Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH)' financial performance, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • SEC Filings – View Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH)' latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for regulatory reports, annual and quarterly filings, and other essential disclosures.